0x8782…456e

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x8782bb51e96f71ea4f9624231a4a2f85c207456e
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+7.6pp

ROI

+113%

Win rate

21% @ 13.7¢

Brier

0.106

Resolved

108

Avg size

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	15% (5/33)	+94%	33
Economy	10% (1/10)	+51%	10
Politics	14% (1/7)	-27%	7
Sports	25% (1/4)	+183%	4

Other33 bets
Hit rate
15% (5/33)
ROI
+94%
Economy10 bets
Hit rate
10% (1/10)
ROI
+51%
Politics7 bets
Hit rate
14% (1/7)
ROI
-27%
Sports4 bets
Hit rate
25% (1/4)
ROI
+183%

Track record

15% hit · 8/54

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will annual inflation be 4.3% in June?	Yes	$4	0.2¢	Lost
Will annual inflation increase by 2.8% in January?	Yes	$49	21.0¢	Lost
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$19	13.7¢	Lost
Will annual inflation increase by 2.9% in November?	Yes	$8	8.7¢	Lost
Will annual inflation be 4.1% in June?	Yes	$7	1.2¢	Lost
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?	No	$2	1.1¢	Lost
Trump out as President by August 31?	Yes	$1	0.7¢	Lost
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	$7	0.6¢	Lost
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	$3	0.8¢	Lost
Will annual inflation be 4.4% in June?	Yes	$1	0.1¢	Lost
Will the September 2026 unemployment rate be 4.0%?	Yes	$10	21.0¢	Lost
Will Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope?	Yes	$20	20.8¢	Lost
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% or more in August?	Yes	$10	13.0¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" this week? (February 22)	Yes	$2	15.9¢	Lost
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	No	$2	0.2¢	Lost
Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?	Yes	$1	0.2¢	Lost
Government shutdown on Saturday?	Yes	$1	1.9¢	Lost
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	$5	23.0¢	Lost
Will annual inflation increase by ≤2.8% in November?	Yes	$10	2.9¢	Won
US x Iran meeting by February 28, 2026?	No	$11	10.0¢	Lost
Will annual inflation increase by 2.5% in January?	Yes	$10	37.0¢	Lost
Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?	Yes	$1	0.1¢	Lost
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	$5	1.4¢	Lost
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$233	28.3¢	Won
Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?	Yes	$15	28.0¢	Lost
Will annual inflation increase by 2.4% in February?	Yes	$22	38.0¢	Won
Will Trump speak to Nicolás Maduro in September?	Yes	$1	1.4¢	Lost
Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	$31	27.0¢	Won
Will annual inflation increase by 2.9% or more in January?	Yes	$32	80.0¢	Won
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in August?	Yes	$26	53.2¢	Won
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	$15	35.0¢	Won
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	$2	0.4¢	Lost
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$36	17.5¢	Lost
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	Yes	$1	0.8¢	Lost
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	No	$10	8.0¢	Lost
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	$6	1.0¢	Lost
Will Italy win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?	Yes	$4	1.6¢	Lost
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	$27	5.6¢	Lost
Will annual inflation increase by 2.3% in February?	Yes	$5	17.0¢	Lost
Will annual inflation increase by 2.2% in February?	Yes	$4	3.1¢	Lost
Exact Score: Italy 1 - 0 Belgium?	Yes	$3	11.0¢	Lost
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	No	$6	2.1¢	Lost
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	Yes	$29	22.3¢	Won
Will annual inflation increase by 2.6% in January?	Yes	$5	6.0¢	Lost
Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?	Yes	$1	0.7¢	Lost
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	$5	0.7¢	Lost
Will annual inflation be 4.2% in June?	Yes	$7	1.4¢	Lost
Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	$3	0.3¢	Lost
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?	Yes	$5	0.9¢	Lost
Will Peter Turkson be the next pope?	Yes	$5	12.2¢	Lost

Will annual inflation be 4.3% in June?Lost
Yes$4 @ 0.2¢
Will annual inflation increase by 2.8% in January?Lost
Yes$49 @ 21.0¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$19 @ 13.7¢
Will annual inflation increase by 2.9% in November?Lost
Yes$8 @ 8.7¢
Will annual inflation be 4.1% in June?Lost
Yes$7 @ 1.2¢
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?Lost
No$2 @ 1.1¢
Trump out as President by August 31?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.7¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Lost
Yes$7 @ 0.6¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Lost
Yes$3 @ 0.8¢
Will annual inflation be 4.4% in June?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Will the September 2026 unemployment rate be 4.0%?Lost
Yes$10 @ 21.0¢
Will Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope?Lost
Yes$20 @ 20.8¢
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% or more in August?Lost
Yes$10 @ 13.0¢
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" this week? (February 22)Lost
Yes$2 @ 15.9¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Lost
No$2 @ 0.2¢
Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.2¢
Government shutdown on Saturday?Lost
Yes$1 @ 1.9¢
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?Lost
Yes$5 @ 23.0¢
Will annual inflation increase by ≤2.8% in November?Won
Yes$10 @ 2.9¢
US x Iran meeting by February 28, 2026?Lost
No$11 @ 10.0¢
Will annual inflation increase by 2.5% in January?Lost
Yes$10 @ 37.0¢
Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?Lost
Yes$5 @ 1.4¢
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
Yes$233 @ 28.3¢
Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?Lost
Yes$15 @ 28.0¢
Will annual inflation increase by 2.4% in February?Won
Yes$22 @ 38.0¢
Will Trump speak to Nicolás Maduro in September?Lost
Yes$1 @ 1.4¢
Fed rate hike in 2026?Won
Yes$31 @ 27.0¢
Will annual inflation increase by 2.9% or more in January?Won
Yes$32 @ 80.0¢
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in August?Won
Yes$26 @ 53.2¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Won
Yes$15 @ 35.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Lost
Yes$2 @ 0.4¢
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$36 @ 17.5¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.8¢
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?Lost
No$10 @ 8.0¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Lost
Yes$6 @ 1.0¢
Will Italy win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?Lost
Yes$4 @ 1.6¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Lost
Yes$27 @ 5.6¢
Will annual inflation increase by 2.3% in February?Lost
Yes$5 @ 17.0¢
Will annual inflation increase by 2.2% in February?Lost
Yes$4 @ 3.1¢
Exact Score: Italy 1 - 0 Belgium?Lost
Yes$3 @ 11.0¢
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?Lost
No$6 @ 2.1¢
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?Won
Yes$29 @ 22.3¢
Will annual inflation increase by 2.6% in January?Lost
Yes$5 @ 6.0¢
Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.7¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Lost
Yes$5 @ 0.7¢
Will annual inflation be 4.2% in June?Lost
Yes$7 @ 1.4¢
Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027?Lost
Yes$3 @ 0.3¢
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?Lost
Yes$5 @ 0.9¢
Will Peter Turkson be the next pope?Lost
Yes$5 @ 12.2¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will annual inflation be 3.6% in September?	Economy	Yes	$20	46.0¢
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in September?	Economy	Yes	$15	38.0¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Politics	No	$15	37.0¢
Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$12	7.1¢
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$10	34.0¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Politics	No	$10	29.0¢
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.4% in September?	Economy	Yes	$5	7.4¢
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?	Economy	No	$5	9.0¢
Will the US economy be in a soft landing at the end of 2026?	Economy	Yes	$5	20.0¢
Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$5	0.3¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Politics	Yes	$4	1.2¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Politics	Yes	$2	1.7¢

Will annual inflation be 3.6% in September?Economy
Yes$20 @ 46.0¢
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in September?Economy
Yes$15 @ 38.0¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Politics
No$15 @ 37.0¢
Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026?Politics
Yes$12 @ 7.1¢
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?Politics
Yes$10 @ 34.0¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?Politics
No$10 @ 29.0¢
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.4% in September?Economy
Yes$5 @ 7.4¢
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?Economy
No$5 @ 9.0¢
Will the US economy be in a soft landing at the end of 2026?Economy
Yes$5 @ 20.0¢
Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics
Yes$5 @ 0.3¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Politics
Yes$4 @ 1.2¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?Politics
Yes$2 @ 1.7¢