0x8768…dd9b

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x87684f29d70994464c6f533bc52eb693b4f4dd9b
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+11.7pp

ROI

+18%

Win rate

75% @ 63.1¢

Brier

0.082

Resolved

230

Avg size

$306

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	92% (22/24)	+19%	24
Politics	57% (4/7)	+15%	7
Tech	100% (1/1)	+23%	1
Sports	100% (1/1)	+45%	1
Economy	100% (1/1)	+18%	1
Crypto	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other24 bets
Hit rate
92% (22/24)
ROI
+19%
Politics7 bets
Hit rate
57% (4/7)
ROI
+15%
Tech1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+23%
Sports1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+45%
Economy1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+18%
Crypto1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

83% hit · 29/35

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	$172	86.0¢	Won
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 in June?	No	$552	76.0¢	Won
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?	Yes	$331	81.1¢	Won
Iran coup attempt by June 30?	No	$1.5k	88.0¢	Won
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	No	$7.1k	77.4¢	Won
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of June?	No	$3.7k	84.4¢	Won
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,900 by end of June?	No	$1.2k	83.7¢	Won
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June?	No	$4.7k	74.9¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?	No	$2.9k	72.5¢	Won
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?	No	$2.8k	81.3¢	Won
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,300 by end of June?	No	$172	86.0¢	Won
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	No	$300	60.0¢	Won
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	No	$2.8k	78.3¢	Lost
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,100 by end of June?	No	$1.0k	73.5¢	Won
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,200 by end of June?	No	$85	83.5¢	Won
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?	Yes	$991	69.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	Yes	$570	2.3¢	Lost
Will Connecticut win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?	No	$104	86.1¢	Won
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,200 by end of June?	No	$230	80.3¢	Won
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?	No	$221	88.8¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January?	No	$3.5k	86.5¢	Won
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	$505	77.0¢	Lost
Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?	No	$425	85.0¢	Won
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of June?	No	$1.0k	67.8¢	Won
Will Donald Trump announce Todd Blanche as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?	Yes	$289	26.4¢	Won
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June?	No	$9.7k	87.9¢	Won
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	$435	87.0¢	Won
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	$134	67.0¢	Lost
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,500 by end of June?	No	$11.6k	82.2¢	Won
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	No	$6.7k	86.1¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in April?	Yes	$191	0.6¢	Lost
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,900 in June?	No	$442	88.0¢	Won
Will Donald Trump announce Ron DeSantis as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?	Yes	$1	0.5¢	Lost
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,700 by end of June?	No	$3.1k	60.8¢	Won
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,200 in April?	No	$916	84.0¢	Won

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Won
No$172 @ 86.0¢
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 in June?Won
No$552 @ 76.0¢
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?Won
Yes$331 @ 81.1¢
Iran coup attempt by June 30?Won
No$1.5k @ 88.0¢
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?Won
No$7.1k @ 77.4¢
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of June?Won
No$3.7k @ 84.4¢
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,900 by end of June?Won
No$1.2k @ 83.7¢
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June?Won
No$4.7k @ 74.9¢
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?Won
No$2.9k @ 72.5¢
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?Won
No$2.8k @ 81.3¢
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,300 by end of June?Won
No$172 @ 86.0¢
US forces enter Iran by March 31?Won
No$300 @ 60.0¢
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Lost
No$2.8k @ 78.3¢
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,100 by end of June?Won
No$1.0k @ 73.5¢
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,200 by end of June?Won
No$85 @ 83.5¢
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?Won
Yes$991 @ 69.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?Lost
Yes$570 @ 2.3¢
Will Connecticut win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?Won
No$104 @ 86.1¢
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,200 by end of June?Won
No$230 @ 80.3¢
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?Won
No$221 @ 88.8¢
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January?Won
No$3.5k @ 86.5¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Lost
No$505 @ 77.0¢
Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?Won
No$425 @ 85.0¢
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of June?Won
No$1.0k @ 67.8¢
Will Donald Trump announce Todd Blanche as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?Won
Yes$289 @ 26.4¢
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June?Won
No$9.7k @ 87.9¢
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Won
No$435 @ 87.0¢
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Lost
No$134 @ 67.0¢
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,500 by end of June?Won
No$11.6k @ 82.2¢
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?Won
No$6.7k @ 86.1¢
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in April?Lost
Yes$191 @ 0.6¢
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,900 in June?Won
No$442 @ 88.0¢
Will Donald Trump announce Ron DeSantis as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.5¢
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,700 by end of June?Won
No$3.1k @ 60.8¢
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,200 in April?Won
No$916 @ 84.0¢

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