0x8768…dd9b

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x87684f29d70994464c6f533bc52eb693b4f4dd9b
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+10.7pp

ROI

+18%

Win rate

74% @ 63.5¢

Brier

0.088

Resolved

240

Avg size

$305

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	88% (23/26)	+19%	26
Politics	50% (5/10)	-1%	10
Sports	100% (2/2)	+43%	2
Tech	100% (1/1)	+23%	1
Economy	100% (1/1)	+18%	1
Crypto	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other26 bets
Hit rate
88% (23/26)
ROI
+19%
Politics10 bets
Hit rate
50% (5/10)
ROI
-1%
Sports2 bets
Hit rate
100% (2/2)
ROI
+43%
Tech1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+23%
Economy1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+18%
Crypto1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

78% hit · 32/41

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	$172	86.0¢	Won
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 in June?	No	$552	76.0¢	Won
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?	Yes	$331	81.1¢	Won
Iran coup attempt by June 30?	No	$1.5k	88.0¢	Won
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	No	$7.1k	77.4¢	Won
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of June?	No	$3.7k	84.4¢	Won
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,900 by end of June?	No	$1.2k	83.7¢	Won
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June?	No	$4.7k	74.9¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?	No	$2.9k	72.5¢	Won
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?	No	$2.8k	81.3¢	Won
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,300 by end of June?	No	$172	86.0¢	Won
Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	$230	89.0¢	Lost
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	No	$300	60.0¢	Won
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	No	$2.8k	78.3¢	Lost
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,100 by end of June?	No	$1.0k	73.5¢	Won
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,200 by end of June?	No	$85	83.5¢	Won
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?	Yes	$991	69.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	Yes	$570	2.3¢	Lost
Will Connecticut win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?	No	$104	86.1¢	Won
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,200 by end of June?	No	$230	80.3¢	Won
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?	No	$221	88.8¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January?	No	$3.5k	86.5¢	Won
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	$505	77.0¢	Lost
Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?	No	$425	85.0¢	Won
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of June?	No	$1.0k	67.8¢	Won
Will Donald Trump announce Todd Blanche as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?	Yes	$289	26.4¢	Won
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June?	No	$9.7k	87.9¢	Won
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	$435	87.0¢	Won
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	$134	67.0¢	Lost
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,500 by end of June?	No	$11.6k	82.2¢	Won
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	No	$6.7k	86.1¢	Won
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	$277	56.0¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in April?	Yes	$191	0.6¢	Lost
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	No	$5	8.0¢	Lost
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,900 in June?	No	$442	88.0¢	Won
Will Donald Trump announce Ron DeSantis as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?	Yes	$1	0.5¢	Lost
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,700 by end of June?	No	$3.1k	60.8¢	Won
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,200 in April?	No	$916	84.0¢	Won
Will Starmer officially leave office by July 17?	No	$980	98.0¢	Won
SAVE Act becomes law by June 30, 2026?	No	$320	96.5¢	Won
Will England advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$56	95.9¢	Won

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Won
No$172 @ 86.0¢
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 in June?Won
No$552 @ 76.0¢
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?Won
Yes$331 @ 81.1¢
Iran coup attempt by June 30?Won
No$1.5k @ 88.0¢
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?Won
No$7.1k @ 77.4¢
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of June?Won
No$3.7k @ 84.4¢
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,900 by end of June?Won
No$1.2k @ 83.7¢
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June?Won
No$4.7k @ 74.9¢
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?Won
No$2.9k @ 72.5¢
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?Won
No$2.8k @ 81.3¢
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,300 by end of June?Won
No$172 @ 86.0¢
Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?Lost
Yes$230 @ 89.0¢
US forces enter Iran by March 31?Won
No$300 @ 60.0¢
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Lost
No$2.8k @ 78.3¢
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,100 by end of June?Won
No$1.0k @ 73.5¢
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,200 by end of June?Won
No$85 @ 83.5¢
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?Won
Yes$991 @ 69.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?Lost
Yes$570 @ 2.3¢
Will Connecticut win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?Won
No$104 @ 86.1¢
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,200 by end of June?Won
No$230 @ 80.3¢
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?Won
No$221 @ 88.8¢
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January?Won
No$3.5k @ 86.5¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Lost
No$505 @ 77.0¢
Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?Won
No$425 @ 85.0¢
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of June?Won
No$1.0k @ 67.8¢
Will Donald Trump announce Todd Blanche as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?Won
Yes$289 @ 26.4¢
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June?Won
No$9.7k @ 87.9¢
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Won
No$435 @ 87.0¢
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Lost
No$134 @ 67.0¢
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,500 by end of June?Won
No$11.6k @ 82.2¢
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?Won
No$6.7k @ 86.1¢
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Lost
No$277 @ 56.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in April?Lost
Yes$191 @ 0.6¢
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Lost
No$5 @ 8.0¢
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,900 in June?Won
No$442 @ 88.0¢
Will Donald Trump announce Ron DeSantis as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.5¢
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,700 by end of June?Won
No$3.1k @ 60.8¢
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,200 in April?Won
No$916 @ 84.0¢
Will Starmer officially leave office by July 17?Won
No$980 @ 98.0¢
SAVE Act becomes law by June 30, 2026?Won
No$320 @ 96.5¢
Will England advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
Yes$56 @ 95.9¢

Recent trades

live from Polymarket · click a column to sort

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?	Other	No	$9.7k	69.6¢
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	Politics	No	$7.4k	97.5¢
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?	Politics	No	$6.0k	81.8¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$4.5k	90.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$4.3k	87.0¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Politics	No	$3.9k	78.7¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Politics	No	$3.3k	94.6¢
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?	Crypto	No	$2.3k	79.4¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$2.3k	77.0¢
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December?	Other	No	$2.2k	81.5¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in August?	—	No	$1.9k	97.3¢
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Politics	No	$1.8k	59.8¢
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$1.6k	81.0¢
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?	Geopolitics	No	$1.4k	95.0¢
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of December?	Other	No	$1.4k	89.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?	—	No	$1.2k	98.1¢
Trump out as President before 2027?	Politics	No	$930	93.0¢
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Politics	No	$810	81.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$776	77.6¢
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?	—	No	$583	97.2¢
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Politics	Yes	$540	36.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in August?	—	No	$460	92.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	—	No	$415	83.0¢
Will GameStop acquire eBay?	Other	No	$336	84.0¢
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	Politics	Yes	$7	96.6¢

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?Other
No$9.7k @ 69.6¢
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Politics
No$7.4k @ 97.5¢
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?Politics
No$6.0k @ 81.8¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$4.5k @ 90.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$4.3k @ 87.0¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics
No$3.9k @ 78.7¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Politics
No$3.3k @ 94.6¢
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?Crypto
No$2.3k @ 79.4¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$2.3k @ 77.0¢
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December?Other
No$2.2k @ 81.5¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in August?—
No$1.9k @ 97.3¢
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?Politics
No$1.8k @ 59.8¢
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$1.6k @ 81.0¢
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?Geopolitics
No$1.4k @ 95.0¢
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of December?Other
No$1.4k @ 89.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?—
No$1.2k @ 98.1¢
Trump out as President before 2027?Politics
No$930 @ 93.0¢
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics
No$810 @ 81.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$776 @ 77.6¢
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?—
No$583 @ 97.2¢
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics
Yes$540 @ 36.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in August?—
No$460 @ 92.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?—
No$415 @ 83.0¢
Will GameStop acquire eBay?Other
No$336 @ 84.0¢
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Politics
Yes$7 @ 96.6¢