0x8768…dd9b

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x87684f29d70994464c6f533bc52eb693b4f4dd9b
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+10.7pp

ROI

+18%

Win rate

74% @ 63.5¢

Brier

0.088

Resolved

240

Avg size

$305

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	95% (56/59)	+16%	59
Politics	72% (18/25)	+0%	25
Sports	78% (7/9)	+3%	9
Crypto	78% (7/9)	-7%	9
Geopolitics	83% (5/6)	-3%	6
Business	100% (2/2)	+3%	2
Tech	100% (1/1)	+23%	1
Economy	100% (1/1)	+18%	1

Other59 bets
Hit rate
95% (56/59)
ROI
+16%
Politics25 bets
Hit rate
72% (18/25)
ROI
+0%
Sports9 bets
Hit rate
78% (7/9)
ROI
+3%
Crypto9 bets
Hit rate
78% (7/9)
ROI
-7%
Geopolitics6 bets
Hit rate
83% (5/6)
ROI
-3%
Business2 bets
Hit rate
100% (2/2)
ROI
+3%
Tech1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+23%
Economy1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+18%

Track record

87% hit · 97/112

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	Yes	$7	96.6¢	Won
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	No	$5.0k	97.5¢	Won
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	Yes	$292	33.7¢	Lost
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?	No	$245	98.1¢	Won
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	$435	87.0¢	Lost
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	$246	33.4¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in August?	No	$2.2k	96.9¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in August?	No	$460	92.0¢	Won
World Cup: Folarin Balogun to Play vs. Belgium?	Yes	$100	99.8¢	Won
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$4.7k	94.2¢	Won
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	No	$415	83.0¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on July 16?	Yes	$1.6k	99.6¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on July 9?	Yes	$396	99.0¢	Won
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$650	2.6¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 16?	Yes	$513	99.0¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $52,000 on July 7?	Yes	$113	98.7¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on July 3?	Yes	$195	97.5¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on July 5?	Yes	$412	99.7¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $48,000 on July 7?	Yes	$123	99.8¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $50,000 on July 6?	Yes	$46	99.5¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $50,000 on July 7?	Yes	$80	99.7¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on July 6?	Yes	$5	99.7¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $50,000 on July 8?	Yes	$80	99.8¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on July 5?	No	$5	99.7¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in July?	No	$489	97.9¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in July?	No	$3.8k	96.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in July?	No	$569	97.2¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on July 6?	No	$47	99.6¢	Won
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 in July?	No	$509	84.0¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $50,000 on July 4?	Yes	$498	99.6¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $52,000 on July 4?	Yes	$154	99.9¢	Won
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $52 in July?	No	$267	89.0¢	Won
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $48 in July?	No	$413	98.4¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on July 4?	Yes	$151	99.2¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on July 3?	Yes	$398	99.5¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 3?	No	$299	99.7¢	Won
Will Alan Wilson win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	$239	84.6¢	Won
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	$976	97.6¢	Won
Will France advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$485	97.0¢	Won
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?	No	$583	97.2¢	Won
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	$991	99.1¢	Won
Will Germany advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$482	96.4¢	Won
Will Brazil advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$51	97.3¢	Won
Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$1.4k	69.0¢	Won
Weed rescheduled by June 30?	No	$485	92.3¢	Won
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	$465	93.0¢	Won
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	$4.0k	98.0¢	Won
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	$216	98.1¢	Won
Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	$2.0k	97.7¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	$167	77.0¢	Lost

Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Won
Yes$7 @ 96.6¢
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Won
No$5.0k @ 97.5¢
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Lost
Yes$292 @ 33.7¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?Won
No$245 @ 98.1¢
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Lost
No$435 @ 87.0¢
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Lost
No$246 @ 33.4¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in August?Won
No$2.2k @ 96.9¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in August?Won
No$460 @ 92.0¢
World Cup: Folarin Balogun to Play vs. Belgium?Won
Yes$100 @ 99.8¢
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
No$4.7k @ 94.2¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Won
No$415 @ 83.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on July 16?Won
Yes$1.6k @ 99.6¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on July 9?Won
Yes$396 @ 99.0¢
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$650 @ 2.6¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 16?Won
Yes$513 @ 99.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $52,000 on July 7?Won
Yes$113 @ 98.7¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on July 3?Won
Yes$195 @ 97.5¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on July 5?Won
Yes$412 @ 99.7¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $48,000 on July 7?Won
Yes$123 @ 99.8¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $50,000 on July 6?Won
Yes$46 @ 99.5¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $50,000 on July 7?Won
Yes$80 @ 99.7¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on July 6?Won
Yes$5 @ 99.7¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $50,000 on July 8?Won
Yes$80 @ 99.8¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on July 5?Won
No$5 @ 99.7¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in July?Won
No$489 @ 97.9¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in July?Won
No$3.8k @ 96.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in July?Won
No$569 @ 97.2¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on July 6?Won
No$47 @ 99.6¢
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 in July?Won
No$509 @ 84.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $50,000 on July 4?Won
Yes$498 @ 99.6¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $52,000 on July 4?Won
Yes$154 @ 99.9¢
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $52 in July?Won
No$267 @ 89.0¢
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $48 in July?Won
No$413 @ 98.4¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on July 4?Won
Yes$151 @ 99.2¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on July 3?Won
Yes$398 @ 99.5¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 3?Won
No$299 @ 99.7¢
Will Alan Wilson win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?Won
Yes$239 @ 84.6¢
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?Won
No$976 @ 97.6¢
Will France advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
Yes$485 @ 97.0¢
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?Won
No$583 @ 97.2¢
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?Won
No$991 @ 99.1¢
Will Germany advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
Yes$482 @ 96.4¢
Will Brazil advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
Yes$51 @ 97.3¢
Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
Yes$1.4k @ 69.0¢
Weed rescheduled by June 30?Won
No$485 @ 92.3¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Won
No$465 @ 93.0¢
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Won
No$4.0k @ 98.0¢
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?Won
No$216 @ 98.1¢
Netanyahu out by June 30?Won
No$2.0k @ 97.7¢
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?Lost
No$167 @ 77.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Politics	No	$12.2k	81.5¢
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?	Other	No	$9.9k	70.2¢
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?	Politics	No	$6.1k	81.8¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	—	No	$3.9k	97.9¢
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in September?	—	No	$678	95.5¢

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics
No$12.2k @ 81.5¢
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?Other
No$9.9k @ 70.2¢
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?Politics
No$6.1k @ 81.8¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?—
No$3.9k @ 97.9¢
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in September?—
No$678 @ 95.5¢