0x86b1…c094

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x86b1d13d442471814d47218b1486cb364cc0c094
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+8.6pp

ROI

+54%

Win rate

27% @ 18.5¢

Brier

0.172

Resolved

530

Avg size

$39

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	32% (18/57)	+55%	57

Other57 bets
Hit rate
32% (18/57)
ROI
+55%

Track record

32% hit · 18/57

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 17?	Yes	$0	0.3¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 17?	Yes	$68	37.8¢	Won
Dota 2: Conventus Stellarum vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winner	Conventus Stellarum	$355	15.2¢	Lost
Biella: Jay Clarke vs Felix Gill	Felix Gill	$107	13.2¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: Brute vs G2 Ares (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage	Brute	$284	56.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 17?	Yes	$24	3.5¢	Lost
Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5)	Team WE	$260	65.0¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winner	MOUZ	$62	8.4¢	Lost
Dota 2: Conventus Stellarum vs PlayTime (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage	Conventus Stellarum	$120	7.8¢	Won
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Pibbles Corp - Game 1 Winner	Pibbles Corp	$474	10.0¢	Lost
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winner	Movistar KOI	$1.2k	29.4¢	Won
Valorant: FENNEL Female vs Team Falcons VEGA - Map 1 Winner	Team Falcons VEGA	$15	5.4¢	Lost
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 4 Winner	JD Gaming	$228	15.3¢	Lost
Valencia: Alicia Herrero Linana vs Lucia Cortez Llorca	Alicia Herrero Linana	$618	29.7¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 16?	Yes	$547	85.9¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 18?	Yes	$16	16.0¢	Lost
Phan Thiet 4: Moise Kouame vs Rodrigo Pacheco	Rodrigo Pacheco	$103	19.8¢	Won
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Pibbles Corp - Game 2 Winner	Pibbles Corp	$102	6.4¢	Lost
Valorant: Team Falcons VEGA vs Gen.G GC (BO5) - VCT Game Changers Pacific Playoffs	Team Falcons VEGA	$66	22.0¢	Lost
Dota 2: 1win vs Team Nemesis - Game 1 Winner	Team Nemesis	$598	8.3¢	Lost
Valorant: FENNEL Female vs Team Falcons VEGA - Map 2 Winner	Team Falcons VEGA	$709	35.5¢	Lost
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winner	Movistar KOI	$912	32.0¢	Won
LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Game 3 Winner	Team WE	$112	8.7¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FURIA (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs	MOUZ	$301	11.8¢	Lost
Singapore Open, Qualification: Eva Marie Desvignes vs Kyoka Okamura	Eva Marie Desvignes	$361	7.4¢	Lost
Korea Open, Qualification: Xinxin Yao vs Priscilla Hon	Xinxin Yao	$193	18.7¢	Won
Szczecin: Filip Pieczonka vs Marco Trungelliti	Filip Pieczonka	$569	9.6¢	Lost
Phan Thiet 4: Matthew Dellavedova vs Hunter Heck	Matthew Dellavedova	$68	1.5¢	Lost
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winner	Natus Vincere	$582	37.1¢	Lost
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winner	Top Esports	$1.2k	53.0¢	Lost
Biella: Mika Brunold vs Carlo Alberto Caniato	Mika Brunold	$274	21.9¢	Lost
Will Warsh say "Trump" during September Press Conference?	Yes	$8	7.0¢	Lost
Rennes: Francesco Maestrelli vs Yanis Durand	Francesco Maestrelli	$887	22.0¢	Won
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Prospect vs EAC Extra - Map 2 Winner	Inner Circle Prospect	$157	16.8¢	Lost
Guadalajara Open Akron: Marta Kostyuk vs Liudmila Samsonova	Liudmila Samsonova	$325	14.8¢	Won
Guadalajara Open Akron: Peyton Stearns vs Sloane Stephens	Sloane Stephens	$319	15.5¢	Lost
LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner	Team WE	$1.1k	42.1¢	Won
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner	Invictus Gaming	$38	43.0¢	Won
Tiburon: J.J. Wolf vs Sebastian Gorzny	Sebastian Gorzny	$235	15.1¢	Lost
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winner	Natus Vincere	$552	34.1¢	Won
Caldas da Rainha: Jeline Vandromme vs Francisca Jorge	Francisca Jorge	$344	18.7¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner	MOUZ	$306	34.5¢	Won
Guangzhou: Alexandr Binda vs Fajing Sun	Alexandr Binda	$551	13.4¢	Won
Sao Paulo Open: Suzan Lamens vs Solana Sierra	Solana Sierra	$1.2k	20.9¢	Lost
Trump declassifies new UFO files by September 30?	No	$165	11.9¢	Lost
Game Handicap: Xtreme (-1.5) vs Pibbles Corp (+1.5)	Pibbles Corp	$20	1.0¢	Lost
Guadalajara Open Akron: Liudmila Samsonova vs Peyton Stearns	Liudmila Samsonova	$363	9.2¢	Lost
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Kalmychata - Game 1 Winner	Kalmychata	$176	35.2¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner	Aurora Gaming	$166	9.8¢	Lost
NATO downs another Russian drone by September 15?	No	$4	1.1¢	Lost

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 17?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 17?Won
Yes$68 @ 37.8¢
Dota 2: Conventus Stellarum vs PlayTime - Game 2 WinnerLost
Conventus Stellarum$355 @ 15.2¢
Biella: Jay Clarke vs Felix GillLost
Felix Gill$107 @ 13.2¢
Counter-Strike: Brute vs G2 Ares (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group StageWon
Brute$284 @ 56.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 17?Lost
Yes$24 @ 3.5¢
Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5)Lost
Team WE$260 @ 65.0¢
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 WinnerLost
MOUZ$62 @ 8.4¢
Dota 2: Conventus Stellarum vs PlayTime (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group StageWon
Conventus Stellarum$120 @ 7.8¢
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Pibbles Corp - Game 1 WinnerLost
Pibbles Corp$474 @ 10.0¢
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 WinnerWon
Movistar KOI$1.2k @ 29.4¢
Valorant: FENNEL Female vs Team Falcons VEGA - Map 1 WinnerLost
Team Falcons VEGA$15 @ 5.4¢
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 4 WinnerLost
JD Gaming$228 @ 15.3¢
Valencia: Alicia Herrero Linana vs Lucia Cortez LlorcaWon
Alicia Herrero Linana$618 @ 29.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 16?Won
Yes$547 @ 85.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 18?Lost
Yes$16 @ 16.0¢
Phan Thiet 4: Moise Kouame vs Rodrigo PachecoWon
Rodrigo Pacheco$103 @ 19.8¢
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Pibbles Corp - Game 2 WinnerLost
Pibbles Corp$102 @ 6.4¢
Valorant: Team Falcons VEGA vs Gen.G GC (BO5) - VCT Game Changers Pacific PlayoffsLost
Team Falcons VEGA$66 @ 22.0¢
Dota 2: 1win vs Team Nemesis - Game 1 WinnerLost
Team Nemesis$598 @ 8.3¢
Valorant: FENNEL Female vs Team Falcons VEGA - Map 2 WinnerLost
Team Falcons VEGA$709 @ 35.5¢
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 WinnerWon
Movistar KOI$912 @ 32.0¢
LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Game 3 WinnerLost
Team WE$112 @ 8.7¢
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FURIA (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries PlayoffsLost
MOUZ$301 @ 11.8¢
Singapore Open, Qualification: Eva Marie Desvignes vs Kyoka OkamuraLost
Eva Marie Desvignes$361 @ 7.4¢
Korea Open, Qualification: Xinxin Yao vs Priscilla HonWon
Xinxin Yao$193 @ 18.7¢
Szczecin: Filip Pieczonka vs Marco TrungellitiLost
Filip Pieczonka$569 @ 9.6¢
Phan Thiet 4: Matthew Dellavedova vs Hunter HeckLost
Matthew Dellavedova$68 @ 1.5¢
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 WinnerLost
Natus Vincere$582 @ 37.1¢
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 WinnerLost
Top Esports$1.2k @ 53.0¢
Biella: Mika Brunold vs Carlo Alberto CaniatoLost
Mika Brunold$274 @ 21.9¢
Will Warsh say "Trump" during September Press Conference?Lost
Yes$8 @ 7.0¢
Rennes: Francesco Maestrelli vs Yanis DurandWon
Francesco Maestrelli$887 @ 22.0¢
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Prospect vs EAC Extra - Map 2 WinnerLost
Inner Circle Prospect$157 @ 16.8¢
Guadalajara Open Akron: Marta Kostyuk vs Liudmila SamsonovaWon
Liudmila Samsonova$325 @ 14.8¢
Guadalajara Open Akron: Peyton Stearns vs Sloane StephensLost
Sloane Stephens$319 @ 15.5¢
LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Game 1 WinnerWon
Team WE$1.1k @ 42.1¢
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 1 WinnerWon
Invictus Gaming$38 @ 43.0¢
Tiburon: J.J. Wolf vs Sebastian GorznyLost
Sebastian Gorzny$235 @ 15.1¢
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 WinnerWon
Natus Vincere$552 @ 34.1¢
Caldas da Rainha: Jeline Vandromme vs Francisca JorgeLost
Francisca Jorge$344 @ 18.7¢
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FURIA - Map 2 WinnerWon
MOUZ$306 @ 34.5¢
Guangzhou: Alexandr Binda vs Fajing SunWon
Alexandr Binda$551 @ 13.4¢
Sao Paulo Open: Suzan Lamens vs Solana SierraLost
Solana Sierra$1.2k @ 20.9¢
Trump declassifies new UFO files by September 30?Lost
No$165 @ 11.9¢
Game Handicap: Xtreme (-1.5) vs Pibbles Corp (+1.5)Lost
Pibbles Corp$20 @ 1.0¢
Guadalajara Open Akron: Liudmila Samsonova vs Peyton StearnsLost
Liudmila Samsonova$363 @ 9.2¢
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Kalmychata - Game 1 WinnerLost
Kalmychata$176 @ 35.2¢
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality - Map 2 WinnerLost
Aurora Gaming$166 @ 9.8¢
NATO downs another Russian drone by September 15?Lost
No$4 @ 1.1¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 18?	—	No	$2.4k	99.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 19?	—	Yes	$560	27.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 19?	—	Yes	$418	58.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 18?	—	No	$341	98.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 18?	—	No	$336	64.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 19?	—	No	$325	10.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 18?	—	Yes	$148	5.3¢
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 8th Weekend Box Office be at least 6m?	—	No	$148	74.0¢
Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 55m and 60m?	—	Yes	$49	12.3¢
Will SPD win the second-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	—	No	$32	54.0¢
Will "Practical Magic 2" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 10m?	—	Yes	$19	6.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 18?	—	Yes	$15	0.7¢
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 8th Weekend Box Office be between 4.5m and 5m?	—	Yes	$14	7.0¢
Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 50m and 55m?	—	Yes	$8	0.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 19?	—	Yes	$4	0.4¢
Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 50m?	—	Yes	$3	0.8¢
Will "Practical Magic 2" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 11m?	—	Yes	$3	14.0¢
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 8th Weekend Box Office be less than 4m?	—	Yes	$2	1.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 19?	—	Yes	$2	0.2¢
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 8th Weekend Box Office be between 4m and 4.5m?	—	Yes	$2	0.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 18?	—	Yes	$1	0.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 18?	—	Yes	$1	0.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 18?	—	Yes	$1	0.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C or below on September 18?	—	Yes	$1	0.1¢

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 18?—
No$2.4k @ 99.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 19?—
Yes$560 @ 27.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 19?—
Yes$418 @ 58.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 18?—
No$341 @ 98.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 18?—
No$336 @ 64.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 19?—
No$325 @ 10.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 18?—
Yes$148 @ 5.3¢
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 8th Weekend Box Office be at least 6m?—
No$148 @ 74.0¢
Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 55m and 60m?—
Yes$49 @ 12.3¢
Will SPD win the second-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?—
No$32 @ 54.0¢
Will "Practical Magic 2" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 10m?—
Yes$19 @ 6.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 18?—
Yes$15 @ 0.7¢
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 8th Weekend Box Office be between 4.5m and 5m?—
Yes$14 @ 7.0¢
Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 50m and 55m?—
Yes$8 @ 0.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 19?—
Yes$4 @ 0.4¢
Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 50m?—
Yes$3 @ 0.8¢
Will "Practical Magic 2" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 11m?—
Yes$3 @ 14.0¢
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 8th Weekend Box Office be less than 4m?—
Yes$2 @ 1.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 19?—
Yes$2 @ 0.2¢
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 8th Weekend Box Office be between 4m and 4.5m?—
Yes$2 @ 0.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 18?—
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 18?—
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 18?—
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C or below on September 18?—
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢