0x86ab…e5be

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x86ab08251ae687a94b8c3bd1a978700943a2e5be
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+14.7pp

ROI

+25%

Win rate

85% @ 69.9¢

Brier

0.083

Resolved

149

Avg size

$577

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	75% (21/28)	+25%	28

Other28 bets
Hit rate
75% (21/28)
ROI
+25%

Track record

75% hit · 21/28

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after December 2024 meeting?	Yes	$14	0.2¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by February 28, 2025?	No	$870	87.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in November?	No	$3.2k	85.6¢	Won
Will Bitcoin hit $100k today?	No	$306	55.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by March 31?	No	$8.9k	85.7¢	Won
TikTok sale announced before April?	No	$1.1k	74.6¢	Won
Matt Gaetz confirmed as Attorney General?	Yes	$1.0k	31.0¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $120K in June?	No	$2.7k	78.6¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by March 31?	No	$66	88.6¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by March 31?	No	$1.1k	87.5¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?	No	$2.0k	85.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by March 31?	No	$5.7k	87.0¢	Won
Ethereum all time high in 2024?	No	$4.0k	81.0¢	Won
Will Matt Gaetz be Trump's Attorney General?	Yes	$1.1k	48.0¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in November?	No	$2.8k	74.4¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by January 31, 2025?	No	$1.9k	89.0¢	Won
Will Supreme Court delay the Tiktok ban?	Yes	$636	25.2¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?	No	$14.7k	64.1¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by March 31?	No	$2.4k	79.4¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in October?	Yes	$200	9.1¢	Lost
Total crypto market cap over $4 trillion on Jan 20?	No	$435	87.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in December?	No	$723	85.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by March 31?	No	$5.4k	88.4¢	Won
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?	Yes	$11.3k	61.4¢	Won
Matt Gaetz Ethics Report made public in November?	No	$527	79.8¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?	No	$6.5k	68.2¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in October?	No	$351	68.3¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in December?	No	$6.1k	84.7¢	Won

Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after December 2024 meeting?Lost
Yes$14 @ 0.2¢
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by February 28, 2025?Won
No$870 @ 87.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in November?Won
No$3.2k @ 85.6¢
Will Bitcoin hit $100k today?Won
No$306 @ 55.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by March 31?Won
No$8.9k @ 85.7¢
TikTok sale announced before April?Won
No$1.1k @ 74.6¢
Matt Gaetz confirmed as Attorney General?Lost
Yes$1.0k @ 31.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $120K in June?Won
No$2.7k @ 78.6¢
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by March 31?Won
No$66 @ 88.6¢
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by March 31?Won
No$1.1k @ 87.5¢
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?Won
No$2.0k @ 85.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by March 31?Won
No$5.7k @ 87.0¢
Ethereum all time high in 2024?Won
No$4.0k @ 81.0¢
Will Matt Gaetz be Trump's Attorney General?Lost
Yes$1.1k @ 48.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in November?Lost
No$2.8k @ 74.4¢
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by January 31, 2025?Won
No$1.9k @ 89.0¢
Will Supreme Court delay the Tiktok ban?Lost
Yes$636 @ 25.2¢
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?Won
No$14.7k @ 64.1¢
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by March 31?Won
No$2.4k @ 79.4¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in October?Lost
Yes$200 @ 9.1¢
Total crypto market cap over $4 trillion on Jan 20?Won
No$435 @ 87.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in December?Won
No$723 @ 85.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by March 31?Won
No$5.4k @ 88.4¢
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Won
Yes$11.3k @ 61.4¢
Matt Gaetz Ethics Report made public in November?Won
No$527 @ 79.8¢
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?Won
No$6.5k @ 68.2¢
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in October? Lost
No$351 @ 68.3¢
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in December?Won
No$6.1k @ 84.7¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$25.2k	93.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$13.4k	92.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$8.4k	95.7¢
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$2.4k	83.0¢

Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$25.2k @ 93.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$13.4k @ 92.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$8.4k @ 95.7¢
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$2.4k @ 83.0¢