0x85bd…7f75

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x85bd6a676a1b399f849b22332b1f7eca15c87f75
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+5.8pp

ROI

+6%

Win rate

70% @ 64.6¢

Brier

0.174

Resolved

1913

Avg size

$56

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	67% (426/632)	+7%	632
Science	71% (34/48)	+5%	48
Sports	22% (2/9)	-76%	9
Politics	50% (1/2)	+15%	2
Crypto	100% (1/1)	+13%	1

Other632 bets
Hit rate
67% (426/632)
ROI
+7%
Science48 bets
Hit rate
71% (34/48)
ROI
+5%
Sports9 bets
Hit rate
22% (2/9)
ROI
-76%
Politics2 bets
Hit rate
50% (1/2)
ROI
+15%
Crypto1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+13%

Track record

67% hit · 464/692

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on July 4?	Yes	$229	83.9¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 24?	Yes	$15	89.6¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 21?	Yes	$57	85.1¢	Lost
Will Lando Norris get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?	Yes	$1	6.0¢	Lost
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on June 16?	Yes	$51	50.4¢	Lost
Will Lewis Hamilton achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?	No	$13	20.8¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on June 17?	Yes	$76	43.5¢	Lost
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on May 17?	Yes	$45	86.9¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on May 14?	Yes	$42	79.2¢	Lost
Will George Russell win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?	No	$4	19.0¢	Lost
Will Kimi Antonelli win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?	Yes	$9	28.3¢	Lost
Will Mclaren Mastercard get pole position at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?	Yes	$10	23.8¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on November 3?	Yes	$125	80.4¢	Lost
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	$500	93.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on November 1?	Yes	$50	90.2¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 8°C on November 1?	Yes	$50	79.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 11°C on November 1?	Yes	$100	86.5¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on June 1?	Yes	$134	87.9¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 20°C on March 23?	No	$50	89.1¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 20°C on March 23?	Yes	$8	21.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 9°C on May 12?	Yes	$102	62.3¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on May 11?	Yes	$131	87.9¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on April 18?	No	$92	84.1¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 22°C on March 10?	Yes	$40	88.8¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 72°F or higher on March 15?	No	$50	71.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 12?	Yes	$158	56.4¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on May 2?	Yes	$18	88.9¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on April 20?	No	$50	77.5¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on April 20?	Yes	$40	25.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on March 13?	No	$144	89.2¢	Won
Will Charles Leclerc get pole position at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?	Yes	$20	16.9¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 8?	No	$422	89.2¢	Won
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?	Yes	$92	1.4¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 9?	Yes	$58	89.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on March 28?	Yes	$130	49.8¢	Lost
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $245 on January 27?	No	$20	80.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on April 11?	No	$481	58.5¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on April 11?	Yes	$205	48.3¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in London be 4°C on January 7?	Yes	$2	9.0¢	Lost
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on April 26?	No	$80	66.4¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 24°C or higher on March 11?	No	$62	74.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on January 17?	No	$6	84.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 8°C or higher on February 18?	No	$12	8.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 19°C on March 16?	No	$71	78.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 19°C on March 16?	Yes	$7	10.1¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 8°C on February 17?	Yes	$59	85.8¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on January 17?	No	$56	82.8¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on January 17?	Yes	$236	82.2¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 19°C or higher on April 17?	Yes	$100	66.9¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on June 7?	Yes	$101	86.2¢	Won

Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on July 4?Lost
Yes$229 @ 83.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 24?Lost
Yes$15 @ 89.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 21?Lost
Yes$57 @ 85.1¢
Will Lando Norris get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?Lost
Yes$1 @ 6.0¢
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on June 16?Lost
Yes$51 @ 50.4¢
Will Lewis Hamilton achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?Lost
No$13 @ 20.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on June 17?Lost
Yes$76 @ 43.5¢
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on May 17?Lost
Yes$45 @ 86.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on May 14?Lost
Yes$42 @ 79.2¢
Will George Russell win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?Lost
No$4 @ 19.0¢
Will Kimi Antonelli win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?Lost
Yes$9 @ 28.3¢
Will Mclaren Mastercard get pole position at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?Lost
Yes$10 @ 23.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on November 3?Lost
Yes$125 @ 80.4¢
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?Lost
Yes$500 @ 93.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on November 1?Won
Yes$50 @ 90.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 8°C on November 1?Won
Yes$50 @ 79.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 11°C on November 1?Won
Yes$100 @ 86.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on June 1?Won
Yes$134 @ 87.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 20°C on March 23?Won
No$50 @ 89.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 20°C on March 23?Lost
Yes$8 @ 21.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 9°C on May 12?Lost
Yes$102 @ 62.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on May 11?Won
Yes$131 @ 87.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on April 18?Won
No$92 @ 84.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 22°C on March 10?Won
Yes$40 @ 88.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 72°F or higher on March 15?Lost
No$50 @ 71.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 12?Lost
Yes$158 @ 56.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on May 2?Lost
Yes$18 @ 88.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on April 20?Won
No$50 @ 77.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on April 20?Lost
Yes$40 @ 25.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on March 13?Won
No$144 @ 89.2¢
Will Charles Leclerc get pole position at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?Lost
Yes$20 @ 16.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 8?Won
No$422 @ 89.2¢
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?Lost
Yes$92 @ 1.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 9?Won
Yes$58 @ 89.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on March 28?Lost
Yes$130 @ 49.8¢
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $245 on January 27?Won
No$20 @ 80.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on April 11?Won
No$481 @ 58.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on April 11?Lost
Yes$205 @ 48.3¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 4°C on January 7?Lost
Yes$2 @ 9.0¢
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on April 26?Won
No$80 @ 66.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 24°C or higher on March 11?Won
No$62 @ 74.0¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on January 17?Won
No$6 @ 84.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 8°C or higher on February 18?Lost
No$12 @ 8.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 19°C on March 16?Lost
No$71 @ 78.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 19°C on March 16?Won
Yes$7 @ 10.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 8°C on February 17?Won
Yes$59 @ 85.8¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on January 17?Lost
No$56 @ 82.8¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on January 17?Won
Yes$236 @ 82.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 19°C or higher on April 17?Won
Yes$100 @ 66.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on June 7?Won
Yes$101 @ 86.2¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?	—	Yes	$2.0k	85.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 3?	—	Yes	$890	85.1¢
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?	Sports	Yes	$500	93.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on September 3?	—	Yes	$258	89.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on May 20?	—	Yes	$256	83.9¢
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on July 4?	—	Yes	$229	83.9¢
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on May 13?	—	Yes	$136	77.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on November 3?	Science	Yes	$125	80.4¢
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?	—	Yes	$100	78.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 17?	—	Yes	$88	37.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on May 4?	—	Yes	$86	64.4¢
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?	—	Yes	$85	60.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on June 17?	Science	Yes	$76	43.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 21?	—	Yes	$57	85.1¢
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on June 16?	Science	Yes	$51	50.4¢
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on June 7?	—	Yes	$51	32.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 8?	Science	Yes	$50	81.9¢
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on June 10?	—	Yes	$50	87.5¢
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on May 17?	—	Yes	$45	86.9¢
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on May 5?	—	Yes	$43	52.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on May 14?	—	Yes	$42	79.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on October 25?	Science	Yes	$40	43.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on May 2?	—	Yes	$38	91.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on May 23?	—	Yes	$25	41.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on October 18?	Science	Yes	$20	39.1¢
Will Charles Leclerc get pole position at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?	—	Yes	$20	16.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 24?	—	Yes	$15	89.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 12°C on October 29?	Science	Yes	$15	50.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on October 30?	Science	Yes	$15	18.4¢
Will Lewis Hamilton achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?	Sports	No	$13	20.8¢

Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?—
Yes$2.0k @ 85.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 3?—
Yes$890 @ 85.1¢
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?Sports
Yes$500 @ 93.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on September 3?—
Yes$258 @ 89.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on May 20?—
Yes$256 @ 83.9¢
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on July 4?—
Yes$229 @ 83.9¢
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on May 13?—
Yes$136 @ 77.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on November 3?Science
Yes$125 @ 80.4¢
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?—
Yes$100 @ 78.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 17?—
Yes$88 @ 37.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on May 4?—
Yes$86 @ 64.4¢
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?—
Yes$85 @ 60.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on June 17?Science
Yes$76 @ 43.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 21?—
Yes$57 @ 85.1¢
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on June 16?Science
Yes$51 @ 50.4¢
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on June 7?—
Yes$51 @ 32.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 8?Science
Yes$50 @ 81.9¢
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on June 10?—
Yes$50 @ 87.5¢
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on May 17?—
Yes$45 @ 86.9¢
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on May 5?—
Yes$43 @ 52.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on May 14?—
Yes$42 @ 79.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on October 25?Science
Yes$40 @ 43.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on May 2?—
Yes$38 @ 91.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on May 23?—
Yes$25 @ 41.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on October 18?Science
Yes$20 @ 39.1¢
Will Charles Leclerc get pole position at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?—
Yes$20 @ 16.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 24?—
Yes$15 @ 89.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 12°C on October 29?Science
Yes$15 @ 50.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on October 30?Science
Yes$15 @ 18.4¢
Will Lewis Hamilton achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?Sports
No$13 @ 20.8¢