0x8594…3733

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x859467c23cfc72345fec2f845078696896f03733
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Profitable

Edge

+8.2pp

ROI

+3%

Win rate

67% @ 59.1¢

Brier

0.141

Resolved

924

Avg size

$131

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	65% (154/237)	+2%	237
Sports	47% (15/32)	-1%	32
Crypto	63% (5/8)	+121%	8
Politics	67% (2/3)	+38%	3
Geopolitics	100% (1/1)	+54%	1

Other237 bets
Hit rate
65% (154/237)
ROI
+2%
Sports32 bets
Hit rate
47% (15/32)
ROI
-1%
Crypto8 bets
Hit rate
63% (5/8)
ROI
+121%
Politics3 bets
Hit rate
67% (2/3)
ROI
+38%
Geopolitics1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+54%

Track record

63% hit · 177/281

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
European Open, Qualification: Aziz Dougaz vs Tom Gentzsch	Aziz Dougaz	$120	40.0¢	Won
Timberwolves vs. Pistons: O/U 219.5	Over	$48	48.0¢	Won
Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Peyton Stearns	Peyton Stearns	$161	10.0¢	Lost
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Alexandra Eala vs Oleksandra Oliynykova	Alexandra Eala	$384	63.3¢	Lost
BMW Open: Alexander Blockx vs Ben Shelton	Ben Shelton	$242	80.5¢	Won
Monza: Timofey Skatov vs Hugo Gaston	Timofey Skatov	$48	21.0¢	Lost
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?	No	$68	68.0¢	Won
Adana: Leolia Jeanjean vs Lois Boisson	Leolia Jeanjean	$273	72.9¢	Won
Adana: Leolia Jeanjean vs Lois Boisson	Lois Boisson	$12	37.3¢	Lost
Busan: Rio Noguchi vs Coleman Wong	Rio Noguchi	$395	79.0¢	Won
Madrid Open: Andrey Rublev vs Vit Kopriva	Andrey Rublev	$331	41.4¢	Lost
China Open: Elise Mertens vs Iga Swiatek	Elise Mertens	$65	64.0¢	Won
Madrid Open, Qualification: Anastasia Potapova vs Sinja Kraus	Sinja Kraus	$772	45.7¢	Won
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	No	$88	65.0¢	Won
Oeiras 3: Anouk Koevermans vs Robin Montgomery	Robin Montgomery	$1.2k	78.7¢	Won
Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw?	Yes	$54	21.0¢	Won
Sarasota: Yibing Wu vs Darwin Blanch	Yibing Wu	$624	78.0¢	Won
Abidjan: Florent Bax vs Niels Visker	Florent Bax	$1.3k	64.0¢	Won
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters, Qualification: Damir Dzumhur vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer	Damir Dzumhur	$289	85.5¢	Won
Madrid Open: Rafael Jodar vs Jesper de Jong	Rafael Jodar	$600	75.0¢	Won
Will Switzerland vs. Canada end in a draw?	Yes	$65	21.5¢	Lost
Hornets vs. Magic	Hornets	$186	62.0¢	Lost
Will Tisza win at least 110 seats?	Yes	$52	61.0¢	Won
Jiujiang: Xinxin Yao vs Haruka Kaji	Haruka Kaji	$886	36.6¢	Lost
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw?	Yes	$168	33.0¢	Lost
Aix en Provence: Martin Landaluce vs Ethan Quinn	Martin Landaluce	$36	3.0¢	Lost
Campinas: Gustavo Heide vs Pedro Boscardin Dias	Gustavo Heide	$820	82.0¢	Won
Palermo: Michele Ribecai vs Jonas Forejtek	Jonas Forejtek	$13	65.0¢	Won
Palermo: Michele Ribecai vs Jonas Forejtek	Michele Ribecai	$75	61.4¢	Lost
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$537	5.4¢	Lost
Spurs vs. Heat	Spurs	$6	61.0¢	Won
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Daniil Medvedev	Daniil Medvedev	$206	58.0¢	Won
Tallahassee: Clement Tabur vs Michael Mmoh	Clement Tabur	$385	77.0¢	Won
Barcelona Open: Pedro Martinez vs Lorenzo Sonego	Lorenzo Sonego	$423	70.5¢	Won
Oeiras 3: Henrique Rocha vs Tom Gentzsch	Tom Gentzsch	$70	35.0¢	Lost
Mexico City: Raphael Perot vs Stefan Kozlov	Stefan Kozlov	$27	72.0¢	Won
BMW Open, Qualification: Roberto Carballes Baena vs Alex Molcan	Roberto Carballes Baena	$132	44.0¢	Lost
Will Los Angeles FC win on 2026-04-04?	Yes	$38	76.0¢	Won
Laver Cup: Jakub Mensik vs Brandon Nakashima	Brandon Nakashima	$51	50.0¢	Won
Saint-Malo: Tereza Valentova vs Lilli Tagger	Lilli Tagger	$62	24.2¢	Lost
Saint-Malo: Tereza Valentova vs Lilli Tagger	Tereza Valentova	$54	53.0¢	Won
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Patrick Kypson vs Jack Pinnington Jones	Patrick Kypson	$214	42.0¢	Won
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Daria Kasatkina vs Ann Li	Ann Li	$2.0k	77.3¢	Won
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	Yes	$165	33.0¢	Won
Lakers vs. Pistons	Lakers	$10	52.0¢	Lost
Barcelona Open, Qualification: Matteo Arnaldi vs Quentin Halys	Matteo Arnaldi	$30	30.0¢	Lost
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?	Yes	$1.6k	84.7¢	Won
Monza: Mattia Bellucci vs Dino Prizmic	Mattia Bellucci	$34	34.0¢	Lost
W50 Berkeley, CA: Emma Kamper vs Carson Branstine	Carson Branstine	$11	57.0¢	Lost
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Cameron Norrie vs Alex de Minaur	Alex de Minaur	$222	61.8¢	Won

European Open, Qualification: Aziz Dougaz vs Tom GentzschWon
Aziz Dougaz$120 @ 40.0¢
Timberwolves vs. Pistons: O/U 219.5Won
Over$48 @ 48.0¢
Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Peyton StearnsLost
Peyton Stearns$161 @ 10.0¢
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Alexandra Eala vs Oleksandra OliynykovaLost
Alexandra Eala$384 @ 63.3¢
BMW Open: Alexander Blockx vs Ben SheltonWon
Ben Shelton$242 @ 80.5¢
Monza: Timofey Skatov vs Hugo GastonLost
Timofey Skatov$48 @ 21.0¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?Won
No$68 @ 68.0¢
Adana: Leolia Jeanjean vs Lois BoissonWon
Leolia Jeanjean$273 @ 72.9¢
Adana: Leolia Jeanjean vs Lois BoissonLost
Lois Boisson$12 @ 37.3¢
Busan: Rio Noguchi vs Coleman WongWon
Rio Noguchi$395 @ 79.0¢
Madrid Open: Andrey Rublev vs Vit KoprivaLost
Andrey Rublev$331 @ 41.4¢
China Open: Elise Mertens vs Iga SwiatekWon
Elise Mertens$65 @ 64.0¢
Madrid Open, Qualification: Anastasia Potapova vs Sinja KrausWon
Sinja Kraus$772 @ 45.7¢
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?Won
No$88 @ 65.0¢
Oeiras 3: Anouk Koevermans vs Robin MontgomeryWon
Robin Montgomery$1.2k @ 78.7¢
Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw?Won
Yes$54 @ 21.0¢
Sarasota: Yibing Wu vs Darwin BlanchWon
Yibing Wu$624 @ 78.0¢
Abidjan: Florent Bax vs Niels ViskerWon
Florent Bax$1.3k @ 64.0¢
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters, Qualification: Damir Dzumhur vs Nicolai Budkov KjaerWon
Damir Dzumhur$289 @ 85.5¢
Madrid Open: Rafael Jodar vs Jesper de JongWon
Rafael Jodar$600 @ 75.0¢
Will Switzerland vs. Canada end in a draw?Lost
Yes$65 @ 21.5¢
Hornets vs. MagicLost
Hornets$186 @ 62.0¢
Will Tisza win at least 110 seats?Won
Yes$52 @ 61.0¢
Jiujiang: Xinxin Yao vs Haruka KajiLost
Haruka Kaji$886 @ 36.6¢
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw?Lost
Yes$168 @ 33.0¢
Aix en Provence: Martin Landaluce vs Ethan QuinnLost
Martin Landaluce$36 @ 3.0¢
Campinas: Gustavo Heide vs Pedro Boscardin DiasWon
Gustavo Heide$820 @ 82.0¢
Palermo: Michele Ribecai vs Jonas ForejtekWon
Jonas Forejtek$13 @ 65.0¢
Palermo: Michele Ribecai vs Jonas ForejtekLost
Michele Ribecai$75 @ 61.4¢
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$537 @ 5.4¢
Spurs vs. HeatWon
Spurs$6 @ 61.0¢
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Daniil MedvedevWon
Daniil Medvedev$206 @ 58.0¢
Tallahassee: Clement Tabur vs Michael MmohWon
Clement Tabur$385 @ 77.0¢
Barcelona Open: Pedro Martinez vs Lorenzo SonegoWon
Lorenzo Sonego$423 @ 70.5¢
Oeiras 3: Henrique Rocha vs Tom GentzschLost
Tom Gentzsch$70 @ 35.0¢
Mexico City: Raphael Perot vs Stefan KozlovWon
Stefan Kozlov$27 @ 72.0¢
BMW Open, Qualification: Roberto Carballes Baena vs Alex MolcanLost
Roberto Carballes Baena$132 @ 44.0¢
Will Los Angeles FC win on 2026-04-04?Won
Yes$38 @ 76.0¢
Laver Cup: Jakub Mensik vs Brandon NakashimaWon
Brandon Nakashima$51 @ 50.0¢
Saint-Malo: Tereza Valentova vs Lilli TaggerLost
Lilli Tagger$62 @ 24.2¢
Saint-Malo: Tereza Valentova vs Lilli TaggerWon
Tereza Valentova$54 @ 53.0¢
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Patrick Kypson vs Jack Pinnington JonesWon
Patrick Kypson$214 @ 42.0¢
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Daria Kasatkina vs Ann LiWon
Ann Li$2.0k @ 77.3¢
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?Won
Yes$165 @ 33.0¢
Lakers vs. PistonsLost
Lakers$10 @ 52.0¢
Barcelona Open, Qualification: Matteo Arnaldi vs Quentin HalysLost
Matteo Arnaldi$30 @ 30.0¢
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?Won
Yes$1.6k @ 84.7¢
Monza: Mattia Bellucci vs Dino PrizmicLost
Mattia Bellucci$34 @ 34.0¢
W50 Berkeley, CA: Emma Kamper vs Carson BranstineLost
Carson Branstine$11 @ 57.0¢
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Cameron Norrie vs Alex de MinaurWon
Alex de Minaur$222 @ 61.8¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$1.1k	73.0¢

Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Politics
Yes$1.1k @ 73.0¢