0x853e…f16a

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x853ebbfbd573f06c998e7ca7dbf060007badf16a
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Profitable

Edge

+6.9pp

ROI

+26%

Win rate

50% @ 43.0¢

Brier

0.224

Resolved

329

Avg size

$25

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	47% (75/158)	+18%	158
Sports	49% (74/151)	+34%	151

Other158 bets
Hit rate
47% (75/158)
ROI
+18%
Sports151 bets
Hit rate
49% (74/151)
ROI
+34%

Track record

48% hit · 149/309

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Hanwha Life Esports win Worlds 2026?	Yes	$29	18.0¢	Lost
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	$50	74.5¢	Won
Wizards vs. Bulls	Bulls	$20	54.0¢	Lost
Rockets vs. Hawks	Rockets	$20	50.0¢	Won
Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs Top Esports (+1.5)	Top Esports	$10	59.0¢	Lost
Exact Score: LASK Linz 1 - 2 Liverpool FC?	Yes	$5	11.0¢	Lost
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-09-20?	Yes	$51	51.0¢	Won
Exact Score: Inter Miami CF 2 - 0 Atlético San Luis?	Yes	$10	8.0¢	Lost
Sporting Kansas City vs. Portland Timbers: O/U 3.5	Over	$10	52.0¢	Won
LASK Linz vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5	Over	$10	62.0¢	Won
Real Madrid CF vs. Villarreal CF: Both Teams to Score	Yes	$10	54.5¢	Lost
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 3.5	Over	$21	37.0¢	Lost
Real Betis Balompié vs. Getafe CF: O/U 2.5	Over	$15	48.0¢	Lost
Fulham FC vs. Manchester United FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5	Over	$10	50.0¢	Lost
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)	Club Atlético de Madrid	$20	36.0¢	Lost
Deportivo Alavés vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 2.5	Over	$15	53.0¢	Lost
Will Norway win on 2026-09-27?	No	$20	59.0¢	Won
Will Nashville SC win on 2026-08-15?	Yes	$52	39.0¢	Won
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-10-18?	Yes	$30	18.0¢	Won
Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 3 - 1 Manchester United FC?	Yes	$5	5.9¢	Lost
Will Viking FK win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	$30	9.0¢	Lost
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 2.5	Over	$20	71.0¢	Lost
VfB Stuttgart vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 2.5	Over	$15	57.0¢	Lost
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	$21	39.0¢	Lost
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 3.5	Over	$10	50.0¢	Lost
Hamburger SV vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 0.5	Over	$30	58.8¢	Won
Górnik Zabrze vs. Ferencvárosi TC: Team to Advance	Górnik Zabrze	$21	31.0¢	Lost
Exact Score: FC Machida Zelvia 3 - 1 Urawa Red Diamonds?	Yes	$10	5.0¢	Won
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-10-18?	Yes	$71	47.7¢	Won
Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)	Nottingham Forest FC	$20	67.0¢	Won
Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 2 - 1 Manchester United FC?	Yes	$5	11.0¢	Lost
Real Betis Balompié vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5	Over	$25	61.0¢	Won
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-09-17?	Yes	$15	46.0¢	Lost
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)	Arsenal FC	$41	41.0¢	Lost
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-09-19?	Yes	$77	58.0¢	Lost
Spread: LASK Linz (-1.5)	LASK Linz	$21	29.0¢	Won
Will Germany win on 2026-09-24?	Yes	$40	38.0¢	Lost
Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)	Manchester United FC	$21	26.0¢	Lost
Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)	FC Bayern München	$21	43.0¢	Won
Spread: France (-1.5)	France	$41	50.0¢	Lost
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-09-20?	Yes	$59	69.0¢	Won
Spread: Sporting CP (-1.5)	Sporting CP	$15	54.0¢	Lost
Exact Score: RC Deportivo A Coruña 0 - 1 Sevilla FC?	Yes	$5	11.0¢	Won
Shandong Taishan FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: O/U 2.5	Over	$20	62.0¢	Won
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)	FC Barcelona	$30	76.0¢	Won
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-08-29?	No	$31	57.0¢	Won
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-08-29?	Yes	$51	44.0¢	Lost
Georgia vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 8.5 Total Corners	Over	$10	52.0¢	Won
Will Chicago Fire FC win on 2026-08-06?	Yes	$51	63.0¢	Won
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-09-16?	Yes	$41	33.0¢	Won

Will Hanwha Life Esports win Worlds 2026?Lost
Yes$29 @ 18.0¢
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Won
Yes$50 @ 74.5¢
Wizards vs. BullsLost
Bulls$20 @ 54.0¢
Rockets vs. HawksWon
Rockets$20 @ 50.0¢
Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs Top Esports (+1.5)Lost
Top Esports$10 @ 59.0¢
Exact Score: LASK Linz 1 - 2 Liverpool FC?Lost
Yes$5 @ 11.0¢
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-09-20?Won
Yes$51 @ 51.0¢
Exact Score: Inter Miami CF 2 - 0 Atlético San Luis?Lost
Yes$10 @ 8.0¢
Sporting Kansas City vs. Portland Timbers: O/U 3.5Won
Over$10 @ 52.0¢
LASK Linz vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5Won
Over$10 @ 62.0¢
Real Madrid CF vs. Villarreal CF: Both Teams to ScoreLost
Yes$10 @ 54.5¢
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 3.5Lost
Over$21 @ 37.0¢
Real Betis Balompié vs. Getafe CF: O/U 2.5Lost
Over$15 @ 48.0¢
Fulham FC vs. Manchester United FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Lost
Over$10 @ 50.0¢
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)Lost
Club Atlético de Madrid$20 @ 36.0¢
Deportivo Alavés vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 2.5Lost
Over$15 @ 53.0¢
Will Norway win on 2026-09-27?Won
No$20 @ 59.0¢
Will Nashville SC win on 2026-08-15?Won
Yes$52 @ 39.0¢
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-10-18?Won
Yes$30 @ 18.0¢
Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 3 - 1 Manchester United FC?Lost
Yes$5 @ 5.9¢
Will Viking FK win on 2026-10-21?Lost
Yes$30 @ 9.0¢
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 2.5Lost
Over$20 @ 71.0¢
VfB Stuttgart vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 2.5Lost
Over$15 @ 57.0¢
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-20?Lost
Yes$21 @ 39.0¢
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 3.5Lost
Over$10 @ 50.0¢
Hamburger SV vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 0.5Won
Over$30 @ 58.8¢
Górnik Zabrze vs. Ferencvárosi TC: Team to AdvanceLost
Górnik Zabrze$21 @ 31.0¢
Exact Score: FC Machida Zelvia 3 - 1 Urawa Red Diamonds?Won
Yes$10 @ 5.0¢
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-10-18?Won
Yes$71 @ 47.7¢
Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)Won
Nottingham Forest FC$20 @ 67.0¢
Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 2 - 1 Manchester United FC?Lost
Yes$5 @ 11.0¢
Real Betis Balompié vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5Won
Over$25 @ 61.0¢
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-09-17?Lost
Yes$15 @ 46.0¢
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)Lost
Arsenal FC$41 @ 41.0¢
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-09-19?Lost
Yes$77 @ 58.0¢
Spread: LASK Linz (-1.5)Won
LASK Linz$21 @ 29.0¢
Will Germany win on 2026-09-24?Lost
Yes$40 @ 38.0¢
Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)Lost
Manchester United FC$21 @ 26.0¢
Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)Won
FC Bayern München$21 @ 43.0¢
Spread: France (-1.5)Lost
France$41 @ 50.0¢
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-09-20?Won
Yes$59 @ 69.0¢
Spread: Sporting CP (-1.5)Lost
Sporting CP$15 @ 54.0¢
Exact Score: RC Deportivo A Coruña 0 - 1 Sevilla FC?Won
Yes$5 @ 11.0¢
Shandong Taishan FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: O/U 2.5Won
Over$20 @ 62.0¢
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)Won
FC Barcelona$30 @ 76.0¢
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-08-29?Won
No$31 @ 57.0¢
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-08-29?Lost
Yes$51 @ 44.0¢
Georgia vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 8.5 Total CornersWon
Over$10 @ 52.0¢
Will Chicago Fire FC win on 2026-08-06?Won
Yes$51 @ 63.0¢
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-09-16?Won
Yes$41 @ 33.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-11-02?	Sports	Yes	$49	67.0¢
Will Everton FC win on 2026-11-02?	Sports	No	$39	71.0¢
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?	Sports	Yes	$30	32.0¢
Atalanta BC vs. Parma Calcio 1913: Atalanta BC O/U 1.5	Sports	Over	$29	69.0¢
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-11-02?	Sports	Yes	$29	45.0¢
Spread: Atalanta BC (-1.5)	Sports	Atalanta BC	$29	44.0¢
Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026?	Sports	Yes	$29	15.2¢
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?	Sports	No	$20	61.0¢
Newcastle United FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 2.5	Sports	Over	$15	57.0¢
Will RC Deportivo A Coruña win on 2026-11-02?	Sports	No	$15	55.0¢
RC Deportivo A Coruña vs. CA Osasuna: Both Teams to Score	Sports	Yes	$10	49.0¢
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 2 - 1 Athletic Club?	—	Yes	$5	8.0¢
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 1 - 0 Athletic Club?	—	Yes	$5	10.0¢
Exact Score: Newcastle United FC 1 - 2 Everton FC?	Sports	Yes	$5	8.0¢
Exact Score: Atalanta BC 3 - 1 Parma Calcio 1913?	Sports	Yes	$5	8.0¢
Exact Score: Atalanta BC 2 - 0 Parma Calcio 1913?	Sports	Yes	$5	10.0¢
Exact Score: RC Deportivo A Coruña 2 - 1 CA Osasuna?	Sports	Yes	$5	10.0¢
Exact Score: Newcastle United FC 2 - 1 Everton FC?	Sports	Yes	$5	10.0¢
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Politics	Yes	$5	72.0¢
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 1 - 1 Athletic Club?	—	Yes	$5	15.0¢
Exact Score: RC Deportivo A Coruña 1 - 1 CA Osasuna?	Sports	Yes	$5	15.0¢
Exact Score: Atalanta BC 2 - 1 Parma Calcio 1913?	Sports	Yes	$5	11.0¢
Exact Score: RC Deportivo A Coruña 1 - 2 CA Osasuna?	Sports	Yes	$5	7.0¢
Exact Score: Newcastle United FC 3 - 1 Everton FC?	Sports	Yes	$5	6.0¢

Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-11-02?Sports
Yes$49 @ 67.0¢
Will Everton FC win on 2026-11-02?Sports
No$39 @ 71.0¢
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?Sports
Yes$30 @ 32.0¢
Atalanta BC vs. Parma Calcio 1913: Atalanta BC O/U 1.5Sports
Over$29 @ 69.0¢
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-11-02?Sports
Yes$29 @ 45.0¢
Spread: Atalanta BC (-1.5)Sports
Atalanta BC$29 @ 44.0¢
Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026?Sports
Yes$29 @ 15.2¢
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?Sports
No$20 @ 61.0¢
Newcastle United FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 2.5Sports
Over$15 @ 57.0¢
Will RC Deportivo A Coruña win on 2026-11-02?Sports
No$15 @ 55.0¢
RC Deportivo A Coruña vs. CA Osasuna: Both Teams to ScoreSports
Yes$10 @ 49.0¢
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 2 - 1 Athletic Club?—
Yes$5 @ 8.0¢
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 1 - 0 Athletic Club?—
Yes$5 @ 10.0¢
Exact Score: Newcastle United FC 1 - 2 Everton FC?Sports
Yes$5 @ 8.0¢
Exact Score: Atalanta BC 3 - 1 Parma Calcio 1913?Sports
Yes$5 @ 8.0¢
Exact Score: Atalanta BC 2 - 0 Parma Calcio 1913?Sports
Yes$5 @ 10.0¢
Exact Score: RC Deportivo A Coruña 2 - 1 CA Osasuna?Sports
Yes$5 @ 10.0¢
Exact Score: Newcastle United FC 2 - 1 Everton FC?Sports
Yes$5 @ 10.0¢
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics
Yes$5 @ 72.0¢
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 1 - 1 Athletic Club?—
Yes$5 @ 15.0¢
Exact Score: RC Deportivo A Coruña 1 - 1 CA Osasuna?Sports
Yes$5 @ 15.0¢
Exact Score: Atalanta BC 2 - 1 Parma Calcio 1913?Sports
Yes$5 @ 11.0¢
Exact Score: RC Deportivo A Coruña 1 - 2 CA Osasuna?Sports
Yes$5 @ 7.0¢
Exact Score: Newcastle United FC 3 - 1 Everton FC?Sports
Yes$5 @ 6.0¢