0x8474…2511

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x847439e25ba3cb10db102d14310744d93b592511
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+16.6pp

ROI

+21%

Win rate

58% @ 41.3¢

Brier

0.199

Resolved

347

Avg size

$408

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	55% (17/31)	+24%	31
Politics	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other31 bets
Hit rate
55% (17/31)
ROI
+24%
Politics1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

53% hit · 17/32

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by March 31?	No	$1.6k	40.5¢	Lost
UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)	Makhachev	$4.4k	74.0¢	Won
UFC 322: Shevchenko vs. Weili (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)	Shevchenko	$4.4k	55.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by March 31?	Yes	$2.7k	61.0¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Billion" 10+ times during tariff event on April 2?	No	$45	42.0¢	Lost
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?	Yes	$540	0.5¢	Lost
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2024 meeting?	Yes	$8.2k	54.9¢	Won
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?	Yes	$8.4k	64.9¢	Won
Who will win the debate according to polls?	Trump	$578	22.0¢	Lost
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?	Yes	$796	2.3¢	Lost
Will Joe Biden win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?	No	$1.4k	56.0¢	Won
Will Trump debate Kamala on Sept 10?	No	$300	4.5¢	Lost
Will Trump launch a coin before the election?	Yes	$2.0k	72.3¢	Won
UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)	Joshua Van	$6.6k	73.3¢	Won
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance	Argentina	$4.6k	45.9¢	Won
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	$3.6k	13.8¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?	Yes	$22.6k	73.8¢	Won
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	$5.1k	32.1¢	Won
Will a Republican win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?	Yes	$3.0k	53.8¢	Won
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	Yes	$6.3k	31.2¢	Won
Will Gavin Newsom launch a token in September?	No	$3.8k	75.0¢	Won
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev	Du Plessis	$3.2k	28.7¢	Lost
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?	No	$5.4k	53.6¢	Won
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?	Yes	$1.2k	11.7¢	Lost
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Khamzat Chimaev	$4.0k	80.0¢	Lost
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?	Yes	$6.9k	53.1¢	Won
Will a Republican win Nevada Presidential Election?	Yes	$1.4k	49.6¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $130k in October?	Yes	$5.5k	41.4¢	Lost
Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after November 2024 meeting?	No	$1.4k	53.0¢	Won
Will Ethereum dip to $2,800 in January?	No	$20.2k	47.8¢	Lost
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?	Yes	$236	0.9¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Crypto" 5+ times during the X space?	No	$1.6k	39.0¢	Lost

Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by March 31?Lost
No$1.6k @ 40.5¢
UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)Won
Makhachev$4.4k @ 74.0¢
UFC 322: Shevchenko vs. Weili (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)Won
Shevchenko$4.4k @ 55.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by March 31?Lost
Yes$2.7k @ 61.0¢
Will Trump say "Billion" 10+ times during tariff event on April 2?Lost
No$45 @ 42.0¢
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Lost
Yes$540 @ 0.5¢
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2024 meeting?Won
Yes$8.2k @ 54.9¢
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?Won
Yes$8.4k @ 64.9¢
Who will win the debate according to polls?Lost
Trump$578 @ 22.0¢
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Lost
Yes$796 @ 2.3¢
Will Joe Biden win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?Won
No$1.4k @ 56.0¢
Will Trump debate Kamala on Sept 10?Lost
No$300 @ 4.5¢
Will Trump launch a coin before the election?Won
Yes$2.0k @ 72.3¢
UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)Won
Joshua Van$6.6k @ 73.3¢
England vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceWon
Argentina$4.6k @ 45.9¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Lost
No$3.6k @ 13.8¢
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?Won
Yes$22.6k @ 73.8¢
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?Won
Yes$5.1k @ 32.1¢
Will a Republican win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?Won
Yes$3.0k @ 53.8¢
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?Won
Yes$6.3k @ 31.2¢
Will Gavin Newsom launch a token in September? Won
No$3.8k @ 75.0¢
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. ChimaevLost
Du Plessis$3.2k @ 28.7¢
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Won
No$5.4k @ 53.6¢
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?Lost
Yes$1.2k @ 11.7¢
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)Lost
Khamzat Chimaev$4.0k @ 80.0¢
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Won
Yes$6.9k @ 53.1¢
Will a Republican win Nevada Presidential Election?Won
Yes$1.4k @ 49.6¢
Will Bitcoin reach $130k in October?Lost
Yes$5.5k @ 41.4¢
Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after November 2024 meeting?Won
No$1.4k @ 53.0¢
Will Ethereum dip to $2,800 in January?Lost
No$20.2k @ 47.8¢
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?Lost
Yes$236 @ 0.9¢
Will Trump say "Crypto" 5+ times during the X space?Lost
No$1.6k @ 39.0¢

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