0x8458…37c6

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x8458e630809d94447f4e1ce244562a05afbe37c6
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Profitable

Edge

+35.0pp

ROI

+126%

Win rate

54% @ 19.0¢

Brier

0.329

Resolved

Avg size

$70

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	50% (7/14)	+142%	14
Politics	0% (0/2)	-100%	2

Other14 bets
Hit rate
50% (7/14)
ROI
+142%
Politics2 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/2)
ROI
-100%

Track record

44% hit · 7/16

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 15?	Yes	$5	0.4¢	Lost
Fed rate cut by July 31?	Yes	$142	7.0¢	Lost
Will someone else win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?	Yes	$50	14.5¢	Lost
Fed emergency rate cut in 2024?	Yes	$50	24.0¢	Lost
Will Joe Biden win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?	No	$50	15.0¢	Won
Will Nicolas Maduro Win the 2024 Venezuela presidential election?	No	$50	14.1¢	Won
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	Yes	$179	3.9¢	Lost
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?	Yes	$50	2.0¢	Won
Will Jake Paul vs. Mike Tyson have no official winner?	Yes	$100	9.0¢	Lost
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?	Yes	$343	25.3¢	Lost
Will the Director of Secret Service be fired/resign?	Yes	$104	19.0¢	Won
Will Biden pardon Fauci?	Yes	$20	27.2¢	Won
Tyson Fury vs. Francis Ngannou	Ngannou	$50	10.0¢	Lost
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Sean Strickland	$11	21.0¢	Won
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?	Yes	$1.3k	66.5¢	Won
Kamala president by Friday?	Yes	$75	11.7¢	Lost

US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 15?Lost
Yes$5 @ 0.4¢
Fed rate cut by July 31?Lost
Yes$142 @ 7.0¢
Will someone else win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?Lost
Yes$50 @ 14.5¢
Fed emergency rate cut in 2024?Lost
Yes$50 @ 24.0¢
Will Joe Biden win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?Won
No$50 @ 15.0¢
Will Nicolas Maduro Win the 2024 Venezuela presidential election?Won
No$50 @ 14.1¢
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?Lost
Yes$179 @ 3.9¢
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?Won
Yes$50 @ 2.0¢
Will Jake Paul vs. Mike Tyson have no official winner?Lost
Yes$100 @ 9.0¢
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Lost
Yes$343 @ 25.3¢
Will the Director of Secret Service be fired/resign?Won
Yes$104 @ 19.0¢
Will Biden pardon Fauci?Won
Yes$20 @ 27.2¢
Tyson Fury vs. Francis NgannouLost
Ngannou$50 @ 10.0¢
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)Won
Sean Strickland$11 @ 21.0¢
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Won
Yes$1.3k @ 66.5¢
Kamala president by Friday?Lost
Yes$75 @ 11.7¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Politics	Yes	$48	16.0¢
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Politics	Yes	$46	18.3¢
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Politics	Yes	$20	2.3¢
Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Politics	Yes	$20	0.4¢
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?	Politics	Yes	$5	9.6¢

Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics
Yes$48 @ 16.0¢
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics
Yes$46 @ 18.3¢
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics
Yes$20 @ 2.3¢
Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics
Yes$20 @ 0.4¢
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?Politics
Yes$5 @ 9.6¢