← Smart money
0x844a…5f53
SharpEdge
+5.1pp
ROI
+12%
Win rate
42% @ 37.1¢
Brier
0.149
Resolved
991
Avg size
$28
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 38% (71/188) | +15% | 188 |
| Tech | 29% (4/14) | -48% | 14 |
- Other188 bets
- Hit rate
- 38% (71/188)
- ROI
- +15%
- Tech14 bets
- Hit rate
- 29% (4/14)
- ROI
- -48%
Track record
37% hit · 75/202- Will the next Google Gemini model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1470?LostNo$3 @ 1.0¢
- Yes$44 @ 24.6¢
- Yes$25 @ 19.0¢
- Yes$21 @ 10.4¢
- Yes$9 @ 2.4¢
- No$28 @ 28.0¢
- No$91 @ 89.0¢
- No$4 @ 8.0¢
- Yes$105 @ 18.0¢
- Yes$63 @ 58.3¢
- Yes$16 @ 13.5¢
- Yes$39 @ 27.2¢
- No$255 @ 84.9¢
- Yes$460 @ 30.2¢
- No$60 @ 86.0¢
- Yes$13 @ 12.9¢
- 0x10d4b55e…LostYes$1 @ 10.0¢
- Yes$491 @ 75.0¢
- Yes$566 @ 75.4¢
- Yes$6 @ 1.9¢
- Yes$23 @ 73.4¢
- Yes$1 @ 1.2¢
- Yes$424 @ 71.5¢
- Yes$6 @ 0.3¢
- Yes$12 @ 8.0¢
- Yes$3 @ 2.8¢
- No$1.4k @ 67.9¢
- Yes$4 @ 8.0¢
- Yes$7 @ 4.1¢
- Yes$1 @ 24.8¢
- Yes$64 @ 29.9¢
- No$71 @ 70.6¢
- Yes$85 @ 84.5¢
- No$0 @ 0.4¢
- Yes$89 @ 34.1¢
- Yes$38 @ 85.2¢
- No$59 @ 59.0¢
- Yes$15 @ 10.1¢
- No$75 @ 15.0¢
- Yes$493 @ 49.2¢
- No$169 @ 67.5¢
- No$125 @ 56.2¢
- Yes$9 @ 1.2¢
- Yes$30 @ 7.2¢
- No$364 @ 78.1¢
- No$218 @ 88.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 5.0¢
- 0x3be93b48…LostNo$11 @ 4.7¢
- No$80 @ 80.0¢
- 0x3de1a705…WonYes$53 @ 87.9¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
- Yes$128 @ 82.0¢
- Yes$124 @ 73.0¢
- Yes$115 @ 57.7¢
- No$82 @ 94.0¢
- Yes$82 @ 51.1¢
- Yes$73 @ 90.0¢
- No$56 @ 91.0¢
- Yes$51 @ 30.9¢
- Yes$46 @ 23.3¢
- Yes$38 @ 30.0¢
- Yes$31 @ 62.0¢
- Yes$31 @ 77.0¢