← Smart money
0x8432…8360
SharpEdge
+23.2pp
ROI
+35%
Win rate
83% @ 59.4¢
Brier
0.093
Resolved
46
Avg size
$457
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 56% (5/9) | +29% | 9 |
| Politics | 63% (5/8) | +44% | 8 |
| Sports | 33% (1/3) | +175% | 3 |
| Tech | 50% (1/2) | -12% | 2 |
| Geopolitics | 100% (1/1) | +26% | 1 |
| Economy | 100% (1/1) | +28% | 1 |
- Other9 bets
- Hit rate
- 56% (5/9)
- ROI
- +29%
- Politics8 bets
- Hit rate
- 63% (5/8)
- ROI
- +44%
- Sports3 bets
- Hit rate
- 33% (1/3)
- ROI
- +175%
- Tech2 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (1/2)
- ROI
- -12%
- Geopolitics1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +26%
- Economy1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +28%
Track record
58% hit · 14/24- Yes$260 @ 0.8¢
- No$2.6k @ 77.9¢
- Yes$100 @ 79.0¢
- Yes$408 @ 36.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 2.5¢
- No$4.1k @ 79.5¢
- No$100 @ 39.8¢
- No$3.0k @ 75.3¢
- No$3.8k @ 74.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 0.5¢
- Yes$70 @ 63.7¢
- Yes$710 @ 33.4¢
- No$4.3k @ 83.1¢
- Yes$140 @ 10.6¢
- Yes$1.3k @ 78.4¢
- No$100 @ 77.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 0.5¢
- Yes$2 @ 1.8¢
- Yes$2 @ 0.8¢
- Yes$2.0k @ 54.2¢
- Yes$2.5k @ 75.1¢
- Yes$300 @ 4.5¢
- Yes$1.3k @ 64.7¢
- No$8 @ 4.2¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | — | Yes | $13.3k | 20.3¢ |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | — | Yes | $3.7k | 30.8¢ |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Politics | No | $839 | 35.3¢ |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | Politics | Yes | $600 | 10.0¢ |
| Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Politics | No | $308 | 6.0¢ |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Politics | Yes | $300 | 17.7¢ |
| Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Politics | Yes | $300 | 7.0¢ |
| Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Politics | Yes | $300 | 4.5¢ |
| Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Politics | Yes | $181 | 30.2¢ |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Politics | Yes | $100 | 5.4¢ |
- Yes$13.3k @ 20.3¢
- Yes$3.7k @ 30.8¢
- No$839 @ 35.3¢
- Yes$600 @ 10.0¢
- No$308 @ 6.0¢
- Yes$300 @ 17.7¢
- Yes$300 @ 7.0¢
- Yes$300 @ 4.5¢
- Yes$181 @ 30.2¢
- Yes$100 @ 5.4¢