← Smart money
0x840f…48e4
SharpEdge
+6.9pp
ROI
+13%
Win rate
78% @ 70.9¢
Brier
0.143
Resolved
1547
Avg size
$274
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 66% (471/714) | +13% | 714 |
| Politics | 100% (6/6) | +20% | 6 |
| Sports | 33% (1/3) | -58% | 3 |
| Geopolitics | 100% (1/1) | +0% | 1 |
| Crypto | 100% (1/1) | +37% | 1 |
- Other714 bets
- Hit rate
- 66% (471/714)
- ROI
- +13%
- Politics6 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (6/6)
- ROI
- +20%
- Sports3 bets
- Hit rate
- 33% (1/3)
- ROI
- -58%
- Geopolitics1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +0%
- Crypto1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +37%
Track record
66% hit · 480/725- Yes$9 @ 99.3¢
- Yes$10 @ 99.8¢
- Yes$3 @ 99.1¢
- Yes$5 @ 97.6¢
- Yes$5 @ 99.8¢
- Yes$6 @ 99.2¢
- Cavaliers$1 @ 57.0¢
- Boston College$1 @ 53.0¢
- Movistar KOI$1 @ 60.0¢
- Islanders$1 @ 57.0¢
- Grizzlies$1 @ 64.0¢
- Houston$1 @ 84.0¢
- No$412 @ 68.3¢
- 49ers$1 @ 57.0¢
- Li$1 @ 62.0¢
- 76ers$1 @ 69.0¢
- Texas$1 @ 61.0¢
- No$1 @ 62.0¢
- Kings vs. BucksLostBucks$1 @ 67.0¢
- Lightning$1 @ 61.0¢
- Rybakina$1 @ 78.0¢
- Aces vs. MercuryLostMercury$2 @ 62.0¢
- Pistons$1 @ 55.0¢
- Texans$2 @ 79.0¢
- Iowa State$1 @ 72.0¢
- Devils$1 @ 57.0¢
- Tabilo$1 @ 66.0¢
- Knicks vs. HeatLostKnicks$1 @ 59.0¢
- Buccaneers$1 @ 59.0¢
- Eagles$2 @ 79.0¢
- Lions$1 @ 81.0¢
- Missouri$1 @ 52.0¢
- Canadiens$1 @ 55.0¢
- Moutet$1 @ 77.0¢
- Florida State$1 @ 77.4¢
- Yes$200 @ 74.7¢
- Bills$1 @ 78.0¢
- Seidel$1 @ 79.0¢
- Northwestern$1 @ 60.0¢
- Rangers$1 @ 56.0¢
- Raptors$1 @ 53.0¢
- No$21 @ 69.0¢
- 76ers$1 @ 63.0¢
- Panthers$1 @ 58.0¢
- Pistons$1 @ 74.0¢
- Bublik$1 @ 60.0¢
- Panthers$1 @ 56.0¢
- Alabama$1 @ 82.0¢
- Flyers$1 @ 61.0¢
- Sachko$1 @ 74.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 44 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | Politics | Yes | $23 | 98.5¢ |
| Will Democrats sweep the Kansas Senate and Governor elections? | Politics | Yes | $9 | 99.3¢ |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 North Carolina Senate election by 18% or more? | Politics | Yes | $5 | 99.3¢ |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election by 0%-3%? | Politics | Yes | $5 | 98.9¢ |
- Yes$23 @ 98.5¢
- Yes$9 @ 99.3¢
- Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 North Carolina Senate election by 18% or more?PoliticsYes$5 @ 99.3¢
- Yes$5 @ 98.9¢