0x8390…09f1

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x8390808cefaf138f02b7fb0beff93148ce0809f1
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

ProfitableSniper

Edge

+30.3pp

ROI

+41%

Win rate

86% @ 55.3¢

Brier

0.182

Resolved

118

Avg size

$92

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Sports	27% (3/11)	-26%	11
Politics	83% (5/6)	+58%	6

Sports11 bets
Hit rate
27% (3/11)
ROI
-26%
Politics6 bets
Hit rate
83% (5/6)
ROI
+58%

Track record

47% hit · 8/17

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	No	$543	90.0¢	Won
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	$129	43.0¢	Lost
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	$49	47.0¢	Won
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	$1.4k	71.5¢	Won
Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$290	58.0¢	Won
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	$335	47.9¢	Lost
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$3.6k	45.5¢	Won
Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?	Yes	$25	25.0¢	Lost
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 15?	No	$1.7k	86.9¢	Won
Spread: Netherlands (-3.5)	Netherlands	$50	5.0¢	Lost
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	$267	89.0¢	Lost
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	$246	49.2¢	Lost
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	$540	54.0¢	Lost
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	$700	70.0¢	Won
Spread: Belgium (-5.5)	Belgium	$120	1.2¢	Lost
Norway vs. Senegal: O/U 5.5	Under	$746	68.1¢	Won
Spread: France (-2.5)	France	$40	20.0¢	Lost

Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Won
No$543 @ 90.0¢
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?Lost
Yes$129 @ 43.0¢
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?Won
Yes$49 @ 47.0¢
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Won
No$1.4k @ 71.5¢
Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
Yes$290 @ 58.0¢
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?Lost
Yes$335 @ 47.9¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Won
Yes$3.6k @ 45.5¢
Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?Lost
Yes$25 @ 25.0¢
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 15?Won
No$1.7k @ 86.9¢
Spread: Netherlands (-3.5)Lost
Netherlands$50 @ 5.0¢
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?Lost
Yes$267 @ 89.0¢
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?Lost
Yes$246 @ 49.2¢
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Lost
No$540 @ 54.0¢
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Won
Yes$700 @ 70.0¢
Spread: Belgium (-5.5)Lost
Belgium$120 @ 1.2¢
Norway vs. Senegal: O/U 5.5Won
Under$746 @ 68.1¢
Spread: France (-2.5)Lost
France$40 @ 20.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Politics	Yes	$16.7k	83.7¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Politics	Yes	$10.2k	40.8¢
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?	Tech	No	$9.3k	92.5¢
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?	Tech	No	$2.7k	92.6¢
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%?	Politics	Yes	$1.8k	90.1¢
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?	Politics	No	$1.1k	56.0¢
Cuban regime falls in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$850	17.0¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$825	8.3¢
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$732	4.8¢
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$483	16.1¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?	—	Yes	$286	32.0¢
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.5T by June 30?	—	No	$3	80.0¢
Will Croatia reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$1	10.0¢

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics
Yes$16.7k @ 83.7¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Politics
Yes$10.2k @ 40.8¢
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?Tech
No$9.3k @ 92.5¢
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?Tech
No$2.7k @ 92.6¢
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%?Politics
Yes$1.8k @ 90.1¢
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Politics
No$1.1k @ 56.0¢
Cuban regime falls in 2026?Politics
Yes$850 @ 17.0¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$825 @ 8.3¢
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$732 @ 4.8¢
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$483 @ 16.1¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?—
Yes$286 @ 32.0¢
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.5T by June 30?—
No$3 @ 80.0¢
Will Croatia reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$1 @ 10.0¢