0x8365…e9a6

Specialization by sphere

• Other219 bets

  Hit rate

  43% (94/219)

  ROI

  +7%

• Politics7 bets

  Hit rate

  43% (3/7)

  ROI

  -17%

• Sports5 bets

  Hit rate

  40% (2/5)

  ROI

  -38%

• Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?Won
  No$24.6k @ 86.5¢
• Will OpenAI have the top AI model on March 31?Won
  No$820 @ 51.0¢
• Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Lost
  Yes$980 @ 23.0¢
• MicroStrategy purchases more Bitcoin before inauguration?Lost
  No$13.9k @ 7.5¢
• Will the Liberals win the most seats in the next Ontario Parliamentary election?Lost
  Yes$92 @ 0.4¢
• Google forced to sell Chrome?Won
  No$2.4k @ 80.0¢
• Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by March 31?Lost
  No$1.5k @ 62.0¢
• Will a Democrat win Michigan Presidential Election?Won
  No$388 @ 37.0¢
• Will a Democrat win Michigan Presidential Election?Lost
  Yes$362 @ 1.0¢
• Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after May 2025 meeting?Lost
  Yes$727 @ 4.8¢
• Will New Mexico be the tipping point state?Lost
  Yes$34 @ 0.7¢
• MicroStrategy purchases more Bitcoin before inauguration?Won
  No$562 @ 6.0¢
• US 10Y Treasury yield above 5% by June 30?Won
  No$17.3k @ 75.3¢
• Will a Republican win the popular vote and a Democrat win the Presidency?Lost
  Yes$2.3k @ 2.3¢
• Will the next Government of Canada be a Conservative majority?Lost
  Yes$520 @ 13.0¢
• Georgescu banned from Romania election?Lost
  No$3.4k @ 51.2¢
• Will the next Government of Canada be a Conservative minority?Lost
  Yes$677 @ 16.9¢
• Will Hyperliquid launch a token in November?Lost
  No$8.7k @ 84.7¢
• Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?Won
  No$2.4k @ 70.0¢
• Will a Democrat win New Hampshire in the 2024 US Presidential Election?Lost
  No$6.6k @ 20.7¢
• Will US GDP growth in Q3 2025 be greater than 3.5%?Won
  Yes$210 @ 7.4¢
• Will Andrew Cuomo’s RCV margin of victory be between 15% and 20%?Lost
  Yes$61 @ 3.0¢
• Will Trump's approval rating be between 45.5% and 45.9% on June 20?Lost
  Yes$17 @ 19.0¢
• Will the NYC Mayoral Democratic Primary be decided in round 3?Won
  Yes$19.4k @ 28.6¢
• Will someone else be inaugurated?Lost
  Yes$392 @ 3.7¢
• Will Mark Carney be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?Lost
  No$486 @ 4.9¢
• U.S. fertility rate up in Q2 2025?Lost
  Yes$10.6k @ 60.6¢
• Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?Won
  No$3.4k @ 32.0¢
• Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?Won
  No$2.6k @ 26.0¢
• Will United States win on 2026-06-12?Lost
  No$370 @ 51.0¢
• Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?Lost
  Yes$14.9k @ 61.1¢
• Will a Democrat win Virginia Presidential Election?Won
  Yes$34.5k @ 83.6¢
• Will Omar Fateh win the 2025 Minneapolis mayoral election?Won
  No$172.7k @ 63.0¢
• GOP wins popular vote by 0-1%?Lost
  Yes$1.0k @ 10.1¢
• MicroStrategy purchases more Bitcoin before inauguration?Lost
  No$7.0k @ 5.7¢
• MicroStrategy purchases more Bitcoin before inauguration?Won
  Yes$43 @ 86.0¢
• Will a Democrat win Minnesota in the 2024 US Presidential Election?Lost
  No$143 @ 14.0¢
• Insurrection Act invoked by January 31?Won
  No$8.9k @ 88.9¢
• Will either Kamala or Trump win every swing state?Won
  Yes$5.4k @ 36.2¢
• Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Lost
  No$3.3k @ 33.0¢
• Will voter turnout in the 2025 Polish presidential election be between 68-70%?Lost
  Yes$378 @ 4.8¢
• Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?Won
  Yes$34.6k @ 84.1¢
• Will a Democrat win Wisconsin Presidential Election?Lost
  Yes$4.1k @ 51.0¢
• Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?Won
  No$1.6k @ 87.0¢
• Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?Lost
  Yes$252 @ 32.0¢
• Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?Won
  Yes$6.8k @ 88.0¢
• Patriots vs. BroncosLost
  Broncos$9.6k @ 32.0¢
• Will the New Democrats win the second most seats in the next Ontario Parliamentary election?Lost
  No$7.4k @ 73.9¢
• Will XRP reach $3.10 in March?Won
  No$1.6k @ 50.0¢
• Will Trump's approval rating be between 45.0% and 45.4% on June 20?Won
  No$20 @ 67.0¢

Current positions

• Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics
  No$8.7k @ 85.0¢
• Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a Presidential run before 2027?Politics
  No$5.6k @ 81.1¢
• Will Marjorie Taylor Greene announce a presidential run before 2027?Politics
  No$3.7k @ 87.0¢
• Will Katie Britt announce a presidential run before 2027?Politics
  No$3.1k @ 85.2¢
• Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?Politics
  No$2.4k @ 79.7¢
• Will Tucker Carlson announce a presidential run before 2027?Politics
  No$2.1k @ 86.8¢
• Will Andrew Yang announce a Presidential run before 2027?Politics
  No$1.4k @ 87.6¢
• Will Cory Booker announce a Presidential run before 2027?Politics
  No$1.3k @ 79.6¢
• Will Pete Buttigieg announce a Presidential run before 2027?Politics
  No$1.3k @ 84.5¢
• Will Wes Moore announce a Presidential run before 2027?Politics
  No$1.2k @ 85.8¢
• Will Trump endorse any candidate for President before 2027?Politics
  No$1.2k @ 85.0¢
• Will Mark Kelly announce a Presidential run before 2027?Politics
  No$1.2k @ 86.0¢
• Will Gina Raimondo announce a Presidential run before 2027?Politics
  No$1.1k @ 85.0¢
• Will J.D. Vance announce a presidential run before 2027?Politics
  No$1.1k @ 79.8¢
• Will Kristi Noem announce a presidential run before 2027?Politics
  No$1.1k @ 84.9¢
• Will John Fetterman announce a Presidential run before 2027?Politics
  No$1.0k @ 89.5¢
• Will Jared Polis announce a Presidential run before 2027?Politics
  No$939 @ 79.6¢
• Will Rahm Emanuel announce a Presidential run before 2027?Politics
  No$801 @ 87.5¢
• Will J.B. Pritzker announce a Presidential run before 2027?Politics
  No$704 @ 87.6¢
• Will Phil Murphy announce a Presidential run before 2027?Politics
  No$659 @ 86.6¢
• Will Glenn Youngkin announce a presidential run before 2027?Politics
  No$655 @ 87.0¢
• Will Josh Hawley announce a presidential run before 2027?Politics
  No$482 @ 80.0¢
• Will Ted Cruz announce a presidential run before 2027?Politics
  No$424 @ 84.7¢
• Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics
  Yes$50 @ 5.0¢
• Will Rand Paul announce a presidential run before 2027?Politics
  No$3 @ 77.0¢
• Will Jalen Brunson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
  Yes$0 @ 0.0¢
• Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
  Yes$0 @ 0.0¢
• Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
  Yes$0 @ 0.0¢
• Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
  Yes$0 @ 0.0¢
• Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
  Yes$0 @ 0.0¢