0x834f…8b6e

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x834ffdffce376b19ba618cf23a6edfd04ac88b6e
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+6.9pp

ROI

+8%

Win rate

74% @ 67.3¢

Brier

0.104

Resolved

205

Avg size

$58

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Sports	64% (48/75)	-3%	75
Other	67% (8/12)	-51%	12

Sports75 bets
Hit rate
64% (48/75)
ROI
-3%
Other12 bets
Hit rate
67% (8/12)
ROI
-51%

Track record

64% hit · 56/87

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will LeBron's next contract average under $4M per year?	No	$1.4k	84.9¢	Lost
Spurs vs. Knicks	Spurs	$456	91.2¢	Lost
Will Darius Acuff Jr. be the 5th overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?	Yes	$27	27.0¢	Lost
Pacers vs. Grizzlies	Grizzlies	$21	70.0¢	Lost
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	$180	90.0¢	Lost
Guangzhou Open: Dayana Yastremska vs Katie Volynets	Katie Volynets	$200	95.0¢	Lost
Shanxi Loongs vs. Sichuan Blue Whales	Sichuan Blue Whales	$1	3.0¢	Lost
Will Zach LaVine play for the Sacramento Kings in 2026-27?	Yes	$309	91.4¢	Lost
Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Spurs	$0	0.0¢	Won
Will Keldon Johnson win the 2025–2026 NBA Sixth Man of the Year?	No	$100	20.3¢	Lost
Singapore Open: Xinyu Wang vs Joanna Garland	Xinyu Wang	$89	89.0¢	Won
China Open: Elise Mertens vs Iga Swiatek	Iga Swiatek	$40	80.0¢	Lost
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Fils vs Pavel Kotov	Arthur Fils	$45	89.0¢	Won
Spurs vs. Knicks	Spurs	$202	71.0¢	Won
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$71	17.5¢	Lost
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	No	$448	89.5¢	Won
Zhejiang Lions vs. Shanghai Sharks	Shanghai Sharks	$156	73.7¢	Won
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Lakers vs. Rockets	Lakers	$1	74.0¢	Won
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$9	4.5¢	Lost
South Alabama vs. Arkansas State	South Alabama	$201	77.3¢	Won
Rockets vs. Bucks	Rockets	$50	76.0¢	Won
Seoul: Seong-Chan Hong vs Yibing Wu	Seong-Chan Hong	$5	31.0¢	Won
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	$334	41.0¢	Lost
Pan Pacific Open: Naomi Osaka vs Jasmine Paolini	Naomi Osaka	$598	87.2¢	Won
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$26	6.3¢	Lost
Cowboys vs. Packers	Packers	$83	83.0¢	Won
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$41	10.0¢	Lost
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$7	2.2¢	Lost
Japan Women's Open: Mary Stoiana vs Katerina Siniakova	Katerina Siniakova	$101	89.0¢	Won
Guangzhou Open: Sara Sorribes Tormo vs Zeynep Sonmez	Zeynep Sonmez	$50	84.0¢	Won
Will Cameron Boozer be the 4th overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?	No	$443	88.5¢	Won
Qingdao Eagles vs. Beijing Ducks	Beijing Ducks	$40	80.0¢	Won
Nets vs. Celtics	Celtics	$100	83.0¢	Won
Will Nickeil Alexander-Walker win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?	Yes	$172	86.0¢	Won
Will Los Angeles Lakers advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?	Yes	$15	88.0¢	Won
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$17	8.1¢	Lost
NBA: Bronny James to Play for the Lakers in 2026-27?	Yes	$53	88.0¢	Won
Beijing Royal Fighters vs. Shanghai Sharks	Shanghai Sharks	$30	71.0¢	Won
Ningbo Rockets vs. Shanxi Loongs	Shanxi Loongs	$5	84.0¢	Won
Spurs vs. Jazz	Spurs	$50	86.0¢	Won
China Open: Yunchaokete Bu vs Novak Djokovic	Novak Djokovic	$202	79.0¢	Won
Jilin Northeast Tigers vs. Sichuan Blue Whales	Jilin Northeast Tigers	$23	77.0¢	Lost
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yunchaokete Bu vs Casper Ruud	Casper Ruud	$41	82.0¢	Won
Shanghai Sharks vs. Guangdong Southern Tigers	Guangdong Southern Tigers	$6	13.0¢	Lost
Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?	No	$2.4k	88.1¢	Won
Nuggets vs. Pelicans	Nuggets	$30	62.0¢	Won
Will Draymond Green play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	Yes	$391	87.7¢	Won
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$51	12.6¢	Won
Pistons vs. Knicks	Pistons	$10	40.0¢	Lost
China vs. Japan	China	$38	76.0¢	Lost

Will LeBron's next contract average under $4M per year?Lost
No$1.4k @ 84.9¢
Spurs vs. KnicksLost
Spurs$456 @ 91.2¢
Will Darius Acuff Jr. be the 5th overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?Lost
Yes$27 @ 27.0¢
Pacers vs. GrizzliesLost
Grizzlies$21 @ 70.0¢
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?Lost
Yes$180 @ 90.0¢
Guangzhou Open: Dayana Yastremska vs Katie VolynetsLost
Katie Volynets$200 @ 95.0¢
Shanxi Loongs vs. Sichuan Blue WhalesLost
Sichuan Blue Whales$1 @ 3.0¢
Will Zach LaVine play for the Sacramento Kings in 2026-27?Lost
Yes$309 @ 91.4¢
Timberwolves vs. SpursWon
Spurs$0 @ 0.0¢
Will Keldon Johnson win the 2025–2026 NBA Sixth Man of the Year?Lost
No$100 @ 20.3¢
Singapore Open: Xinyu Wang vs Joanna GarlandWon
Xinyu Wang$89 @ 89.0¢
China Open: Elise Mertens vs Iga SwiatekLost
Iga Swiatek$40 @ 80.0¢
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Fils vs Pavel KotovWon
Arthur Fils$45 @ 89.0¢
Spurs vs. KnicksWon
Spurs$202 @ 71.0¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$71 @ 17.5¢
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?Won
No$448 @ 89.5¢
Zhejiang Lions vs. Shanghai SharksWon
Shanghai Sharks$156 @ 73.7¢
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Lakers vs. Rockets Won
Lakers$1 @ 74.0¢
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$9 @ 4.5¢
South Alabama vs. Arkansas StateWon
South Alabama$201 @ 77.3¢
Rockets vs. BucksWon
Rockets$50 @ 76.0¢
Seoul: Seong-Chan Hong vs Yibing WuWon
Seong-Chan Hong$5 @ 31.0¢
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?Lost
Yes$334 @ 41.0¢
Pan Pacific Open: Naomi Osaka vs Jasmine PaoliniWon
Naomi Osaka$598 @ 87.2¢
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$26 @ 6.3¢
Cowboys vs. PackersWon
Packers$83 @ 83.0¢
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$41 @ 10.0¢
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$7 @ 2.2¢
Japan Women's Open: Mary Stoiana vs Katerina SiniakovaWon
Katerina Siniakova$101 @ 89.0¢
Guangzhou Open: Sara Sorribes Tormo vs Zeynep SonmezWon
Zeynep Sonmez$50 @ 84.0¢
Will Cameron Boozer be the 4th overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?Won
No$443 @ 88.5¢
Qingdao Eagles vs. Beijing DucksWon
Beijing Ducks$40 @ 80.0¢
Nets vs. CelticsWon
Celtics$100 @ 83.0¢
Will Nickeil Alexander-Walker win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?Won
Yes$172 @ 86.0¢
Will Los Angeles Lakers advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?Won
Yes$15 @ 88.0¢
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$17 @ 8.1¢
NBA: Bronny James to Play for the Lakers in 2026-27?Won
Yes$53 @ 88.0¢
Beijing Royal Fighters vs. Shanghai SharksWon
Shanghai Sharks$30 @ 71.0¢
Ningbo Rockets vs. Shanxi LoongsWon
Shanxi Loongs$5 @ 84.0¢
Spurs vs. JazzWon
Spurs$50 @ 86.0¢
China Open: Yunchaokete Bu vs Novak DjokovicWon
Novak Djokovic$202 @ 79.0¢
Jilin Northeast Tigers vs. Sichuan Blue WhalesLost
Jilin Northeast Tigers$23 @ 77.0¢
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yunchaokete Bu vs Casper RuudWon
Casper Ruud$41 @ 82.0¢
Shanghai Sharks vs. Guangdong Southern TigersLost
Guangdong Southern Tigers$6 @ 13.0¢
Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?Won
No$2.4k @ 88.1¢
Nuggets vs. PelicansWon
Nuggets$30 @ 62.0¢
Will Draymond Green play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?Won
Yes$391 @ 87.7¢
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
Yes$51 @ 12.6¢
Pistons vs. KnicksLost
Pistons$10 @ 40.0¢
China vs. JapanLost
China$38 @ 76.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will LeBron's next contract average under $4M per year?	—	No	$1.4k	84.9¢
Spurs vs. Knicks	Sports	Spurs	$456	91.2¢
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Sports	Yes	$328	41.0¢
Will Zach LaVine play for the Sacramento Kings in 2026-27?	Sports	Yes	$309	91.4¢
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Sports	Yes	$303	37.8¢
Guangzhou Open: Dayana Yastremska vs Katie Volynets	Sports	Katie Volynets	$200	95.0¢
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?	Sports	Yes	$180	90.0¢
Spurs vs. Kings	Sports	Spurs	$90	90.0¢
Will England win on 2026-06-23?	Sports	Yes	$74	74.0¢
Jiangsu Dragons vs. Fujian Sturgeons	Sports	Fujian Sturgeons	$51	52.6¢
China Open: Elise Mertens vs Iga Swiatek	Sports	Iga Swiatek	$40	80.0¢
China vs. Japan	—	China	$38	76.0¢
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026-27 NBA MVP?	Sports	Yes	$36	35.6¢
Will Luka Doncic win the 2026-27 NBA MVP?	Sports	Yes	$35	34.6¢
Will Darius Acuff Jr. be the 5th overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?	Sports	Yes	$27	27.0¢
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$25	6.3¢
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$24	5.9¢
Jilin Northeast Tigers vs. Sichuan Blue Whales	Sports	Jilin Northeast Tigers	$23	77.0¢
Pacers vs. Grizzlies	Sports	Grizzlies	$21	70.0¢
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$16	8.1¢
Pistons vs. Knicks	Sports	Pistons	$10	40.0¢
Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin vs. Guangdong Southern Tigers	Sports	Guangdong Southern Tigers	$10	38.0¢
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$9	4.5¢
Shanghai Sharks vs. Guangdong Southern Tigers	Sports	Guangdong Southern Tigers	$6	13.0¢
Shanxi Loongs vs. Sichuan Blue Whales	Sports	Sichuan Blue Whales	$1	3.0¢

Will LeBron's next contract average under $4M per year?—
No$1.4k @ 84.9¢
Spurs vs. KnicksSports
Spurs$456 @ 91.2¢
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?Sports
Yes$328 @ 41.0¢
Will Zach LaVine play for the Sacramento Kings in 2026-27?Sports
Yes$309 @ 91.4¢
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?Sports
Yes$303 @ 37.8¢
Guangzhou Open: Dayana Yastremska vs Katie VolynetsSports
Katie Volynets$200 @ 95.0¢
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?Sports
Yes$180 @ 90.0¢
Spurs vs. KingsSports
Spurs$90 @ 90.0¢
Will England win on 2026-06-23?Sports
Yes$74 @ 74.0¢
Jiangsu Dragons vs. Fujian SturgeonsSports
Fujian Sturgeons$51 @ 52.6¢
China Open: Elise Mertens vs Iga SwiatekSports
Iga Swiatek$40 @ 80.0¢
China vs. Japan—
China$38 @ 76.0¢
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026-27 NBA MVP?Sports
Yes$36 @ 35.6¢
Will Luka Doncic win the 2026-27 NBA MVP?Sports
Yes$35 @ 34.6¢
Will Darius Acuff Jr. be the 5th overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?Sports
Yes$27 @ 27.0¢
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$25 @ 6.3¢
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$24 @ 5.9¢
Jilin Northeast Tigers vs. Sichuan Blue WhalesSports
Jilin Northeast Tigers$23 @ 77.0¢
Pacers vs. GrizzliesSports
Grizzlies$21 @ 70.0¢
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$16 @ 8.1¢
Pistons vs. KnicksSports
Pistons$10 @ 40.0¢
Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin vs. Guangdong Southern TigersSports
Guangdong Southern Tigers$10 @ 38.0¢
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$9 @ 4.5¢
Shanghai Sharks vs. Guangdong Southern TigersSports
Guangdong Southern Tigers$6 @ 13.0¢
Shanxi Loongs vs. Sichuan Blue WhalesSports
Sichuan Blue Whales$1 @ 3.0¢