← Smart money
0x8317…6af6
SharpEdge
+17.5pp
ROI
+30%
Win rate
61% @ 43.5¢
Brier
0.122
Resolved
77
Avg size
$97
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 14% (1/7) | -69% | 7 |
| Other | 83% (5/6) | +96% | 6 |
| Crypto | 83% (5/6) | +72% | 6 |
| Geopolitics | 100% (1/1) | +12% | 1 |
- Sports7 bets
- Hit rate
- 14% (1/7)
- ROI
- -69%
- Other6 bets
- Hit rate
- 83% (5/6)
- ROI
- +96%
- Crypto6 bets
- Hit rate
- 83% (5/6)
- ROI
- +72%
- Geopolitics1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +12%
Track record
60% hit · 12/20- Yes$795 @ 46.8¢
- Yes$872 @ 13.3¢
- Yes$10 @ 4.8¢
- No$243 @ 81.0¢
- Aurora$210 @ 84.0¢
- Yes$174 @ 66.8¢
- Yes$775 @ 50.7¢
- Yes$959 @ 70.6¢
- KOLESIE$200 @ 80.0¢
- Yes$157 @ 2.5¢
- Yes$418 @ 59.0¢
- Yes$206 @ 2.5¢
- Yes$729 @ 67.9¢
- No$615 @ 35.1¢
- Yes$255 @ 21.7¢
- Yes$58 @ 88.9¢
- Yes$314 @ 24.0¢
- No$445 @ 88.9¢
- Knicks vs. SpursLostSpurs$42 @ 65.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 35.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? | Crypto | Yes | $5.0k | 53.5¢ |
| Will Lighter reach $10 before 2027? | Crypto | Yes | $1.2k | 11.8¢ |
| Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027? | Crypto | Yes | $810 | 41.2¢ |
| Will Lighter reach $8 before 2027? | Crypto | Yes | $459 | 23.7¢ |
| Will Pump.fun reach $0.0080 by December 31, 2026? | Crypto | Yes | $83 | 22.9¢ |
- Yes$5.0k @ 53.5¢
- Yes$1.2k @ 11.8¢
- Yes$810 @ 41.2¢
- Yes$459 @ 23.7¢
- Yes$83 @ 22.9¢