0x8317…c2bb

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x831786ffbbc69cb4c4b1ef4038bf9d849c8bc2bb
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+7.7pp

ROI

+82%

Win rate

26% @ 18.0¢

Brier

0.114

Resolved

140

Avg size

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	34% (23/67)	+25%	67
Sports	14% (6/43)	+170%	43
Politics	0% (0/2)	-100%	2
Crypto	100% (1/1)	+39%	1

Other67 bets
Hit rate
34% (23/67)
ROI
+25%
Sports43 bets
Hit rate
14% (6/43)
ROI
+170%
Politics2 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/2)
ROI
-100%
Crypto1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+39%

Track record

27% hit · 30/113

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will the Minnesota Twins win more than 80.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?	O 80.5	$1	47.0¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	$2	49.5¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	$1	37.7¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	$1	20.2¢	Lost
XRP Up or Down - April 9, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	$1	33.6¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	$1	38.8¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	$1	45.8¢	Lost
Will the Toronto Raptors make the NBA Playoffs?	No	$1	12.4¢	Lost
Red Wings vs. Lightning	Lightning	$2	63.0¢	Won
Red Wings vs. Lightning	Red Wings	$1	15.0¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A	Spirit	$1	48.0¢	Lost
Raptors vs. Knicks	Knicks	$4	71.0¢	Won
Will the Washington Capitals win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	$3	0.2¢	Lost
Kings vs. Flames	Flames	$2	40.0¢	Won
Suns vs. Lakers	Lakers	$3	45.0¢	Won
Warriors vs. Kings	Kings	$1	16.0¢	Won
Will the Orlando Magic make the NBA Playoffs?	No	$1	28.0¢	Lost
Will the Ottawa Senators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	$4	5.2¢	Lost
Trump out as President by April 30?	Yes	$2	1.5¢	Lost
Will the Orlando Magic win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	Yes	$3	1.8¢	Lost
South Africa vs. Canada: Team to Advance	South Africa	$7	27.0¢	Lost
Will the Los Angeles Angels win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	$1	0.5¢	Lost
Trail Blazers vs. Suns: O/U 217.5	Over	$1	48.0¢	Won
Will the Los Angeles Kings win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	$1	1.3¢	Lost
Will Minnesota Twins win the 2026 AL Central title?	Yes	$0	0.8¢	Lost
Wild vs. Blues	Blues	$4	53.8¢	Won
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	$5	3.4¢	Won
Bucks vs. 76ers	Bucks	$1	22.0¢	Lost
Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	$1	2.4¢	Lost
Will Miami Marlins win the 2026 NL East title?	Yes	$5	1.1¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?	Yes	$1	1.7¢	Lost
Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	$4	7.8¢	Lost
Grizzlies vs. Rockets	Grizzlies	$1	8.0¢	Lost
Hurricanes vs. Flyers	Flyers	$12	55.8¢	Won
Heat vs. Wizards	Wizards	$1	6.0¢	Lost
Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	$9	2.6¢	Lost
Will the Los Angeles Clippers make the NBA Playoffs?	No	$10	47.5¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 68-69°F on April 18?	Yes	$1	2.9¢	Lost
Rangers vs. Panthers	Panthers	$2	46.0¢	Won
Spread: Hornets (-5.5)	Heat	$5	51.3¢	Won
Will the Los Angeles Kings win the Pacific Division?	Yes	$1	0.7¢	Lost
Will Los Angeles Angels win the 2026 AL West title?	Yes	$4	6.0¢	Lost
Will Melania say "Husband" or "Trump" during statement on April 9?	No	$1	0.5¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	$5	72.0¢	Won
Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the Atlantic Division?	Yes	$3	6.0¢	Lost
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	$1	4.0¢	Won
Will Panama advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$2	10.0¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?	Yes	$1	25.0¢	Won
Will the St. Louis Cardinals win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	$2	0.5¢	Lost
Will the Philadelphia 76ers make the NBA Playoffs?	Yes	$1	69.0¢	Won

Will the Minnesota Twins win more than 80.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?Lost
O 80.5$1 @ 47.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 1:00AM-1:05AM ETLost
Down$2 @ 49.5¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 11:25AM-11:30AM ETLost
Up$1 @ 37.7¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 4:40PM-4:45PM ETLost
Down$1 @ 20.2¢
XRP Up or Down - April 9, 3:15PM-3:20PM ETLost
Up$1 @ 33.6¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ETLost
Down$1 @ 38.8¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 11:20AM-11:25AM ETLost
Down$1 @ 45.8¢
Will the Toronto Raptors make the NBA Playoffs?Lost
No$1 @ 12.4¢
Red Wings vs. LightningWon
Lightning$2 @ 63.0¢
Red Wings vs. LightningLost
Red Wings$1 @ 15.0¢
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group ALost
Spirit$1 @ 48.0¢
Raptors vs. KnicksWon
Knicks$4 @ 71.0¢
Will the Washington Capitals win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?Lost
Yes$3 @ 0.2¢
Kings vs. FlamesWon
Flames$2 @ 40.0¢
Suns vs. LakersWon
Lakers$3 @ 45.0¢
Warriors vs. KingsWon
Kings$1 @ 16.0¢
Will the Orlando Magic make the NBA Playoffs?Lost
No$1 @ 28.0¢
Will the Ottawa Senators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?Lost
Yes$4 @ 5.2¢
Trump out as President by April 30?Lost
Yes$2 @ 1.5¢
Will the Orlando Magic win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?Lost
Yes$3 @ 1.8¢
South Africa vs. Canada: Team to AdvanceLost
South Africa$7 @ 27.0¢
Will the Los Angeles Angels win the 2026 World Series?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.5¢
Trail Blazers vs. Suns: O/U 217.5Won
Over$1 @ 48.0¢
Will the Los Angeles Kings win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?Lost
Yes$1 @ 1.3¢
Will Minnesota Twins win the 2026 AL Central title?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.8¢
Wild vs. BluesWon
Blues$4 @ 53.8¢
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?Won
Yes$5 @ 3.4¢
Bucks vs. 76ersLost
Bucks$1 @ 22.0¢
Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2026 World Series?Lost
Yes$1 @ 2.4¢
Will Miami Marlins win the 2026 NL East title?Lost
Yes$5 @ 1.1¢
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?Lost
Yes$1 @ 1.7¢
Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?Lost
Yes$4 @ 7.8¢
Grizzlies vs. RocketsLost
Grizzlies$1 @ 8.0¢
Hurricanes vs. FlyersWon
Flyers$12 @ 55.8¢
Heat vs. WizardsLost
Wizards$1 @ 6.0¢
Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2026 World Series?Lost
Yes$9 @ 2.6¢
Will the Los Angeles Clippers make the NBA Playoffs?Won
No$10 @ 47.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 68-69°F on April 18?Lost
Yes$1 @ 2.9¢
Rangers vs. PanthersWon
Panthers$2 @ 46.0¢
Spread: Hornets (-5.5)Won
Heat$5 @ 51.3¢
Will the Los Angeles Kings win the Pacific Division?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.7¢
Will Los Angeles Angels win the 2026 AL West title?Lost
Yes$4 @ 6.0¢
Will Melania say "Husband" or "Trump" during statement on April 9?Lost
No$1 @ 0.5¢
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?Won
Yes$5 @ 72.0¢
Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the Atlantic Division?Lost
Yes$3 @ 6.0¢
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?Won
Yes$1 @ 4.0¢
Will Panama advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$2 @ 10.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?Won
Yes$1 @ 25.0¢
Will the St. Louis Cardinals win the 2026 World Series?Lost
Yes$2 @ 0.5¢
Will the Philadelphia 76ers make the NBA Playoffs?Won
Yes$1 @ 69.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	—	Yes	$10	1.0¢
Will the San Diego Padres win the 2026 World Series?	Sports	Yes	$9	2.2¢
Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2026 World Series?	Sports	Yes	$9	2.6¢
South Africa vs. Canada: Team to Advance	—	South Africa	$7	27.0¢
Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Sports	Yes	$6	5.2¢
Will the Arizona Diamondbacks win the 2026 World Series?	Sports	Yes	$5	0.9¢
Will USA reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$5	48.0¢
Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Sports	Yes	$4	7.8¢
Trump out as President before 2027?	Politics	Yes	$4	17.0¢
Will the Ottawa Senators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	—	Yes	$4	5.2¢
Will Los Angeles Angels win the 2026 AL West title?	Sports	Yes	$4	6.0¢
Will Oakland Athletics win the 2026 AL West title?	Sports	Yes	$3	10.6¢
Stars vs. Maple Leafs	—	Maple Leafs	$3	73.0¢
Avalanche vs. Oilers	—	Oilers	$3	46.0¢
Will Portugal reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	No	$3	31.0¢
Will the Philadelphia Flyers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Sports	Yes	$3	2.3¢
Will San Diego Padres win the 2026 National League Championship Series?	Sports	Yes	$3	4.7¢
Will San Diego Padres win the 2026 NL West title?	Sports	Yes	$3	7.6¢
Will the Washington Capitals win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Sports	Yes	$3	0.2¢
Will Panama advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$2	10.0¢
Will the Detroit Tigers win the 2026 World Series?	Sports	Yes	$2	3.2¢
Will the Boston Bruins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Sports	Yes	$2	1.6¢
Will the Miami Marlins win the 2026 World Series?	Sports	Yes	$2	0.6¢
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Sports	Yes	$2	5.9¢
Will Minnesota Twins win the 2026 American League Championship Series?	Sports	Yes	$2	1.2¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	—	Down	$2	49.5¢
Sabres vs. Blackhawks	—	Blackhawks	$2	47.0¢
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?	Geopolitics	Yes	$2	19.0¢
Will South Africa reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$2	6.2¢
Will the Minnesota Twins win the 2026 World Series?	Sports	Yes	$2	1.1¢

Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals?—
Yes$10 @ 1.0¢
Will the San Diego Padres win the 2026 World Series?Sports
Yes$9 @ 2.2¢
Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2026 World Series?Sports
Yes$9 @ 2.6¢
South Africa vs. Canada: Team to Advance—
South Africa$7 @ 27.0¢
Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?Sports
Yes$6 @ 5.2¢
Will the Arizona Diamondbacks win the 2026 World Series?Sports
Yes$5 @ 0.9¢
Will USA reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$5 @ 48.0¢
Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?Sports
Yes$4 @ 7.8¢
Trump out as President before 2027?Politics
Yes$4 @ 17.0¢
Will the Ottawa Senators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?—
Yes$4 @ 5.2¢
Will Los Angeles Angels win the 2026 AL West title?Sports
Yes$4 @ 6.0¢
Will Oakland Athletics win the 2026 AL West title?Sports
Yes$3 @ 10.6¢
Stars vs. Maple Leafs—
Maple Leafs$3 @ 73.0¢
Avalanche vs. Oilers—
Oilers$3 @ 46.0¢
Will Portugal reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
No$3 @ 31.0¢
Will the Philadelphia Flyers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?Sports
Yes$3 @ 2.3¢
Will San Diego Padres win the 2026 National League Championship Series?Sports
Yes$3 @ 4.7¢
Will San Diego Padres win the 2026 NL West title?Sports
Yes$3 @ 7.6¢
Will the Washington Capitals win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?Sports
Yes$3 @ 0.2¢
Will Panama advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$2 @ 10.0¢
Will the Detroit Tigers win the 2026 World Series?Sports
Yes$2 @ 3.2¢
Will the Boston Bruins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?Sports
Yes$2 @ 1.6¢
Will the Miami Marlins win the 2026 World Series?Sports
Yes$2 @ 0.6¢
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?Sports
Yes$2 @ 5.9¢
Will Minnesota Twins win the 2026 American League Championship Series?Sports
Yes$2 @ 1.2¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET—
Down$2 @ 49.5¢
Sabres vs. Blackhawks—
Blackhawks$2 @ 47.0¢
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?Geopolitics
Yes$2 @ 19.0¢
Will South Africa reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$2 @ 6.2¢
Will the Minnesota Twins win the 2026 World Series?Sports
Yes$2 @ 1.1¢