0x830f…cda7

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x830f0e2d7d2fe12e2d9842622ad42807b9d6cda7
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+24.1pp

ROI

+59%

Win rate

90% @ 65.9¢

Brier

0.156

Resolved

Avg size

$191

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	94% (29/31)	+67%	31
Sports	60% (3/5)	-3%	5
Politics	100% (2/2)	+13%	2
Tech	100% (1/1)	+12%	1

Other31 bets
Hit rate
94% (29/31)
ROI
+67%
Sports5 bets
Hit rate
60% (3/5)
ROI
-3%
Politics2 bets
Hit rate
100% (2/2)
ROI
+13%
Tech1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+12%

Track record

90% hit · 35/39

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will France win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	$101	66.0¢	Won
Will FTI Consulting (FCN) beat quarterly earnings?	No	$175	34.9¢	Won
Will Interactive Brokers Group (IBKR) beat quarterly earnings?	No	$200	89.9¢	Won
Will Lamb Weston (LW) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	$92	86.6¢	Won
Will HP (HPQ) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	$100	88.0¢	Won
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	$101	71.0¢	Won
Will Delta Air Lines (DAL) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	$2	88.0¢	Won
Will Blackstone (BX) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	$191	33.7¢	Won
Will Paramount Skydance (PSKY) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	$208	17.3¢	Won
SpaceX IPO: Closing Share Price Up/Down on First Day?	Up	$51	70.9¢	Won
Will Chewy (CHWY) beat quarterly earnings?	No	$188	45.4¢	Won
Will Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	$227	64.9¢	Won
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner	Team WE	$34	65.8¢	Won
Will Bank of New York Mellon (BK) beat quarterly earnings?	No	$300	32.7¢	Lost
Will PepsiCo Inc (PEP) beat quarterly earnings?	No	$300	20.2¢	Lost
Will AT&T (T) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	$200	87.5¢	Won
Will Clorox (CLX) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	$511	35.4¢	Won
Will Truist (TFC) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	$129	85.5¢	Won
Will Blackstone (BX) beat quarterly earnings?	No	$300	85.0¢	Won
Will Julia Letlow be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?	Yes	$20	77.1¢	Won
Will Harley-Davidson (HOG) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	$162	66.3¢	Won
Will Roblox (RBLX) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	$105	83.2¢	Won
Will United Natural Foods (UNFI) beat quarterly earnings?	No	$407	63.9¢	Won
Will Tyson Foods (TSN) beat quarterly earnings?	No	$1.0k	65.8¢	Won
Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	$200	50.0¢	Won
Will Navitas Semiconductor (NVTS) beat quarterly earnings?	No	$172	65.6¢	Won
Will Rivian Automotive (RIVN) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	$45	87.7¢	Won
Will Designer Brands (DBI) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	$134	84.8¢	Won
Will Williams Companies (WMB) beat quarterly earnings?	No	$182	38.5¢	Won
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	$101	76.0¢	Lost
Will Marvell Tech (MRVL) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	$247	89.2¢	Won
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner	Gen.G	$20	57.0¢	Lost
Will Dollar Tree (DLTR) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	$290	89.3¢	Won
Will KKR (KKR) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	$177	86.4¢	Won
Will Apollo Global Management (APO) beat quarterly earnings?	No	$123	36.7¢	Won
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	$201	89.8¢	Won
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 8, 2026?	No	$201	89.0¢	Won
Will Yum Brands (YUM) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	$207	65.4¢	Won
Will Draftkings (DKNG) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	$204	60.0¢	Won

Will France win on 2026-06-16?Won
Yes$101 @ 66.0¢
Will FTI Consulting (FCN) beat quarterly earnings?Won
No$175 @ 34.9¢
Will Interactive Brokers Group (IBKR) beat quarterly earnings?Won
No$200 @ 89.9¢
Will Lamb Weston (LW) beat quarterly earnings?Won
Yes$92 @ 86.6¢
Will HP (HPQ) beat quarterly earnings?Won
Yes$100 @ 88.0¢
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?Won
Yes$101 @ 71.0¢
Will Delta Air Lines (DAL) beat quarterly earnings?Won
Yes$2 @ 88.0¢
Will Blackstone (BX) beat quarterly earnings?Won
Yes$191 @ 33.7¢
Will Paramount Skydance (PSKY) beat quarterly earnings?Won
Yes$208 @ 17.3¢
SpaceX IPO: Closing Share Price Up/Down on First Day?Won
Up$51 @ 70.9¢
Will Chewy (CHWY) beat quarterly earnings?Won
No$188 @ 45.4¢
Will Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG) beat quarterly earnings?Won
Yes$227 @ 64.9¢
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 WinnerWon
Team WE$34 @ 65.8¢
Will Bank of New York Mellon (BK) beat quarterly earnings?Lost
No$300 @ 32.7¢
Will PepsiCo Inc (PEP) beat quarterly earnings?Lost
No$300 @ 20.2¢
Will AT&T (T) beat quarterly earnings?Won
Yes$200 @ 87.5¢
Will Clorox (CLX) beat quarterly earnings?Won
Yes$511 @ 35.4¢
Will Truist (TFC) beat quarterly earnings?Won
Yes$129 @ 85.5¢
Will Blackstone (BX) beat quarterly earnings?Won
No$300 @ 85.0¢
Will Julia Letlow be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?Won
Yes$20 @ 77.1¢
Will Harley-Davidson (HOG) beat quarterly earnings?Won
Yes$162 @ 66.3¢
Will Roblox (RBLX) beat quarterly earnings?Won
Yes$105 @ 83.2¢
Will United Natural Foods (UNFI) beat quarterly earnings?Won
No$407 @ 63.9¢
Will Tyson Foods (TSN) beat quarterly earnings?Won
No$1.0k @ 65.8¢
Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?Won
Yes$200 @ 50.0¢
Will Navitas Semiconductor (NVTS) beat quarterly earnings?Won
No$172 @ 65.6¢
Will Rivian Automotive (RIVN) beat quarterly earnings?Won
Yes$45 @ 87.7¢
Will Designer Brands (DBI) beat quarterly earnings?Won
Yes$134 @ 84.8¢
Will Williams Companies (WMB) beat quarterly earnings?Won
No$182 @ 38.5¢
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?Lost
Yes$101 @ 76.0¢
Will Marvell Tech (MRVL) beat quarterly earnings?Won
Yes$247 @ 89.2¢
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 WinnerLost
Gen.G$20 @ 57.0¢
Will Dollar Tree (DLTR) beat quarterly earnings?Won
Yes$290 @ 89.3¢
Will KKR (KKR) beat quarterly earnings?Won
Yes$177 @ 86.4¢
Will Apollo Global Management (APO) beat quarterly earnings?Won
No$123 @ 36.7¢
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?Won
Yes$201 @ 89.8¢
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 8, 2026?Won
No$201 @ 89.0¢
Will Yum Brands (YUM) beat quarterly earnings?Won
Yes$207 @ 65.4¢
Will Draftkings (DKNG) beat quarterly earnings?Won
Yes$204 @ 60.0¢

Recent trades

live from Polymarket · click a column to sort

Loading recent trades…