← Smart money
0x82fd…db2e
SharpEdge
+26.3pp
ROI
+33%
Win rate
89% @ 63.2¢
Brier
0.201
Resolved
38
Avg size
$51
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Politics | 63% (5/8) | +36% | 8 |
| Other | 67% (2/3) | +9% | 3 |
| Crypto | 100% (3/3) | +16% | 3 |
- Politics8 bets
- Hit rate
- 63% (5/8)
- ROI
- +36%
- Other3 bets
- Hit rate
- 67% (2/3)
- ROI
- +9%
- Crypto3 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (3/3)
- ROI
- +16%
Track record
71% hit · 10/14| Market | Outcome | Size | Entry | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? | Yes | $152 | 76.0¢ | Won |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,850 on September 21? | No | $22 | 87.1¢ | Won |
| Will XRP reach $1.70 on September 22? | No | $4 | 87.4¢ | Won |
| Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August? | No | $8 | 83.0¢ | Lost |
| Will Kash Heed win the 2026 Richmond mayoral election? | No | $347 | 70.9¢ | Won |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in September? | No | $4 | 78.0¢ | Won |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in August? | No | $129 | 86.1¢ | Won |
| Will Rob Howard win the 2026 Richmond mayoral election? | Yes | $488 | 46.4¢ | Won |
| Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | No | $498 | 83.0¢ | Won |
| Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | Yes | $219 | 73.0¢ | Lost |
| Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | No | $20 | 85.0¢ | Lost |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? | Yes | $5 | 12.0¢ | Lost |
| Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on September 11? | No | $9 | 88.0¢ | Won |
| Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad? | Yes | $50 | 71.3¢ | Won |
- Yes$152 @ 76.0¢
- No$22 @ 87.1¢
- No$4 @ 87.4¢
- No$8 @ 83.0¢
- No$347 @ 70.9¢
- No$4 @ 78.0¢
- No$129 @ 86.1¢
- Yes$488 @ 46.4¢
- No$498 @ 83.0¢
- Yes$219 @ 73.0¢
- No$20 @ 85.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 12.0¢
- No$9 @ 88.0¢
- Yes$50 @ 71.3¢
Recent trades
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