← Smart money
0x82af…d578
SharpEdge
+7.5pp
ROI
+28%
Win rate
28% @ 20.9¢
Brier
0.155
Resolved
173
Avg size
$4
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 15% (17/110) | +58% | 110 |
| Politics | 83% (5/6) | -3% | 6 |
| Sports | 0% (0/5) | -100% | 5 |
| Geopolitics | 100% (1/1) | +12% | 1 |
- Other110 bets
- Hit rate
- 15% (17/110)
- ROI
- +58%
- Politics6 bets
- Hit rate
- 83% (5/6)
- ROI
- -3%
- Sports5 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/5)
- ROI
- -100%
- Geopolitics1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +12%
Track record
19% hit · 23/122- Yes$1 @ 6.8¢
- Yes$4 @ 7.8¢
- Yes$50 @ 89.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 6.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 7.0¢
- Yes$50 @ 86.0¢
- Raptors$1 @ 28.0¢
- Bulls vs. SpursLostBulls$1 @ 0.7¢
- Yes$2 @ 8.0¢
- Lakers$3 @ 50.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 16.0¢
- Jazz$1 @ 11.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 1.8¢
- Yes$8 @ 65.6¢
- Yes$1 @ 17.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 45.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 18.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 2.2¢
- No$1 @ 7.6¢
- Yes$2 @ 24.0¢
- Yes$3 @ 2.7¢
- Yes$2 @ 23.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 10.6¢
- Yes$2 @ 15.1¢
- Yes$1 @ 12.5¢
- Yes$2 @ 3.8¢
- Yes$5 @ 2.0¢
- No$9 @ 43.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 16.0¢
- Magic vs. BullsLostBulls$1 @ 9.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 8.0¢
- Wizards$1 @ 2.0¢
- Rockets$6 @ 36.0¢
- Yes$65 @ 89.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 19.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 17.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 45.0¢
- No$4 @ 42.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 13.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 6.3¢
- Yes$7 @ 33.0¢
- Yes$3 @ 1.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 1.8¢
- Yes$10 @ 57.0¢
- Hornets$1 @ 49.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 12.0¢
- Celtics$1 @ 0.9¢
- Yes$2 @ 18.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 19.7¢
- Yes$1 @ 14.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement? | Politics | Yes | $55 | 82.2¢ |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | Politics | Yes | $50 | 88.0¢ |
| Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | Politics | Yes | $40 | 90.0¢ |
| Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | Sports | Yes | $4 | 7.8¢ |
| Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | Sports | Yes | $2 | 12.0¢ |
| Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Sports | Yes | $1 | 6.8¢ |
| Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Sports | Yes | $1 | 3.5¢ |
- Yes$55 @ 82.2¢
- Yes$50 @ 88.0¢
- Yes$40 @ 90.0¢
- Yes$4 @ 7.8¢
- Yes$2 @ 12.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 6.8¢
- Yes$1 @ 3.5¢