← Smart money
0x82a3…5f75
SharpEdge
+4.8pp
ROI
+37%
Win rate
52% @ 47.4¢
Brier
0.168
Resolved
508
Avg size
$35
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 50% (116/234) | +15% | 234 |
| Sports | 56% (5/9) | +80% | 9 |
| Politics | 57% (4/7) | +47% | 7 |
| Crypto | 0% (0/5) | -100% | 5 |
| Geopolitics | 50% (1/2) | -83% | 2 |
- Other234 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (116/234)
- ROI
- +15%
- Sports9 bets
- Hit rate
- 56% (5/9)
- ROI
- +80%
- Politics7 bets
- Hit rate
- 57% (4/7)
- ROI
- +47%
- Crypto5 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/5)
- ROI
- -100%
- Geopolitics2 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (1/2)
- ROI
- -83%
Track record
49% hit · 126/257- No$63 @ 44.0¢
- Yes$1.3k @ 86.2¢
- Yes$32 @ 37.4¢
- Yes$20 @ 25.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 8.0¢
- Yes$164 @ 63.6¢
- Yes$22 @ 23.5¢
- Yes$3 @ 68.0¢
- No$9 @ 86.0¢
- No$29 @ 87.0¢
- Yes$21 @ 21.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 79.0¢
- No$13 @ 14.0¢
- Yes$17 @ 86.0¢
- Yes$48 @ 24.0¢
- Yes$65 @ 13.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 33.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 19.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 49.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 21.0¢
- Yes$4 @ 38.0¢
- Yes$31 @ 38.9¢
- Yes$20 @ 45.0¢
- Arnaldi$5 @ 52.0¢
- Yes$77 @ 88.0¢
- Fokina$4 @ 44.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 33.0¢
- Yes$64 @ 57.8¢
- Yes$2 @ 30.0¢
- Yes$36 @ 20.3¢
- Yes$3 @ 61.0¢
- No$1 @ 82.6¢
- Yes$3 @ 51.0¢
- Yes$3 @ 31.0¢
- Yes$4 @ 44.0¢
- Yes$3 @ 57.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 6.3¢
- Yes$2 @ 71.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 43.0¢
- Yes$462 @ 74.5¢
- Yes$10 @ 36.0¢
- 0x2112d47f…WonYes$30 @ 87.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 43.0¢
- Yes$3 @ 69.0¢
- Yes$25 @ 49.0¢
- Ruud$6 @ 62.0¢
- No$7 @ 10.3¢
- Yes$3 @ 53.0¢
- Yes$20 @ 60.0¢
- No$1 @ 1.1¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch? | — | No | $63 | 44.0¢ |
- No$63 @ 44.0¢