0x8293…773b

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x8293f1ceda5bee0210895a81d1a9f5b8db34773b
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Profitable

Edge

+30.2pp

ROI

+120%

Win rate

45% @ 14.7¢

Brier

0.313

Resolved

Avg size

$83

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	21% (6/29)	+114%	29
Politics	0% (0/2)	-100%	2
Sports	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other29 bets
Hit rate
21% (6/29)
ROI
+114%
Politics2 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/2)
ROI
-100%
Sports1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

19% hit · 6/32

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner	TEAM VISION	$4	41.0¢	Lost
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 4 Winner	Team Spirit	$100	37.8¢	Lost
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner	TEAM VISION	$0	53.0¢	Won
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner	Team Spirit	$100	64.0¢	Lost
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	$96	18.4¢	Lost
No airdrop in 2025?	Yes	$109	15.5¢	Lost
Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?	No	$201	9.9¢	Lost
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 28, 2026?	Yes	$1	1.8¢	Lost
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?	Yes	$497	22.0¢	Lost
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 27, 2026?	Yes	$1	1.4¢	Lost
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 25, 2026?	Yes	$1	0.8¢	Lost
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	$4	1.0¢	Lost
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?	No	$4	0.4¢	Lost
Ethereum all time high in 2024?	Yes	$2.8k	14.1¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?	Yes	$9	12.8¢	Lost
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 26, 2026?	Yes	$1	0.2¢	Lost
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?	No	$8	0.4¢	Lost
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?	Yes	$45	2.6¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?	No	$590	26.3¢	Lost
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner	Team Liquid	$30	35.1¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in November?	No	$872	25.6¢	Won
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?	Yes	$707	14.0¢	Lost
Khamenei seen in public by March 14?	Yes	$20	6.4¢	Lost
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 24, 2026?	Yes	$3	5.0¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in October?	Yes	$5	1.3¢	Lost
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$1.9k	14.2¢	Won
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner	Team Spirit	$5	6.2¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	Yes	$32	12.8¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in October?	Yes	$30	16.5¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	$76	23.0¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?	Yes	$32	32.0¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in October?	Yes	$33	62.0¢	Won

Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 1 WinnerLost
TEAM VISION$4 @ 41.0¢
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 4 WinnerLost
Team Spirit$100 @ 37.8¢
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 2 WinnerWon
TEAM VISION$0 @ 53.0¢
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 2 WinnerLost
Team Spirit$100 @ 64.0¢
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Lost
Yes$96 @ 18.4¢
No airdrop in 2025?Lost
Yes$109 @ 15.5¢
Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?Lost
No$201 @ 9.9¢
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 28, 2026?Lost
Yes$1 @ 1.8¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$497 @ 22.0¢
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 27, 2026?Lost
Yes$1 @ 1.4¢
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 25, 2026?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.8¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Lost
Yes$4 @ 1.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Lost
No$4 @ 0.4¢
Ethereum all time high in 2024?Lost
Yes$2.8k @ 14.1¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?Lost
Yes$9 @ 12.8¢
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 26, 2026?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.2¢
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?Lost
No$8 @ 0.4¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Lost
Yes$45 @ 2.6¢
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?Lost
No$590 @ 26.3¢
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Team Liquid - Game 1 WinnerLost
Team Liquid$30 @ 35.1¢
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in November?Won
No$872 @ 25.6¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$707 @ 14.0¢
Khamenei seen in public by March 14?Lost
Yes$20 @ 6.4¢
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 24, 2026?Lost
Yes$3 @ 5.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in October?Lost
Yes$5 @ 1.3¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?Won
Yes$1.9k @ 14.2¢
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 WinnerLost
Team Spirit$5 @ 6.2¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?Lost
Yes$32 @ 12.8¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in October?Lost
Yes$30 @ 16.5¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?Won
Yes$76 @ 23.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?Won
Yes$32 @ 32.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in October?Won
Yes$33 @ 62.0¢

Recent trades

live from Polymarket · click a column to sort

Loading recent trades…

Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?	—	No	$201	9.8¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027?	Politics	Yes	$187	35.4¢
No airdrop in 2025?	—	Yes	$109	15.5¢
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner	—	Team Spirit	$100	64.0¢
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 4 Winner	—	Team Spirit	$100	37.8¢
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Politics	Yes	$96	18.4¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?	—	Yes	$45	2.6¢
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner	—	Team Liquid	$30	35.1¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in October?	Other	Yes	$30	16.5¢
Khamenei seen in public by March 14?	—	Yes	$20	6.4¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?	—	Yes	$9	12.8¢
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?	—	No	$8	0.4¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in October?	Other	Yes	$4	1.3¢
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner	Sports	Team Spirit	$4	6.2¢
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?	—	No	$4	0.4¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Politics	Yes	$4	1.0¢
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner	—	TEAM VISION	$4	41.0¢
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 24, 2026?	—	Yes	$3	5.2¢
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 28, 2026?	—	Yes	$1	1.9¢
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 27, 2026?	—	Yes	$1	1.5¢
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 26, 2026?	—	Yes	$1	0.2¢
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 25, 2026?	—	Yes	$1	0.8¢
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner	—	TEAM VISION	$0	53.0¢

Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?—
No$201 @ 9.8¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027?Politics
Yes$187 @ 35.4¢
No airdrop in 2025?—
Yes$109 @ 15.5¢
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner—
Team Spirit$100 @ 64.0¢
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 4 Winner—
Team Spirit$100 @ 37.8¢
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics
Yes$96 @ 18.4¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?—
Yes$45 @ 2.6¢
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner—
Team Liquid$30 @ 35.1¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in October?Other
Yes$30 @ 16.5¢
Khamenei seen in public by March 14?—
Yes$20 @ 6.4¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?—
Yes$9 @ 12.8¢
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?—
No$8 @ 0.4¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in October?Other
Yes$4 @ 1.3¢
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 WinnerSports
Team Spirit$4 @ 6.2¢
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?—
No$4 @ 0.4¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics
Yes$4 @ 1.0¢
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner—
TEAM VISION$4 @ 41.0¢
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 24, 2026?—
Yes$3 @ 5.2¢
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 28, 2026?—
Yes$1 @ 1.9¢
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 27, 2026?—
Yes$1 @ 1.5¢
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 26, 2026?—
Yes$1 @ 0.2¢
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 25, 2026?—
Yes$1 @ 0.8¢
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner—
TEAM VISION$0 @ 53.0¢