0x8278…9464

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x8278252ebbf354eca8ce316e680a0eaf02859464
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+7.2pp

ROI

+26%

Win rate

40% @ 32.7¢

Brier

0.145

Resolved

5085

Avg size

$18

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	48% (290/602)	+26%	602
Science	39% (9/23)	-10%	23

Other602 bets
Hit rate
48% (290/602)
ROI
+26%
Science23 bets
Hit rate
39% (9/23)
ROI
-10%

Track record

48% hit · 299/625

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 26?	No	$6	23.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 26?	Yes	$16	78.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 26?	No	$106	83.1¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 26?	Yes	$11	10.7¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on September 25?	Yes	$2	9.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on September 25?	Yes	$2	9.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 25?	No	$13	64.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on September 25?	Yes	$2	9.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C or higher on September 25?	Yes	$2	9.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on September 25?	Yes	$2	9.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 25?	No	$9	6.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 25?	Yes	$2	9.1¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C or below on September 25?	No	$105	94.1¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on September 25?	Yes	$2	9.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on September 25?	Yes	$2	9.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on September 25?	Yes	$2	9.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 24?	No	$345	93.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in London be between 56-57°F on October 26?	Yes	$1	0.4¢	Lost
Will Serbia vs. England end in a draw?	Yes	$23	1.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on December 21?	Yes	$10	70.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in London be between 52-53°F on October 23?	No	$317	83.9¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in London be between 58-59°F on November 11?	No	$100	56.9¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in London be between 58-59°F on November 11?	Yes	$71	44.8¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in London be between 48-49°F on December 2?	No	$5	86.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in London be between 60-61°F on October 28?	No	$41	68.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in London be between 60-61°F on October 28?	Yes	$24	4.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on December 11?	No	$593	57.6¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 15?	No	$59	78.9¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C or higher on February 13?	Yes	$56	17.5¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from September 16 to September 23, 2025?	No	$9	85.0¢	Won
Will Rowenna Davis win the 2026 London Borough of Croydon mayoral election?	Yes	$1	67.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in London be between 62-63°F on September 27?	No	$265	30.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in London be between 57-58°F on December 10?	Yes	$211	60.3¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in London be between 44-45°F on November 26?	No	$833	84.3¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 20?	No	$487	52.9¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on January 17?	No	$73	69.4¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on April 25?	No	$128	75.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in London be 63°F or higher on October 20?	Yes	$15	0.9¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in London be between 79-80°F on August 26?	No	$17	85.2¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in London be between 79-80°F on August 26?	Yes	$120	7.3¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in London be between 48-49°F on December 4?	No	$23	23.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in London be between 81-82°F on September 19?	Yes	$262	18.7¢	Won
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 23 to September 30, 2025?	Yes	$3	0.9¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in London be between 63-64°F on October 31?	Yes	$108	9.7¢	Won
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 12 to September 19, 2025?	No	$520	22.4¢	Lost
Will Elon tweet 150–164 times August 22–August 29?	No	$55	85.3¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in London be between 58-59°F on November 14?	Yes	$481	15.3¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in London be 7°C on February 17?	Yes	$87	61.9¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in London be between 54-55°F on October 26?	Yes	$131	18.6¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in London be between 64-65°F on September 10?	No	$11	30.9¢	Won

Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 26?Lost
No$6 @ 23.0¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 26?Won
Yes$16 @ 78.0¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 26?Won
No$106 @ 83.1¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 26?Lost
Yes$11 @ 10.7¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on September 25?Lost
Yes$2 @ 9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on September 25?Lost
Yes$2 @ 9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 25?Won
No$13 @ 64.0¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on September 25?Lost
Yes$2 @ 9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C or higher on September 25?Lost
Yes$2 @ 9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on September 25?Lost
Yes$2 @ 9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 25?Lost
No$9 @ 6.1¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 25?Won
Yes$2 @ 9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C or below on September 25?Won
No$105 @ 94.1¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on September 25?Lost
Yes$2 @ 9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on September 25?Lost
Yes$2 @ 9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on September 25?Lost
Yes$2 @ 9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 24?Won
No$345 @ 93.0¢
Will the highest temperature in London be between 56-57°F on October 26?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.4¢
Will Serbia vs. England end in a draw?Lost
Yes$23 @ 1.1¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on December 21?Won
Yes$10 @ 70.0¢
Will the highest temperature in London be between 52-53°F on October 23?Won
No$317 @ 83.9¢
Will the highest temperature in London be between 58-59°F on November 11?Lost
No$100 @ 56.9¢
Will the highest temperature in London be between 58-59°F on November 11?Won
Yes$71 @ 44.8¢
Will the highest temperature in London be between 48-49°F on December 2?Won
No$5 @ 86.0¢
Will the highest temperature in London be between 60-61°F on October 28?Won
No$41 @ 68.0¢
Will the highest temperature in London be between 60-61°F on October 28?Lost
Yes$24 @ 4.0¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on December 11?Won
No$593 @ 57.6¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 15?Won
No$59 @ 78.9¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C or higher on February 13?Lost
Yes$56 @ 17.5¢
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from September 16 to September 23, 2025?Won
No$9 @ 85.0¢
Will Rowenna Davis win the 2026 London Borough of Croydon mayoral election?Lost
Yes$1 @ 67.0¢
Will the highest temperature in London be between 62-63°F on September 27?Lost
No$265 @ 30.0¢
Will the highest temperature in London be between 57-58°F on December 10?Won
Yes$211 @ 60.3¢
Will the highest temperature in London be between 44-45°F on November 26?Won
No$833 @ 84.3¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 20?Lost
No$487 @ 52.9¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on January 17?Won
No$73 @ 69.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on April 25?Lost
No$128 @ 75.2¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 63°F or higher on October 20?Lost
Yes$15 @ 0.9¢
Will the highest temperature in London be between 79-80°F on August 26?Won
No$17 @ 85.2¢
Will the highest temperature in London be between 79-80°F on August 26?Lost
Yes$120 @ 7.3¢
Will the highest temperature in London be between 48-49°F on December 4?Won
No$23 @ 23.0¢
Will the highest temperature in London be between 81-82°F on September 19?Won
Yes$262 @ 18.7¢
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 23 to September 30, 2025?Lost
Yes$3 @ 0.9¢
Will the highest temperature in London be between 63-64°F on October 31?Won
Yes$108 @ 9.7¢
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 12 to September 19, 2025?Lost
No$520 @ 22.4¢
Will Elon tweet 150–164 times August 22–August 29?Won
No$55 @ 85.3¢
Will the highest temperature in London be between 58-59°F on November 14?Lost
Yes$481 @ 15.3¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 7°C on February 17?Won
Yes$87 @ 61.9¢
Will the highest temperature in London be between 54-55°F on October 26?Lost
Yes$131 @ 18.6¢
Will the highest temperature in London be between 64-65°F on September 10?Won
No$11 @ 30.9¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 27?	Science	No	$312	41.2¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 27?	Science	Yes	$56	6.5¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on September 27?	Science	Yes	$35	9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on September 27?	Science	Yes	$35	9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on September 27?	Science	Yes	$35	9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C or higher on September 27?	Science	Yes	$35	9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on September 27?	Science	Yes	$35	9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 27?	Science	Yes	$35	9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C or below on September 27?	Science	Yes	$35	9.1¢

Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 27?Science
No$312 @ 41.2¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 27?Science
Yes$56 @ 6.5¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on September 27?Science
Yes$35 @ 9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on September 27?Science
Yes$35 @ 9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on September 27?Science
Yes$35 @ 9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C or higher on September 27?Science
Yes$35 @ 9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on September 27?Science
Yes$35 @ 9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 27?Science
Yes$35 @ 9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C or below on September 27?Science
Yes$35 @ 9.1¢