0x8257…da02

Specialization by sphere

• Other538 bets

  Hit rate

  38% (205/538)

  ROI

  +5%

• Politics24 bets

  Hit rate

  50% (12/24)

  ROI

  +15%

• Geopolitics11 bets

  Hit rate

  82% (9/11)

  ROI

  +4%

• Israeli forces enter Beirut by September 30?Won
  No$14 @ 98.8¢
• Israeli forces enter Tyre by September 30?Won
  No$217 @ 96.9¢
• Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Won
  No$10 @ 99.0¢
• Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by September 30?Won
  No$1.5k @ 95.0¢
• Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026?Won
  No$3.3k @ 99.4¢
• Israel military action against Greater Beirut by September 30?Won
  No$61 @ 84.0¢
• Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?Lost
  Yes$4 @ 0.2¢
• Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?Lost
  Yes$5 @ 1.3¢
• Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?Won
  No$28 @ 87.0¢
• Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?Lost
  Yes$13 @ 13.0¢
• Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?Won
  Yes$69 @ 26.5¢
• Will Elon Musk go on Joe Rogan before June 30?Won
  No$11 @ 27.4¢
• Will MrBeast's next video get between 90 and 100 million views on week 1?Won
  Yes$16 @ 47.1¢
• Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?Lost
  Yes$95 @ 4.0¢
• Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?Lost
  Yes$55 @ 45.6¢
• Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 15, 2026?Lost
  No$50 @ 2.8¢
• Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 15, 2026?Won
  Yes$177 @ 47.3¢
• Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?Lost
  Yes$8 @ 0.3¢
• Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?Lost
  Yes$4 @ 0.2¢
• Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?Won
  No$215 @ 88.8¢
• Hezbollah strike on Israel by December 31?Won
  No$498 @ 66.5¢
• Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 13 to March 20, 2026?Lost
  Yes$113 @ 35.5¢
• Will Zelenskyy post 40-59 posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?Lost
  Yes$1 @ 0.4¢
• Will White House post 120-139 posts from April 3 to April 10, 2026?Lost
  Yes$1 @ 0.3¢
• Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?Lost
  Yes$6 @ 0.3¢
• Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026?Won
  No$25 @ 78.6¢
• Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026?Lost
  Yes$28 @ 44.0¢
• Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?Lost
  Yes$136 @ 53.6¢
• Will Israel strike Greater Beirut on March 7, 2026?Lost
  No$99 @ 27.9¢
• Will Israel strike Greater Beirut on March 7, 2026?Won
  Yes$1.1k @ 73.6¢
• Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?Lost
  Yes$13 @ 13.0¢
• Will MrBeast's latest video get 20–22 million views on day 1?Lost
  Yes$17 @ 20.0¢
• Will Khamenei post 20-39 posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026?Lost
  Yes$5 @ 2.1¢
• Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?Won
  No$93 @ 66.5¢
• Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?Lost
  Yes$2 @ 0.1¢
• Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?Lost
  Yes$9 @ 0.4¢
• Will Elon Musk post 600-619 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?Lost
  Yes$49 @ 8.2¢
• Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?Lost
  Yes$4 @ 0.2¢
• Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?Lost
  Yes$21 @ 21.0¢
• Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?Won
  Yes$37 @ 37.3¢
• Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?Lost
  No$319 @ 31.4¢
• Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?Lost
  Yes$25 @ 12.3¢
• Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?Won
  Yes$60 @ 43.8¢
• Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?Lost
  Yes$222 @ 5.8¢
• Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 26?Won
  Yes$267 @ 75.7¢
• Will CZ post 40-59 posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?Lost
  Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
• Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 13, 2026?Won
  No$120 @ 60.0¢
• Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 10, 2026?Won
  No$111 @ 58.6¢
• Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from April 14 to April 21, 2026?Won
  Yes$11 @ 32.9¢
• Will Israel strike Gaza on February 19, 2026?Lost
  Yes$6 @ 6.0¢

Current positions

• Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Politics
  No$4.8k @ 98.2¢
• Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?Politics
  Yes$213 @ 20.3¢
• Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?Politics
  Yes$122 @ 81.6¢
• U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by December 31?Geopolitics
  No$105 @ 89.2¢
• Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics
  Yes$51 @ 50.8¢
• Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by October 15, 2026?Politics
  No$47 @ 93.0¢
• Will Kataeb Party win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?Politics
  Yes$42 @ 1.9¢
• Will Watani Alliance win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?Politics
  Yes$36 @ 1.9¢
• Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics
  Yes$35 @ 17.7¢
• Nawaf Salam out as Lebanon PM in 2026?Politics
  No$30 @ 52.7¢
• Will Free Patriotic Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?Politics
  Yes$25 @ 2.0¢
• Will National Dialogue Party win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?Politics
  Yes$24 @ 2.0¢
• Will Islamic Charitable Projects Association win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?Politics
  Yes$22 @ 1.9¢
• Will Mada Party win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?Politics
  Yes$21 @ 2.0¢
• Will Union Party win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?Politics
  Yes$17 @ 1.9¢
• Will Ali Khamenei rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Passings in the US of 2026?Tech
  No$13 @ 67.0¢
• Will Popular Nasserist Organization win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?Politics
  Yes$6 @ 1.9¢
• Will Ali Motahari be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics
  Yes$2 @ 0.8¢
• Will Reza Pirzadeh be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics
  Yes$2 @ 0.8¢
• Will Hassan Rouhani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics
  Yes$2 @ 0.8¢
• Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics
  Yes$2 @ 0.8¢
• Will Mohammad Khatami be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics
  Yes$2 @ 0.8¢
• Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics
  Yes$2 @ 0.8¢
• Will Seyed Hossein Mousavian be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics
  Yes$2 @ 0.8¢
• Will Sadegh Mahsouli be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics
  Yes$2 @ 0.8¢
• Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics
  Yes$2 @ 0.8¢
• Will Masoud Pezeshkian be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics
  Yes$2 @ 0.8¢
• Will Maryam Rajavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics
  Yes$2 @ 0.8¢
• Will Ahmad Hosseini Khorasani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics
  Yes$2 @ 0.8¢
• Will Mostafa Pourmohammadi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics
  Yes$2 @ 0.8¢