0x8247…d8cc

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x8247f6d658b0afe22414a12e9f6c57058a9dd8cc
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+14.5pp

ROI

+48%

Win rate

42% @ 27.1¢

Brier

0.127

Resolved

354

Avg size

$47

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	68% (21/31)	+54%	31
Culture	57% (4/7)	+19%	7
Politics	67% (2/3)	+20%	3
Crypto	50% (1/2)	-39%	2

Other31 bets
Hit rate
68% (21/31)
ROI
+54%
Culture7 bets
Hit rate
57% (4/7)
ROI
+19%
Politics3 bets
Hit rate
67% (2/3)
ROI
+20%
Crypto2 bets
Hit rate
50% (1/2)
ROI
-39%

Track record

65% hit · 28/43

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?	Yes	$50	50.0¢	Won
Will MrBeast's next video get between 58 and 61 million views on day 2?	No	$323	73.5¢	Won
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	$1.4k	79.6¢	Won
Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 92m?	Yes	$820	44.6¢	Lost
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	$600	85.7¢	Won
Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?	Yes	$138	2.7¢	Lost
Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?	Yes	$812	81.5¢	Won
Will MrBeast's video get between 66 and 68 million views on day 3?	Yes	$581	81.8¢	Won
Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 67m and 73m?	Yes	$11	1.3¢	Lost
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 34m and 37m?	No	$4	5.0¢	Lost
Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?	Yes	$240	84.9¢	Won
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?	Yes	$27	15.0¢	Lost
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	$810	81.0¢	Won
Will MrBeast's video get between 68 and 70 million views on day 3?	No	$7	81.0¢	Won
Will "The Breadwinner" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 5m and 6m?	Yes	$0	0.2¢	Lost
Will MrBeast's next video get 61 million or more views on day 2?	No	$90	88.0¢	Won
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	$50	83.0¢	Lost
Will Lilo & Stitch be the top grossing movie of 2025?	Yes	$787	4.5¢	Lost
Will MrBeast's video get 85 million or more views on day 6?	No	$16	16.0¢	Lost
Will MrBeast's video get 85 million or more views on day 6?	Yes	$44	88.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	$12	89.7¢	Won
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?	No	$726	89.0¢	Won
Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 85m and 90m?	Yes	$22	3.7¢	Lost
Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?	Yes	$1.1k	14.5¢	Won
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	Yes	$62	62.2¢	Lost
Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 40m?	Yes	$75	75.0¢	Won
Will "Masters of the Universe" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 27m?	No	$199	84.0¢	Won
Will "Masters of the Universe" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 27m?	Yes	$8	14.1¢	Lost
Will "Masters of the Universe" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 36m?	No	$357	82.9¢	Won
Will MrBeast's next video get between 55 and 58 million views on day 2?	Yes	$849	77.4¢	Won
Will MrBeast's video get between 78 and 79 million views on day 5?	No	$135	67.0¢	Won
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?	No	$41	86.0¢	Won
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	Yes	$77	77.0¢	Won
Ethereum flipped in 2026?	No	$10	2.0¢	Lost
Will Superman be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?	Yes	$2.6k	70.8¢	Won
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	No	$358	40.2¢	Won
Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 21, 2026?	Yes	$102	51.0¢	Won
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?	Yes	$171	69.1¢	Lost
Will "Masters of the Universe" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 30m and 33m?	No	$233	79.0¢	Won
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	No	$2.6k	86.8¢	Won
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	Yes	$29	2.4¢	Lost
Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 61m?	Yes	$1	86.0¢	Won
Will MrBeast's video get 80 million or more views on day 5?	No	$89	89.0¢	Won

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?Won
Yes$50 @ 50.0¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 58 and 61 million views on day 2?Won
No$323 @ 73.5¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Won
No$1.4k @ 79.6¢
Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 92m?Lost
Yes$820 @ 44.6¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?Won
No$600 @ 85.7¢
Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?Lost
Yes$138 @ 2.7¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?Won
Yes$812 @ 81.5¢
Will MrBeast's video get between 66 and 68 million views on day 3?Won
Yes$581 @ 81.8¢
Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 67m and 73m?Lost
Yes$11 @ 1.3¢
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 34m and 37m?Lost
No$4 @ 5.0¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?Won
Yes$240 @ 84.9¢
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?Lost
Yes$27 @ 15.0¢
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Won
Yes$810 @ 81.0¢
Will MrBeast's video get between 68 and 70 million views on day 3?Won
No$7 @ 81.0¢
Will "The Breadwinner" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 5m and 6m?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
Will MrBeast's next video get 61 million or more views on day 2?Won
No$90 @ 88.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Lost
No$50 @ 83.0¢
Will Lilo & Stitch be the top grossing movie of 2025?Lost
Yes$787 @ 4.5¢
Will MrBeast's video get 85 million or more views on day 6?Lost
No$16 @ 16.0¢
Will MrBeast's video get 85 million or more views on day 6?Won
Yes$44 @ 88.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?Won
Yes$12 @ 89.7¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?Won
No$726 @ 89.0¢
Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 85m and 90m?Lost
Yes$22 @ 3.7¢
Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?Won
Yes$1.1k @ 14.5¢
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?Lost
Yes$62 @ 62.2¢
Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 40m?Won
Yes$75 @ 75.0¢
Will "Masters of the Universe" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 27m?Won
No$199 @ 84.0¢
Will "Masters of the Universe" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 27m?Lost
Yes$8 @ 14.1¢
Will "Masters of the Universe" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 36m?Won
No$357 @ 82.9¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 55 and 58 million views on day 2?Won
Yes$849 @ 77.4¢
Will MrBeast's video get between 78 and 79 million views on day 5?Won
No$135 @ 67.0¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?Won
No$41 @ 86.0¢
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?Won
Yes$77 @ 77.0¢
Ethereum flipped in 2026?Lost
No$10 @ 2.0¢
Will Superman be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?Won
Yes$2.6k @ 70.8¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?Won
No$358 @ 40.2¢
Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 21, 2026?Won
Yes$102 @ 51.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?Lost
Yes$171 @ 69.1¢
Will "Masters of the Universe" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 30m and 33m?Won
No$233 @ 79.0¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?Won
No$2.6k @ 86.8¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?Lost
Yes$29 @ 2.4¢
Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 61m?Won
Yes$1 @ 86.0¢
Will MrBeast's video get 80 million or more views on day 5?Won
No$89 @ 89.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Politics	Yes	$4.5k	50.0¢
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Politics	No	$4.5k	50.0¢
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Geopolitics	No	$370	92.5¢
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	Politics	Yes	$267	89.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Politics	Yes	$125	48.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Geopolitics	Yes	$25	4.9¢

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics
Yes$4.5k @ 50.0¢
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics
No$4.5k @ 50.0¢
Xi Jinping out before 2027?Geopolitics
No$370 @ 92.5¢
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?Politics
Yes$267 @ 89.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Politics
Yes$125 @ 48.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Geopolitics
Yes$25 @ 4.9¢