← Smart money
0x8212…5933
SharpEdge
+5.0pp
ROI
+8%
Win rate
28% @ 23.2¢
Brier
0.115
Resolved
436
Avg size
$136
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 23% (53/234) | +10% | 234 |
| Politics | 15% (2/13) | -65% | 13 |
| Sports | 0% (0/3) | -100% | 3 |
| Crypto | 0% (0/2) | -100% | 2 |
| Geopolitics | 100% (1/1) | +104% | 1 |
| Economy | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
| Culture | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
- Other234 bets
- Hit rate
- 23% (53/234)
- ROI
- +10%
- Politics13 bets
- Hit rate
- 15% (2/13)
- ROI
- -65%
- Sports3 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/3)
- ROI
- -100%
- Crypto2 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/2)
- ROI
- -100%
- Geopolitics1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +104%
- Economy1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
- Culture1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
22% hit · 56/255- No$25 @ 5.0¢
- Rams$300 @ 43.0¢
- Yes$25 @ 2.9¢
- Yes$25 @ 11.7¢
- 49ers$200 @ 25.5¢
- No$20 @ 8.0¢
- Yes$50 @ 29.2¢
- No$15 @ 2.0¢
- No$100 @ 56.4¢
- No$10 @ 4.8¢
- Yes$1.2k @ 41.7¢
- Yes$100 @ 76.1¢
- Yes$1000 @ 85.3¢
- No$225 @ 66.0¢
- No$27 @ 5.0¢
- Yes$103 @ 13.3¢
- Yes$100 @ 7.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 19.9¢
- Yes$10 @ 7.0¢
- Yes$25 @ 10.0¢
- No$70 @ 6.7¢
- Yes$31 @ 3.2¢
- Yes$2 @ 0.3¢
- Yes$5 @ 0.2¢
- No$70 @ 17.6¢
- No$25 @ 28.0¢
- Yes$1000 @ 19.0¢
- Yes$500 @ 36.1¢
- No$25 @ 2.9¢
- No$25 @ 5.9¢
- No$150 @ 83.0¢
- Yes$50 @ 16.0¢
- Yes$250 @ 2.1¢
- Yes$10 @ 1.9¢
- Yes$15 @ 15.0¢
- Yes$67 @ 32.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 0.1¢
- No$106 @ 2.5¢
- Yes$4 @ 1.7¢
- No$10 @ 0.3¢
- Yes$5 @ 3.1¢
- Yes$22 @ 0.9¢
- Panthers$50 @ 18.0¢
- Rams$2 @ 44.0¢
- No$25 @ 12.0¢
- No$1000 @ 88.0¢
- Yes$15 @ 23.9¢
- Yes$10 @ 4.1¢
- Yes$10 @ 5.3¢
- Yes$9 @ 1.3¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? | Politics | Yes | $548 | 37.4¢ |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Politics | No | $275 | 29.6¢ |
| Will Dejan Šoškić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | Politics | Yes | $60 | 41.6¢ |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? | Politics | Yes | $50 | 32.0¢ |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | Politics | No | $50 | 26.3¢ |
| Will Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | Politics | No | $50 | 12.0¢ |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22? | Politics | No | $25 | 5.0¢ |
| US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31? | Politics | No | $25 | 6.0¢ |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in October? | Crypto | Yes | $15 | 4.5¢ |
| France declares state of siege (martial law) by November 15, 2026? | Politics | Yes | $15 | 2.1¢ |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | Science | Yes | $12 | 9.3¢ |
- Yes$548 @ 37.4¢
- No$275 @ 29.6¢
- Yes$60 @ 41.6¢
- Yes$50 @ 32.0¢
- No$50 @ 26.3¢
- No$50 @ 12.0¢
- No$25 @ 5.0¢
- No$25 @ 6.0¢
- Yes$15 @ 4.5¢
- Yes$15 @ 2.1¢
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?ScienceYes$12 @ 9.3¢