0x8200…df37

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

• Other222 bets

  Hit rate

  55% (121/222)

  ROI

  +12%

• Politics23 bets

  Hit rate

  48% (11/23)

  ROI

  +14%

• Culture4 bets

  Hit rate

  50% (2/4)

  ROI

  -39%

• Sports1 bets

  Hit rate

  100% (1/1)

  ROI

  +18%

• Will Trump say "Transgender" at Cape Canaveral?Won
  No$167 @ 83.5¢
• Will MrBeast's next video get between 20 and 25 million views on day 1?Lost
  Yes$4 @ 0.1¢
• Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?Lost
  No$1.2k @ 47.2¢
• Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?Lost
  Yes$140 @ 5.5¢
• Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?Lost
  Yes$750 @ 29.8¢
• Will MrBeast's next video get between 20 and 25 million views on day 1?Lost
  Yes$333 @ 33.1¢
• Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?Lost
  No$312 @ 70.4¢
• Will Ed Markey win the Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary by 40% or more?Lost
  Yes$20 @ 24.0¢
• Will MrBeast's next video get between 15 and 20 million views on day 1?Lost
  Yes$88 @ 8.8¢
• Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay RaysLost
  Baltimore Orioles$60 @ 51.4¢
• Will MrBeast's next video get between 20 and 25 million views on day 1?Lost
  Yes$158 @ 16.6¢
• Will MrBeast's next video get less than 20 million views on day 1?Lost
  Yes$10 @ 0.5¢
• Will Jeromie Whalen be the MA-01 Democratic nominee?Lost
  Yes$300 @ 18.0¢
• Will Patrick Roath be the Democratic nominee for MA-08?Lost
  Yes$100 @ 18.2¢
• SPY (SPY) Up or Down on November 4?Lost
  Down$100 @ 61.0¢
• Will Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?Lost
  Yes$71 @ 92.4¢
• Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Won
  Yes$1000 @ 65.0¢
• Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?Won
  Yes$2.0k @ 74.8¢
• Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?Lost
  Yes$1.2k @ 57.5¢
• Will Chris Murphy vote "Yea" on the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026?Won
  No$24 @ 89.8¢
• Will MrBeast's next video get between 82 and 83 million views on week 1?Won
  No$440 @ 87.7¢
• Will MrBeast's next video get less than 75 million views on day 5?Lost
  Yes$15 @ 0.2¢
• Will Leavitt say "President" 50+ times during the next White House Press Briefing?Won
  Yes$27 @ 87.0¢
• Will MrBeast's next video get between 47 and 50 million views on day 2?Lost
  Yes$2.2k @ 47.5¢
• Will Trump say "Tractor" during National Agriculture Day events?Lost
  No$125 @ 21.2¢
• Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 180m and 190m?Lost
  Yes$150 @ 45.9¢
• Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?Won
  No$584 @ 86.1¢
• Will CD win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?Lost
  Yes$10 @ 6.8¢
• Will MrBeast's latest video get 20–22 million views on day 1?Won
  No$522 @ 67.4¢
• Will MrBeast's latest video get 20–22 million views on day 1?Lost
  Yes$1.0k @ 60.7¢
• Will Trump say "Cheat" or "Cheater" or "Cheated" or "Cheating" 10+ times at the NRCC Dinner on March 25?Lost
  No$20 @ 19.5¢
• Will Trump say "Cheat" or "Cheater" or "Cheated" or "Cheating" 10+ times at the NRCC Dinner on March 25?Won
  Yes$970 @ 57.4¢
• Will Trump say "Easter" in March?Lost
  No$10 @ 33.1¢
• Will John Cornyn win the first round of the Republican Senate primary election in Texas?Won
  Yes$837 @ 31.4¢
• Will Hegseth or Cooper say "America" 15+ times during press conference?Lost
  Yes$54 @ 21.9¢
• Will Juliana Stratton win the Illinois Democratic Senate Primary by between 6% and 9%?Won
  Yes$337 @ 81.1¢
• Will Starmer say "Mr Speaker" 25+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?Lost
  No$80 @ 77.1¢
• Will Starmer say "Mr Speaker" 25+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?Won
  Yes$10 @ 72.0¢
• Will Trump say "Hell" 5+ times in Rome, GA on February 19?Won
  Yes$216 @ 50.5¢
• Spread: Texas Tech Red Raiders (-8.5)Won
  Arizona State Sun Devils$70 @ 85.4¢
• Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?Won
  No$163 @ 74.9¢
• Will "Project Hail Mary" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 75m and 80m?Won
  No$300 @ 62.4¢
• Will "Project Hail Mary" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 75m and 80m?Lost
  Yes$100 @ 48.8¢
• Will the Green Party win at least 600 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?Won
  No$2.8k @ 68.9¢
• Will MrBeast's next video get 110 million or more views on week 1?Won
  No$100 @ 87.9¢
• Will MrBeast's latest video get between 39 and 41 million views on week 1?Lost
  Yes$810 @ 75.7¢
• Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?Won
  Yes$3.8k @ 85.6¢
• Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 15+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions?Won
  Yes$470 @ 89.0¢
• Will Trump say "Biden" during National Agriculture Day events?Lost
  No$10 @ 22.0¢
• Will Trump say "God" 3+ times during Address to the Nation?Won
  Yes$466 @ 82.9¢

Current positions

• Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?—
  No$1.2k @ 47.2¢
• Will the Republican Party hold between 175 and 179 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics
  Yes$1.1k @ 76.9¢
• Pete Hegseth impeached by December 31, 2026?Politics
  Yes$917 @ 61.1¢
• Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?—
  Yes$750 @ 29.8¢
• Will Donald Trump be the first of these people impeached by December 31, 2027?Politics
  No$681 @ 87.7¢
• Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?Politics
  Yes$500 @ 32.6¢
• Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?Culture
  No$500 @ 45.4¢
• Will fewer than 215 House members vote to impeach Hegseth by December 31?Politics
  No$435 @ 87.0¢
• Will the Democratic Party win the WA-05 House seat?Politics
  No$400 @ 96.5¢
• Will MrBeast's next video get between 20 and 25 million views on day 1?—
  Yes$333 @ 33.1¢
• Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?—
  No$312 @ 70.4¢
• Will John Cavanaugh be the Democratic nominee for NE-02?—
  Yes$300 @ 65.1¢
• Will Jeromie Whalen be the MA-01 Democratic nominee?—
  Yes$300 @ 18.0¢
• Will Green Party win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Politics
  Yes$200 @ 96.4¢
• Will the Republican Party win the WA-05 House seat?Politics
  Yes$200 @ 96.4¢
• Will MrBeast's next video get between 20 and 25 million views on day 1?Culture
  Yes$181 @ 7.3¢
• Will MrBeast's next video get between 20 and 25 million views on day 1?—
  Yes$158 @ 16.6¢
• Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?—
  Yes$140 @ 5.5¢
• Will Blake Miguez be the Republican nominee for LA-05?Politics
  Yes$103 @ 28.6¢
• SPY (SPY) Up or Down on November 4?—
  Down$100 @ 61.0¢
• Will Patrick Roath be the Democratic nominee for MA-08?Politics
  Yes$100 @ 18.2¢
• Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?Politics
  No$100 @ 9.6¢
• Will MrBeast's next video get between 15 and 20 million views on day 1?—
  Yes$88 @ 8.8¢
• Will Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?—
  Yes$71 @ 92.4¢
• Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays—
  Baltimore Orioles$60 @ 51.4¢
• Will Howard Lutnick be the first of these people impeached by December 31, 2027?Politics
  No$33 @ 97.0¢
• Will Ed Markey win the Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary by 40% or more?—
  Yes$20 @ 24.0¢
• Will Tram Nguyen be the Democratic nominee for MA-06?Politics
  Yes$20 @ 9.7¢
• Will MrBeast's next video get less than 20 million views on day 1?—
  Yes$10 @ 0.5¢
• Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics
  Yes$5 @ 1.5¢