0x8200…df37

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x82001288e3b1f5dd413e3126a34e1583badedf37
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+9.8pp

ROI

+9%

Win rate

70% @ 60.0¢

Brier

0.120

Resolved

292

Avg size

$123

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	68% (15/22)	+23%	22
Politics	47% (9/19)	+10%	19
Culture	50% (2/4)	-39%	4

Other22 bets
Hit rate
68% (15/22)
ROI
+23%
Politics19 bets
Hit rate
47% (9/19)
ROI
+10%
Culture4 bets
Hit rate
50% (2/4)
ROI
-39%

Track record

58% hit · 26/45

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	$1.2k	57.5¢	Lost
Will Juliana Stratton win the Illinois Democratic Senate Primary by between 6% and 9%?	Yes	$337	81.1¢	Won
Will the Green Party win at least 600 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	No	$2.8k	68.9¢	Won
Will MrBeast's next video get 110 million or more views on week 1?	No	$100	87.9¢	Won
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?	No	$8	79.0¢	Won
Will voter turnout be 77–80% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?	Yes	$200	88.7¢	Won
Will Eric Swalwell advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	No	$12	28.0¢	Won
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?	No	$1.5k	84.0¢	Won
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?	No	$1.7k	66.9¢	Lost
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?	Yes	$1	28.7¢	Won
Will Trump say "The State of the Union is strong" during the 2026 State of the Union address?	No	$237	83.2¢	Won
Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?	No	$179	89.7¢	Lost
Will MrBeast's next video get between 45 and 50 million views on day 1?	No	$626	84.2¢	Won
Will MrBeast's next video get between 45 and 50 million views on day 1?	Yes	$100	28.4¢	Lost
Will Rachel Anderson be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?	Yes	$108	11.6¢	Won
Netanyahu out by March 31?	Yes	$20	6.1¢	Lost
Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?	No	$838	61.8¢	Won
Will the Green Party win at least 700 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	No	$2.0k	80.1¢	Won
Will Nirav Shah win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?	No	$202	78.5¢	Won
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	$176	88.0¢	Won
Will Juliana Stratton win the Illinois Democratic Senate Primary by between 3% and 6%?	No	$36	89.0¢	Won
Will MrBeast's next video get between 20 and 25 million views on day 1?	Yes	$379	7.9¢	Lost
Will Hannah Pingree win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?	No	$100	89.8¢	Lost
Will Hannah Pingree win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	$648	57.0¢	Won
Will one Democratic Party candidate and one Republican Party candidate advance to the general election for Governor of California from the June 2, 2026 primary?	Yes	$4.8k	81.1¢	Won
Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1?	No	$400	72.7¢	Won
Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1?	Yes	$320	36.1¢	Lost
Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 60 million views on week 1?	No	$14	36.0¢	Lost
Will Shenna Bellows win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	$104	10.8¢	Lost
50m views on a MrBeast video in the first day by April 30?	No	$1.1k	82.4¢	Won
Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	$513	32.6¢	Lost
Will John Cavanaugh be the Democratic nominee for NE-02?	Yes	$304	65.1¢	Lost
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	$3.8k	33.7¢	Lost
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	$4.0k	68.1¢	Won
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	$72	16.2¢	Lost
Will Tram Nguyen be the Democratic nominee for MA-06?	Yes	$21	9.7¢	Lost
Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?	Yes	$509	44.4¢	Lost
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	Yes	$114	13.4¢	Lost
Will both candidates advancing to the general election for Governor of California from the June 2, 2026 primary be affiliated with the Democratic Party?	No	$1.2k	83.2¢	Won
Will Trump say "Tax" 30+ times during remarks in Las Vegas?	No	$27	35.0¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Tax" 30+ times during remarks in Las Vegas?	Yes	$187	60.4¢	Won
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?	No	$100	89.9¢	Won
Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	No	$104	9.6¢	Lost
Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	$2.5k	37.7¢	Won
Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?	No	$2.0k	80.8¢	Won

Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?Lost
Yes$1.2k @ 57.5¢
Will Juliana Stratton win the Illinois Democratic Senate Primary by between 6% and 9%?Won
Yes$337 @ 81.1¢
Will the Green Party win at least 600 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?Won
No$2.8k @ 68.9¢
Will MrBeast's next video get 110 million or more views on week 1?Won
No$100 @ 87.9¢
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?Won
No$8 @ 79.0¢
Will voter turnout be 77–80% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?Won
Yes$200 @ 88.7¢
Will Eric Swalwell advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?Won
No$12 @ 28.0¢
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?Won
No$1.5k @ 84.0¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?Lost
No$1.7k @ 66.9¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?Won
Yes$1 @ 28.7¢
Will Trump say "The State of the Union is strong" during the 2026 State of the Union address?Won
No$237 @ 83.2¢
Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?Lost
No$179 @ 89.7¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 45 and 50 million views on day 1?Won
No$626 @ 84.2¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 45 and 50 million views on day 1?Lost
Yes$100 @ 28.4¢
Will Rachel Anderson be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?Won
Yes$108 @ 11.6¢
Netanyahu out by March 31?Lost
Yes$20 @ 6.1¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?Won
No$838 @ 61.8¢
Will the Green Party win at least 700 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?Won
No$2.0k @ 80.1¢
Will Nirav Shah win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?Won
No$202 @ 78.5¢
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Won
No$176 @ 88.0¢
Will Juliana Stratton win the Illinois Democratic Senate Primary by between 3% and 6%?Won
No$36 @ 89.0¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 20 and 25 million views on day 1?Lost
Yes$379 @ 7.9¢
Will Hannah Pingree win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?Lost
No$100 @ 89.8¢
Will Hannah Pingree win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?Won
Yes$648 @ 57.0¢
Will one Democratic Party candidate and one Republican Party candidate advance to the general election for Governor of California from the June 2, 2026 primary?Won
Yes$4.8k @ 81.1¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1?Won
No$400 @ 72.7¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1?Lost
Yes$320 @ 36.1¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 60 million views on week 1?Lost
No$14 @ 36.0¢
Will Shenna Bellows win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?Lost
Yes$104 @ 10.8¢
50m views on a MrBeast video in the first day by April 30?Won
No$1.1k @ 82.4¢
Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?Lost
Yes$513 @ 32.6¢
Will John Cavanaugh be the Democratic nominee for NE-02?Lost
Yes$304 @ 65.1¢
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Lost
No$3.8k @ 33.7¢
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Won
Yes$4.0k @ 68.1¢
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Lost
No$72 @ 16.2¢
Will Tram Nguyen be the Democratic nominee for MA-06?Lost
Yes$21 @ 9.7¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?Lost
Yes$509 @ 44.4¢
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Lost
Yes$114 @ 13.4¢
Will both candidates advancing to the general election for Governor of California from the June 2, 2026 primary be affiliated with the Democratic Party?Won
No$1.2k @ 83.2¢
Will Trump say "Tax" 30+ times during remarks in Las Vegas?Lost
No$27 @ 35.0¢
Will Trump say "Tax" 30+ times during remarks in Las Vegas?Won
Yes$187 @ 60.4¢
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?Won
No$100 @ 89.9¢
Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?Lost
No$104 @ 9.6¢
Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?Won
Yes$2.5k @ 37.7¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?Won
No$2.0k @ 80.8¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Corbin Carroll hit the most triples in the 2026 MLB regular season?	Sports	Yes	$239	84.7¢
Will Blake Miguez be the Republican nominee for LA-05?	Politics	Yes	$153	28.6¢
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Politics	Yes	$5	1.5¢
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Politics	Yes	$5	1.4¢

Will Corbin Carroll hit the most triples in the 2026 MLB regular season?Sports
Yes$239 @ 84.7¢
Will Blake Miguez be the Republican nominee for LA-05?Politics
Yes$153 @ 28.6¢
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics
Yes$5 @ 1.5¢
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
Yes$5 @ 1.4¢