← Smart money
0x81f0…71ed
SharpEdge
+8.5pp
ROI
+24%
Win rate
49% @ 40.0¢
Brier
0.179
Resolved
336
Avg size
$170
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 39% (15/38) | +13% | 38 |
| Politics | 41% (7/17) | +25% | 17 |
| Tech | 56% (5/9) | +79% | 9 |
| Sports | 13% (1/8) | -46% | 8 |
| Geopolitics | 25% (1/4) | -67% | 4 |
| Economy | 100% (4/4) | +74% | 4 |
- Other38 bets
- Hit rate
- 39% (15/38)
- ROI
- +13%
- Politics17 bets
- Hit rate
- 41% (7/17)
- ROI
- +25%
- Tech9 bets
- Hit rate
- 56% (5/9)
- ROI
- +79%
- Sports8 bets
- Hit rate
- 13% (1/8)
- ROI
- -46%
- Geopolitics4 bets
- Hit rate
- 25% (1/4)
- ROI
- -67%
- Economy4 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (4/4)
- ROI
- +74%
Track record
41% hit · 33/80- No$2.6k @ 78.7¢
- Yes$800 @ 13.7¢
- Yes$516 @ 16.1¢
- Yes$346 @ 34.0¢
- No$215 @ 42.9¢
- Yes$66 @ 25.0¢
- No$412 @ 63.9¢
- Yes$100 @ 6.1¢
- Yes$90 @ 0.3¢
- No$200 @ 62.8¢
- Yes$150 @ 3.3¢
- Yes$355 @ 22.3¢
- Yes$105 @ 2.2¢
- No$500 @ 83.0¢
- Yes$103 @ 3.9¢
- Yes$79 @ 1.8¢
- Yes$3.6k @ 32.1¢
- Yes$156 @ 25.0¢
- No$462 @ 29.7¢
- Yes$200 @ 74.2¢
- Yes$160 @ 52.0¢
- Yes$182 @ 33.0¢
- Yes$150 @ 14.0¢
- No$130 @ 86.0¢
- No$125 @ 63.4¢
- Yes$498 @ 49.8¢
- Yes$572 @ 18.7¢
- Yes$1 @ 78.0¢
- Yes$153 @ 29.0¢
- Yes$1.2k @ 29.0¢
- Yes$503 @ 22.3¢
- Yes$3.2k @ 42.5¢
- Yes$1.9k @ 34.7¢
- Yes$90 @ 45.0¢
- No$465 @ 56.0¢
- No$576 @ 59.1¢
- Yes$120 @ 24.0¢
- No$1.2k @ 53.7¢
- Yes$5.3k @ 53.1¢
- Yes$879 @ 30.7¢
- Yes$2.3k @ 58.8¢
- Yes$129 @ 6.7¢
- Yes$50 @ 29.0¢
- No$268 @ 75.2¢
- Yes$361 @ 10.8¢
- No$177 @ 60.0¢
- No$375 @ 75.0¢
- Yes$280 @ 8.3¢
- Yes$500 @ 24.4¢
- No$1.1k @ 56.8¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? | Politics | Yes | $3.6k | 12.0¢ |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay? | Other | No | $2.2k | 94.0¢ |
| ECB rate cut in 2026? | Economy | No | $910 | 75.5¢ |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Sports | Yes | $884 | 29.5¢ |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? | Business | No | $837 | 41.9¢ |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day? | Tech | Yes | $500 | 19.4¢ |
| Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027? | Tech | Yes | $153 | 15.3¢ |
| Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Sports | Yes | $150 | 6.0¢ |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Sports | Yes | $138 | 7.9¢ |
| Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Sports | Yes | $49 | 1.0¢ |
| Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? | Politics | Yes | $25 | 2.5¢ |
- Yes$3.6k @ 12.0¢
- No$2.2k @ 94.0¢
- ECB rate cut in 2026?EconomyNo$910 @ 75.5¢
- Yes$884 @ 29.5¢
- No$837 @ 41.9¢
- Yes$500 @ 19.4¢
- Yes$153 @ 15.3¢
- Yes$150 @ 6.0¢
- Yes$138 @ 7.9¢
- Yes$49 @ 1.0¢
- Yes$25 @ 2.5¢