0x81e4…743e

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x81e446eaea53ef95ad053d2db72e5971a6db743e
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Profitable

Edge

-2.2pp

ROI

+4%

Win rate

63% @ 65.2¢

Brier

0.190

Resolved

3047

Avg size

$10

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	69% (1607/2344)	+11%	2344
Sports	76% (136/179)	-12%	179
Politics	68% (13/19)	+32%	19
Business	86% (6/7)	+41%	7
Tech	0% (0/2)	-100%	2
Geopolitics	50% (1/2)	+17%	2

Other2344 bets
Hit rate
69% (1607/2344)
ROI
+11%
Sports179 bets
Hit rate
76% (136/179)
ROI
-12%
Politics19 bets
Hit rate
68% (13/19)
ROI
+32%
Business7 bets
Hit rate
86% (6/7)
ROI
+41%
Tech2 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/2)
ROI
-100%
Geopolitics2 bets
Hit rate
50% (1/2)
ROI
+17%

Track record

69% hit · 1763/2553

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
North Macedonia vs. Scotland: O/U 1.5	Over	$1	69.0¢	Won
Spain vs. Czechia: O/U 5.5	Under	$2	79.0¢	Won
Will Switzerland win on 2026-10-03?	Yes	$3	76.0¢	Won
Will North Macedonia win on 2026-10-03?	No	$3	85.0¢	Won
Will Spain win on 2026-10-03?	Yes	$1	93.0¢	Won
Spain vs. Czechia: O/U 4.5	Under	$1	63.0¢	Won
Croatia vs. England: England O/U 0.5	Over	$2	87.0¢	Won
Croatia vs. England: O/U 1.5	Over	$10	82.0¢	Won
Iceland vs. Bulgaria: O/U 1.5	Over	$1	77.0¢	Won
Croatia vs. England: Both Teams to Score	Yes	$5	59.0¢	Lost
Will Iceland win on 2026-10-03?	Yes	$1	67.0¢	Won
UD Almería vs. Burgos CF: O/U 4.5	Under	$1	88.0¢	Won
Will Burgos CF win on 2026-10-03?	No	$1	85.0¢	Won
Spread: UD Almería (-2.5)	Burgos CF	$1	85.0¢	Won
Will Albania win on 2026-10-03?	No	$2	72.0¢	Won
Will Northern Ireland win on 2026-10-02?	No	$5	79.0¢	Lost
Poland vs. Romania: O/U 4.5	Under	$5	81.0¢	Lost
Will Romania win on 2026-10-02?	No	$5	82.0¢	Won
Will Türkiye win on 2026-10-02?	No	$5	84.0¢	Won
Will France win on 2026-10-02?	Yes	$1	68.0¢	Lost
Will Belgium win on 2026-10-02?	Yes	$2	64.0¢	Won
Poland vs. Romania: O/U 3.5	Under	$1	63.0¢	Lost
Cyprus vs. Armenia: O/U 1.5	Over	$3	73.0¢	Won
Will Cyprus win on 2026-10-02?	No	$1	58.0¢	Lost
Will Latvia win on 2026-10-02?	No	$3	82.0¢	Won
Latvia vs. Montenegro: O/U 4.5	Under	$1	91.0¢	Won
Cyprus vs. Armenia: O/U 4.5	Under	$1	90.0¢	Won
Cyprus vs. Armenia: Armenia O/U 0.5	Over	$1	69.0¢	Lost
Latvia vs. Montenegro: O/U 1.5	Over	$2	70.0¢	Won
Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	No	$30	92.3¢	Won
Will CZ post 0-19 posts from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	$2	43.0¢	Won
Kazakhstan vs. Moldova: O/U 3.5	Under	$1	80.0¢	Won
Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	$127	91.5¢	Won
Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	$10	79.0¢	Won
Kazakhstan vs. Moldova: O/U 0.5	Over	$2	90.0¢	Won
Kazakhstan vs. Moldova: O/U 1.5	Over	$1	67.0¢	Won
Will Austria win on 2026-10-01?	Yes	$1	46.0¢	Lost
Greece vs. Netherlands: Netherlands O/U 0.5	Over	$3	84.0¢	Won
Greece vs. Netherlands: O/U 1.5	Over	$2	81.0¢	Won
Denmark vs. Portugal: O/U 1.5	Over	$2	81.0¢	Won
Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01?	Yes	$1	49.0¢	Won
Denmark vs. Portugal: O/U 5.5	Under	$1	93.0¢	Lost
Germany vs. Serbia: Germany O/U 4.5	Under	$1	83.0¢	Won
Greece vs. Netherlands: O/U 5.5	Under	$1	93.0¢	Won
Will Denmark win on 2026-10-01?	No	$6	75.0¢	Won
Will Malta win on 2026-10-01?	Yes	$2	76.0¢	Lost
Republic of Ireland vs. Austria: O/U 1.5	Over	$2	70.0¢	Won
Will Wales win on 2026-10-01?	No	$6	87.0¢	Lost
Will Norway win on 2026-10-01?	Yes	$1	68.0¢	Lost
Will Greece win on 2026-10-01?	No	$10	74.0¢	Won

North Macedonia vs. Scotland: O/U 1.5Won
Over$1 @ 69.0¢
Spain vs. Czechia: O/U 5.5Won
Under$2 @ 79.0¢
Will Switzerland win on 2026-10-03?Won
Yes$3 @ 76.0¢
Will North Macedonia win on 2026-10-03?Won
No$3 @ 85.0¢
Will Spain win on 2026-10-03?Won
Yes$1 @ 93.0¢
Spain vs. Czechia: O/U 4.5Won
Under$1 @ 63.0¢
Croatia vs. England: England O/U 0.5Won
Over$2 @ 87.0¢
Croatia vs. England: O/U 1.5Won
Over$10 @ 82.0¢
Iceland vs. Bulgaria: O/U 1.5Won
Over$1 @ 77.0¢
Croatia vs. England: Both Teams to ScoreLost
Yes$5 @ 59.0¢
Will Iceland win on 2026-10-03?Won
Yes$1 @ 67.0¢
UD Almería vs. Burgos CF: O/U 4.5Won
Under$1 @ 88.0¢
Will Burgos CF win on 2026-10-03?Won
No$1 @ 85.0¢
Spread: UD Almería (-2.5)Won
Burgos CF$1 @ 85.0¢
Will Albania win on 2026-10-03?Won
No$2 @ 72.0¢
Will Northern Ireland win on 2026-10-02?Lost
No$5 @ 79.0¢
Poland vs. Romania: O/U 4.5Lost
Under$5 @ 81.0¢
Will Romania win on 2026-10-02?Won
No$5 @ 82.0¢
Will Türkiye win on 2026-10-02?Won
No$5 @ 84.0¢
Will France win on 2026-10-02?Lost
Yes$1 @ 68.0¢
Will Belgium win on 2026-10-02?Won
Yes$2 @ 64.0¢
Poland vs. Romania: O/U 3.5Lost
Under$1 @ 63.0¢
Cyprus vs. Armenia: O/U 1.5Won
Over$3 @ 73.0¢
Will Cyprus win on 2026-10-02?Lost
No$1 @ 58.0¢
Will Latvia win on 2026-10-02?Won
No$3 @ 82.0¢
Latvia vs. Montenegro: O/U 4.5Won
Under$1 @ 91.0¢
Cyprus vs. Armenia: O/U 4.5Won
Under$1 @ 90.0¢
Cyprus vs. Armenia: Armenia O/U 0.5Lost
Over$1 @ 69.0¢
Latvia vs. Montenegro: O/U 1.5Won
Over$2 @ 70.0¢
Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from September 25 to October 2, 2026?Won
No$30 @ 92.3¢
Will CZ post 0-19 posts from September 25 to October 2, 2026?Won
Yes$2 @ 43.0¢
Kazakhstan vs. Moldova: O/U 3.5Won
Under$1 @ 80.0¢
Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from September 25 to October 2, 2026?Won
Yes$127 @ 91.5¢
Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from September 25 to October 2, 2026?Won
Yes$10 @ 79.0¢
Kazakhstan vs. Moldova: O/U 0.5Won
Over$2 @ 90.0¢
Kazakhstan vs. Moldova: O/U 1.5Won
Over$1 @ 67.0¢
Will Austria win on 2026-10-01?Lost
Yes$1 @ 46.0¢
Greece vs. Netherlands: Netherlands O/U 0.5Won
Over$3 @ 84.0¢
Greece vs. Netherlands: O/U 1.5Won
Over$2 @ 81.0¢
Denmark vs. Portugal: O/U 1.5Won
Over$2 @ 81.0¢
Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01?Won
Yes$1 @ 49.0¢
Denmark vs. Portugal: O/U 5.5Lost
Under$1 @ 93.0¢
Germany vs. Serbia: Germany O/U 4.5Won
Under$1 @ 83.0¢
Greece vs. Netherlands: O/U 5.5Won
Under$1 @ 93.0¢
Will Denmark win on 2026-10-01?Won
No$6 @ 75.0¢
Will Malta win on 2026-10-01?Lost
Yes$2 @ 76.0¢
Republic of Ireland vs. Austria: O/U 1.5Won
Over$2 @ 70.0¢
Will Wales win on 2026-10-01?Lost
No$6 @ 87.0¢
Will Norway win on 2026-10-01?Lost
Yes$1 @ 68.0¢
Will Greece win on 2026-10-01?Won
No$10 @ 74.0¢

Recent trades

live from Polymarket · click a column to sort

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings?	Business	Yes	$64	64.0¢
Will Rodri be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year?	Sports	Yes	$40	10.0¢
Will CZ post 0-19 posts from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$36	56.0¢
Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$15	86.3¢
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Crypto	Yes	$10	70.0¢
Italy vs. Türkiye: O/U 3.5	Sports	Under	$2	89.0¢
Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?	Politics	Yes	$1	97.0¢
CE Sabadell FC vs. FC Andorra: FC Andorra O/U 1.5	Sports	Under	$1	79.0¢
CE Sabadell FC vs. FC Andorra: O/U 1.5	Sports	Over	$1	69.0¢
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$1	98.6¢
Will Ted Cruz post 80-99 posts from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$1	34.0¢

Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings?Business
Yes$64 @ 64.0¢
Will Rodri be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year?Sports
Yes$40 @ 10.0¢
Will CZ post 0-19 posts from September 29 to October 6, 2026?Politics
Yes$36 @ 56.0¢
Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from September 29 to October 6, 2026?Politics
Yes$15 @ 86.3¢
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?Crypto
Yes$10 @ 70.0¢
Italy vs. Türkiye: O/U 3.5Sports
Under$2 @ 89.0¢
Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?Politics
Yes$1 @ 97.0¢
CE Sabadell FC vs. FC Andorra: FC Andorra O/U 1.5Sports
Under$1 @ 79.0¢
CE Sabadell FC vs. FC Andorra: O/U 1.5Sports
Over$1 @ 69.0¢
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from September 29 to October 6, 2026?Politics
Yes$1 @ 98.6¢
Will Ted Cruz post 80-99 posts from September 29 to October 6, 2026?Politics
Yes$1 @ 34.0¢