← Smart money
0x81d6…be2c
SharpEdge
+16.4pp
ROI
+37%
Win rate
89% @ 72.8¢
Brier
0.119
Resolved
410
Avg size
$263
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 75% (9/12) | +38% | 12 |
| Crypto | 100% (1/1) | +0% | 1 |
- Other12 bets
- Hit rate
- 75% (9/12)
- ROI
- +38%
- Crypto1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +0%
Track record
77% hit · 10/13| Market | Outcome | Size | Entry | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the fight be won by KO or TKO? | Yes | $17 | 85.5¢ | Won |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05? | No | $28.3k | 68.0¢ | Won |
| Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance | Argentina | $11.3k | 83.1¢ | Won |
| Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw? | No | $21.2k | 73.0¢ | Won |
| Will Colombia vs. Ghana end in a draw? | No | $18.0k | 81.2¢ | Won |
| Will Canada vs. Morocco end in a draw? | No | $12.6k | 71.0¢ | Won |
| Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance | Brazil | $4.2k | 67.7¢ | Lost |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03? | No | $7.7k | 31.7¢ | Won |
| Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advance | Canada | $3.0k | 29.0¢ | Lost |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | No | $18 | 81.0¢ | Won |
| Will Norway win on 2026-07-05? | No | $1.5k | 74.0¢ | Lost |
| O/U 4.5 Rounds | Under | $10 | 86.0¢ | Won |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,300 in October? | No | $70 | 99.9¢ | Won |
- Yes$17 @ 85.5¢
- No$28.3k @ 68.0¢
- Argentina$11.3k @ 83.1¢
- No$21.2k @ 73.0¢
- No$18.0k @ 81.2¢
- No$12.6k @ 71.0¢
- Brazil$4.2k @ 67.7¢
- No$7.7k @ 31.7¢
- Canada$3.0k @ 29.0¢
- No$18 @ 81.0¢
- No$1.5k @ 74.0¢
- Under$10 @ 86.0¢
- No$70 @ 99.9¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Politics | Yes | $51 | 50.0¢ |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Politics | No | $51 | 50.0¢ |
- Yes$51 @ 50.0¢
- No$51 @ 50.0¢