0x819d…6e9c

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x819d5487b18c5dbe2ed7e571c89a358974d46e9c
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

ProfitableSniper

Edge

-16.4pp

ROI

+93%

Win rate

17% @ 33.2¢

Brier

0.199

Resolved

160

Avg size

$152

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	41% (7/17)	+67%	17
Sports	31% (5/16)	+101%	16

Other17 bets
Hit rate
41% (7/17)
ROI
+67%
Sports16 bets
Hit rate
31% (5/16)
ROI
+101%

Track record

36% hit · 12/33

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Dana White's Contender Series: Damian Piwowarczyk vs. Emilio Quissua (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)	Emilio Quissua	$58	46.0¢	Lost
Will United Left (BSP) win at least one seat in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?	No	$70	30.0¢	Won
Will United Left (BSP) win at least one seat in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?	Yes	$402	55.6¢	Lost
Will Alliance for Rights and Freedoms (APS) win at least one seat in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?	Yes	$25	5.0¢	Lost
Will We Continue the Change – Democratic Bulgaria (PP–DB) finish third in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?	No	$270	36.6¢	Lost
Will We Continue the Change – Democratic Bulgaria (PP–DB) finish third in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?	Yes	$50	31.4¢	Won
Will FC Arda Kardzhali vs. PFC Slavia Sofia end in a draw?	Yes	$304	26.0¢	Lost
Dana White's Contender Series: Luca Borando vs. Ian Escuza (Featherweight, Main Card)	Ian Escuza	$292	51.0¢	Won
Will Enzo Fernandez stay at Chelsea?	Yes	$305	66.8¢	Lost
Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$19	0.1¢	Lost
Will Progressive Bulgaria (PB) win the 2026 Bulgarian Parliamentary election by 15-20%?	Yes	$70	44.2¢	Lost
Will Jude Bellingham be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$320	1.7¢	Lost
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$104	26.0¢	Lost
O/U 1.5 Rounds	Under	$308	45.8¢	Won
UFC Fight Night: Modestas Bukauskas vs. Oumar Sy (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)	Modestas Bukauskas	$294	33.9¢	Won
Dana White's Contender Series: Kaik Brito vs. Namo Fazil (Welterweight, Main Card)	Namo Fazil	$714	58.9¢	Lost
Will We Continue the Change – Democratic Bulgaria (PP–DB) finish second in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?	Yes	$366	18.3¢	Lost
Will Czechia vs. Mexico end in a draw?	Yes	$946	24.0¢	Lost
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	Yes	$105	29.0¢	Lost
Will Lionel Messi win the Silver Boot at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$433	36.3¢	Won
Will Velichie (Velichie) win at least one seat in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?	Yes	$40	17.3¢	Lost
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$534	2.4¢	Lost
Will GERB-UDF (GERB-SDS) finish third in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?	No	$30	33.0¢	Won
Will GERB-UDF (GERB-SDS) finish third in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?	Yes	$441	22.4¢	Lost
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)	Max Holloway	$4.0k	70.8¢	Won
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$8.1k	36.9¢	Won
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$723	34.2¢	Lost
UFC Fight Night: Elves Brener vs. Josiah Harrell (Lightweight, Main Card)	Josiah Harrell	$384	52.2¢	Lost
Will GERB-UDF (GERB-SDS) finish second in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?	No	$190	28.9¢	Lost
Will GERB-UDF (GERB-SDS) finish second in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?	Yes	$30	29.0¢	Won
Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$47	0.2¢	Lost
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$4.1k	35.0¢	Won
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	$64	1.6¢	Won

Dana White's Contender Series: Damian Piwowarczyk vs. Emilio Quissua (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)Lost
Emilio Quissua$58 @ 46.0¢
Will United Left (BSP) win at least one seat in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?Won
No$70 @ 30.0¢
Will United Left (BSP) win at least one seat in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?Lost
Yes$402 @ 55.6¢
Will Alliance for Rights and Freedoms (APS) win at least one seat in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?Lost
Yes$25 @ 5.0¢
Will We Continue the Change – Democratic Bulgaria (PP–DB) finish third in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?Lost
No$270 @ 36.6¢
Will We Continue the Change – Democratic Bulgaria (PP–DB) finish third in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?Won
Yes$50 @ 31.4¢
Will FC Arda Kardzhali vs. PFC Slavia Sofia end in a draw?Lost
Yes$304 @ 26.0¢
Dana White's Contender Series: Luca Borando vs. Ian Escuza (Featherweight, Main Card)Won
Ian Escuza$292 @ 51.0¢
Will Enzo Fernandez stay at Chelsea?Lost
Yes$305 @ 66.8¢
Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$19 @ 0.1¢
Will Progressive Bulgaria (PB) win the 2026 Bulgarian Parliamentary election by 15-20%?Lost
Yes$70 @ 44.2¢
Will Jude Bellingham be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$320 @ 1.7¢
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
No$104 @ 26.0¢
O/U 1.5 RoundsWon
Under$308 @ 45.8¢
UFC Fight Night: Modestas Bukauskas vs. Oumar Sy (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)Won
Modestas Bukauskas$294 @ 33.9¢
Dana White's Contender Series: Kaik Brito vs. Namo Fazil (Welterweight, Main Card)Lost
Namo Fazil$714 @ 58.9¢
Will We Continue the Change – Democratic Bulgaria (PP–DB) finish second in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?Lost
Yes$366 @ 18.3¢
Will Czechia vs. Mexico end in a draw?Lost
Yes$946 @ 24.0¢
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?Lost
Yes$105 @ 29.0¢
Will Lionel Messi win the Silver Boot at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
Yes$433 @ 36.3¢
Will Velichie (Velichie) win at least one seat in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?Lost
Yes$40 @ 17.3¢
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$534 @ 2.4¢
Will GERB-UDF (GERB-SDS) finish third in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?Won
No$30 @ 33.0¢
Will GERB-UDF (GERB-SDS) finish third in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?Lost
Yes$441 @ 22.4¢
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)Won
Max Holloway$4.0k @ 70.8¢
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
No$8.1k @ 36.9¢
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$723 @ 34.2¢
UFC Fight Night: Elves Brener vs. Josiah Harrell (Lightweight, Main Card)Lost
Josiah Harrell$384 @ 52.2¢
Will GERB-UDF (GERB-SDS) finish second in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?Lost
No$190 @ 28.9¢
Will GERB-UDF (GERB-SDS) finish second in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?Won
Yes$30 @ 29.0¢
Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$47 @ 0.2¢
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
Yes$4.1k @ 35.0¢
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?Won
Yes$64 @ 1.6¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$1.2k	30.1¢
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Politics	Yes	$500	52.4¢
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Politics	Yes	$500	19.8¢
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Politics	Yes	$500	12.6¢
Dana White's Contender Series: Ilias Bulaid vs. Erick Visconde (Featherweight, Main Card)	Sports	Ilias Bulaid	$284	52.8¢
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$225	51.5¢
Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$75	2.4¢

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
Yes$1.2k @ 30.1¢
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics
Yes$500 @ 52.4¢
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics
Yes$500 @ 19.8¢
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
Yes$500 @ 12.6¢
Dana White's Contender Series: Ilias Bulaid vs. Erick Visconde (Featherweight, Main Card)Sports
Ilias Bulaid$284 @ 52.8¢
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Politics
Yes$225 @ 51.5¢
Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
Yes$75 @ 2.4¢