0x815d…8648

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x815d651968edac636efd5055801f66b973bd8648
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+9.8pp

ROI

+51%

Win rate

26% @ 16.3¢

Brier

0.105

Resolved

Avg size

$79

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Crypto	38% (5/13)	-1%	13
Other	43% (3/7)	+101%	7
Politics	0% (0/2)	-100%	2

Crypto13 bets
Hit rate
38% (5/13)
ROI
-1%
Other7 bets
Hit rate
43% (3/7)
ROI
+101%
Politics2 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/2)
ROI
-100%

Track record

36% hit · 8/22

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in October?	No	$989	47.6¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin dip to $82,500 in October?	No	$109	5.1¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin dip to $82,500 in October?	No	$862	23.4¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 May 25-31?	Yes	$181	34.6¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?	No	$191	46.0¢	Won
Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$115	5.0¢	Lost
Will Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	$85	0.6¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin dip to $82,500 in September?	No	$376	61.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on May 16?	Yes	$19	5.9¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?	Yes	$59	5.5¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	Yes	$401	55.6¢	Lost
Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?	Yes	$563	11.3¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 May 11-17?	Yes	$27	11.5¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June?	Yes	$948	52.2¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in September?	No	$186	9.2¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 May 4-10?	Yes	$19	11.9¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in September?	No	$203	49.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 September 28-October 4?	No	$311	50.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?	Yes	$301	20.4¢	Lost
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	$15	0.1¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in August?	No	$94	30.1¢	Won
Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	$80k	$2.6k	48.8¢	Won

Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in October?Lost
No$989 @ 47.6¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $82,500 in October?Lost
No$109 @ 5.1¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $82,500 in October?Lost
No$862 @ 23.4¢
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 May 25-31?Lost
Yes$181 @ 34.6¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?Won
No$191 @ 46.0¢
Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?Lost
Yes$115 @ 5.0¢
Will Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Lost
Yes$85 @ 0.6¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $82,500 in September?Won
No$376 @ 61.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on May 16?Lost
Yes$19 @ 5.9¢
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?Lost
Yes$59 @ 5.5¢
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?Lost
Yes$401 @ 55.6¢
Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?Lost
Yes$563 @ 11.3¢
Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 May 11-17?Lost
Yes$27 @ 11.5¢
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June?Won
Yes$948 @ 52.2¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in September?Won
No$186 @ 9.2¢
Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 May 4-10?Lost
Yes$19 @ 11.9¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in September?Won
No$203 @ 49.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 September 28-October 4?Won
No$311 @ 50.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?Lost
Yes$301 @ 20.4¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Lost
No$15 @ 0.1¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in August?Won
No$94 @ 30.1¢
Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?Won
$80k$2.6k @ 48.8¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	Yes	$2.1k	36.5¢
Will Solana dip to $90 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$1.6k	37.3¢
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	Yes	$1.3k	29.6¢
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by September 30, 2027?	Crypto	Yes	$938	23.4¢
Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first?	Crypto	$140	$664	10.8¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$602	53.8¢
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2027?	Crypto	Yes	$579	16.2¢
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Politics	Yes	$357	14.9¢
Will Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Politics	Yes	$183	0.8¢
Will Ethereum hit $4k by June 30, 2027?	Crypto	Yes	$111	37.0¢
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	Yes	$90	4.7¢

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
Yes$2.1k @ 36.5¢
Will Solana dip to $90 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$1.6k @ 37.3¢
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
Yes$1.3k @ 29.6¢
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by September 30, 2027?Crypto
Yes$938 @ 23.4¢
Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first?Crypto
$140$664 @ 10.8¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$602 @ 53.8¢
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2027?Crypto
Yes$579 @ 16.2¢
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Politics
Yes$357 @ 14.9¢
Will Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Politics
Yes$183 @ 0.8¢
Will Ethereum hit $4k by June 30, 2027?Crypto
Yes$111 @ 37.0¢
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?Crypto
Yes$90 @ 4.7¢