← Smart money
0x80f9…3ab9
SharpEdge
+3.8pp
ROI
+17%
Win rate
42% @ 38.2¢
Brier
0.177
Resolved
3893
Avg size
$7
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 45% (1063/2373) | +17% | 2373 |
| Sports | 60% (21/35) | +91% | 35 |
| Politics | 21% (3/14) | -54% | 14 |
| Tech | 100% (2/2) | +63% | 2 |
| Geopolitics | 0% (0/2) | -100% | 2 |
| Culture | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
| Crypto | 100% (1/1) | +129% | 1 |
- Other2373 bets
- Hit rate
- 45% (1063/2373)
- ROI
- +17%
- Sports35 bets
- Hit rate
- 60% (21/35)
- ROI
- +91%
- Politics14 bets
- Hit rate
- 21% (3/14)
- ROI
- -54%
- Tech2 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (2/2)
- ROI
- +63%
- Geopolitics2 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/2)
- ROI
- -100%
- Culture1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
- Crypto1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +129%
Track record
45% hit · 1090/2428- LOS$10 @ 64.0¢
- LOS$1 @ 4.3¢
- Up$1 @ 56.0¢
- Up$1 @ 11.0¢
- RED Canids$10 @ 17.0¢
- Team Phantasma$5 @ 27.0¢
- Yes$27 @ 54.0¢
- Frites Esports Club$5 @ 14.0¢
- EDward Gaming$11 @ 56.5¢
- No$1 @ 12.0¢
- RED Academy$1 @ 27.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 40.0¢
- Movistar KOI$20 @ 62.0¢
- Reds vs. PiratesLostReds$5 @ 15.0¢
- Yes$7 @ 13.0¢
- KT Rolster$31 @ 28.1¢
- Yes$3 @ 34.0¢
- Yes$3 @ 65.0¢
- Suns vs. RocketsLostSuns$2 @ 27.0¢
- Yes$12 @ 13.3¢
- 76ers$1 @ 34.0¢
- Yes$3 @ 2.8¢
- Yes$5 @ 53.0¢
- Cloud9$1 @ 13.0¢
- Yes$11 @ 45.0¢
- Invictus Gaming$15 @ 19.0¢
- Yes$14 @ 34.0¢
- No$5 @ 54.4¢
- NRG$1 @ 26.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 10.0¢
- No$45 @ 25.7¢
- Team Vitality$15 @ 36.0¢
- No$10 @ 53.0¢
- BNK FearX Youth$10 @ 37.0¢
- BNK FEARX$2 @ 67.0¢
- JD Gaming$5 @ 61.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 19.6¢
- Yes$2 @ 10.0¢
- Yes$7 @ 13.0¢
- Yes$20 @ 51.6¢
- No$6 @ 28.0¢
- Yes$12 @ 88.0¢
- LOS$7 @ 50.0¢
- Will Trump say "Terrible" or "Horrible" 10+ times at Charlie Kirk Memorial Event on September 21?WonYes$28 @ 47.1¢
- Yes$2 @ 4.4¢
- Movistar KOI$1 @ 72.0¢
- Diamondbacks$2 @ 62.0¢
- Yes$0 @ 34.0¢
- Anyones Legend$1 @ 82.0¢
- Oh My God$10 @ 35.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Politics | Yes | $350 | 50.0¢ |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Politics | No | $350 | 50.0¢ |
| Will Trump say "Darth Vader" in September? | Politics | Yes | $38 | 12.7¢ |
| Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards? | Culture | No | $23 | 23.9¢ |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | Politics | Yes | $20 | 33.4¢ |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by September 30? | Politics | Yes | $20 | 9.4¢ |
| Trump renames AI by September 30? | Politics | Yes | $18 | 18.0¢ |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | Politics | No | $18 | 89.5¢ |
| Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026? | Tech | Yes | $14 | 28.0¢ |
| Will Shopify Rebellion make a roster change by December? | Sports | Yes | $10 | 51.0¢ |
| Will FURIA make a roster change by December? | Sports | Yes | $7 | 36.0¢ |
| Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Politics | Yes | $6 | 21.0¢ |
| Will Pragmata win Best Game Direction at the 2026 Game Awards? | Culture | Yes | $4 | 9.0¢ |
| Will Trump say "Peanut" or "Nut" this week? | Politics | Yes | $2 | 25.0¢ |
- Yes$350 @ 50.0¢
- No$350 @ 50.0¢
- Yes$38 @ 12.7¢
- No$23 @ 23.9¢
- Yes$20 @ 33.4¢
- Yes$20 @ 9.4¢
- Yes$18 @ 18.0¢
- No$18 @ 89.5¢
- Yes$14 @ 28.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 51.0¢
- Yes$7 @ 36.0¢
- Yes$6 @ 21.0¢
- Yes$4 @ 9.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 25.0¢