← Smart money
0x80ed…ce26
SharpEdge
+4.3pp
ROI
+8%
Win rate
45% @ 40.9¢
Brier
0.166
Resolved
3197
Avg size
$56
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 45% (409/911) | +20% | 911 |
| Sports | 57% (64/112) | +2% | 112 |
| Politics | 59% (66/112) | -40% | 112 |
| Tech | 27% (3/11) | +14% | 11 |
| Crypto | 44% (4/9) | +20% | 9 |
| Geopolitics | 60% (3/5) | +11% | 5 |
| Culture | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
- Other911 bets
- Hit rate
- 45% (409/911)
- ROI
- +20%
- Sports112 bets
- Hit rate
- 57% (64/112)
- ROI
- +2%
- Politics112 bets
- Hit rate
- 59% (66/112)
- ROI
- -40%
- Tech11 bets
- Hit rate
- 27% (3/11)
- ROI
- +14%
- Crypto9 bets
- Hit rate
- 44% (4/9)
- ROI
- +20%
- Geopolitics5 bets
- Hit rate
- 60% (3/5)
- ROI
- +11%
- Culture1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
47% hit · 549/1161- No$19 @ 38.0¢
- No$17 @ 57.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 98.0¢
- Yes$14 @ 96.0¢
- No$12 @ 57.0¢
- Yes$65 @ 65.0¢
- No$34 @ 69.0¢
- Yes$149 @ 95.8¢
- No$1 @ 41.0¢
- No$126 @ 98.9¢
- No$9 @ 89.0¢
- No$5 @ 83.0¢
- No$33 @ 81.6¢
- Nell Ariano$73 @ 73.0¢
- Ozzy Martin$17 @ 43.0¢
- No$0 @ 2.0¢
- Yes$0 @ 12.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 62.0¢
- Yes$73 @ 64.8¢
- Yes$7 @ 93.0¢
- High Point Panthers$1.4k @ 17.0¢
- Wisconsin Badgers$1.3k @ 82.0¢
- Bernardo Sopaj$22 @ 54.0¢
- No$55 @ 80.6¢
- No$83 @ 82.3¢
- No$2 @ 3.0¢
- No$3 @ 3.0¢
- Yes$0 @ 35.0¢
- Yes$420 @ 42.0¢
- Yes$4 @ 4.0¢
- Yes$3 @ 3.0¢
- Oklahoma Sooners$48 @ 48.0¢
- Rodriguez$59 @ 78.4¢
- Mansur Abdul-Malik$40 @ 44.2¢
- Yes$13 @ 64.0¢
- Michigan Wolverines$1.6k @ 77.0¢
- Yes$8 @ 80.0¢
- Yes$11 @ 54.0¢
- No$0 @ 6.0¢
- Will Trump say "Pete" or "Hegseth" at National Defense Authorization Act signing on December 18?LostYes$1 @ 10.0¢
- Medina$3 @ 13.0¢
- Michigan Wolverines$760 @ 76.0¢
- Yes$54 @ 54.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 8.9¢
- Ramazan Temirov$26 @ 51.0¢
- Yes$21 @ 28.5¢
- Yes$408 @ 55.7¢
- No$5 @ 71.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 36.0¢
- No$17 @ 55.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
- Yes$186 @ 93.1¢
- No$174 @ 87.0¢
- No$99 @ 99.0¢
- Matheus Camilo$62 @ 62.0¢
- Yes$52 @ 65.0¢
- No$50 @ 99.0¢
- No$49 @ 95.0¢
- Andre Fili$46 @ 57.5¢
- Ernesta Kareckaite$34 @ 48.0¢
- Yes$28 @ 42.4¢
- Alice Pereira$28 @ 56.3¢
- No$25 @ 50.0¢
- Will Gwendolyn Beck be confirmed to be the sender of the “I beat Bush” email to Epstein in 2026?PoliticsYes$24 @ 44.4¢
- Otari Tanzilovi$18 @ 35.0¢
- No$16 @ 47.6¢
- Francisco Prado$15 @ 49.0¢
- No$14 @ 58.0¢
- No$13 @ 84.6¢
- No$10 @ 50.0¢
- Yes$6 @ 57.0¢
- No$4 @ 88.0¢
- No$4 @ 12.0¢
- No$3 @ 62.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 92.0¢