0x7fd3…e662

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x7fd3fe6580b5b944e32701fdbba0c0ef4991e662
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+1.7pp

ROI

+15%

Win rate

14% @ 12.0¢

Brier

0.094

Resolved

8060

Avg size

$33

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	18% (114/629)	-2%	629
Politics	56% (19/34)	+178%	34
Tech	17% (3/18)	-85%	18
Crypto	7% (1/14)	-65%	14
Geopolitics	40% (2/5)	+151%	5
Culture	0% (0/3)	-100%	3
Economy	100% (1/1)	+598%	1

Other629 bets
Hit rate
18% (114/629)
ROI
-2%
Politics34 bets
Hit rate
56% (19/34)
ROI
+178%
Tech18 bets
Hit rate
17% (3/18)
ROI
-85%
Crypto14 bets
Hit rate
7% (1/14)
ROI
-65%
Geopolitics5 bets
Hit rate
40% (2/5)
ROI
+151%
Culture3 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/3)
ROI
-100%
Economy1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+598%

Track record

20% hit · 140/704

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 30, 2026?	No	$1.4k	28.0¢	Lost
Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by December 31, 2026?	No	$1.1k	22.0¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on April 28?	Yes	$100	12.1¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on May 15?	Yes	$384	10.8¢	Lost
US x China tariff agreement by May 31?	No	$228	57.0¢	Won
Will Trump praise Joe Biden by May 31, 2026?	No	$3	60.0¢	Won
Will a new country buy Bitcoin in 2025?	No	$183	22.7¢	Lost
Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 11?	No	$661	32.9¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 12?	No	$253	2.3¢	Lost
Will Trump sell 101-1k Gold Cards in 2025?	Yes	$8	3.6¢	Lost
Joe Biden book deal in 2025?	No	$160	16.0¢	Lost
Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 11, 3:59 AM ET?	No	$546	9.2¢	Lost
Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2025?	Yes	$178	15.7¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 1?	No	$262	2.7¢	Lost
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	No	$390	19.5¢	Lost
Yoon arrested before September?	No	$2.1k	20.7¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $104,000 on November 5?	Yes	$246	10.2¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $105K and $106K on June 18 at 5 PM ET?	Yes	$994	22.5¢	Lost
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?	Yes	$8	0.2¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 23?	No	$359	4.2¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on November 24?	No	$144	4.4¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on February 3?	Yes	$369	9.2¢	Lost
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?	No	$315	6.7¢	Lost
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?	Yes	$633	14.7¢	Won
Clavicular unbanned from Kick by January 31?	No	$160	20.0¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 29?	No	$120	6.0¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 21?	No	$100	10.0¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on April 9?	No	$122	3.0¢	Lost
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?	No	$993	89.0¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $118K and $120K on July 30?	Yes	$230	23.0¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $108K on May 25 at 5 PM ET?	Yes	$0	12.0¢	Won
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3000 and $3100 on July 18?	Yes	$90	18.0¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on April 2?	No	$258	2.6¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 1?	No	$70	0.7¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $125K in August?	Yes	$115	22.0¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $104,000 on October 19?	No	$100	1.0¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on November 24?	Yes	$50	5.0¢	Lost
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?	No	$2.2k	52.0¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $109K and $110K on June 12 at 5 PM ET?	Yes	$410	13.7¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $105K and $106K on June 16 at 5 PM ET?	Yes	$1.1k	17.1¢	Lost
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2400 and $2500 on July 9?	Yes	$147	5.9¢	Lost
Will Donald Trump visit Ukraine in 2025?	Yes	$1	7.0¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 13?	Yes	$181	2.5¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $116K and $118K on August 22?	Yes	$474	12.6¢	Won
Iran strike on Qatar today?	Yes	$506	89.0¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 9?	Yes	$220	11.0¢	Lost
Bitcoin above $112K on August 27?	Yes	$286	15.9¢	Lost
Another Israel military action on Yemen in May?	No	$16	5.3¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on February 12?	No	$4	1.8¢	Lost
Bitcoin above $118K on August 25?	Yes	$600	15.0¢	Lost

Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 30, 2026?Lost
No$1.4k @ 28.0¢
Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by December 31, 2026?Lost
No$1.1k @ 22.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on April 28?Lost
Yes$100 @ 12.1¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on May 15?Lost
Yes$384 @ 10.8¢
US x China tariff agreement by May 31?Won
No$228 @ 57.0¢
Will Trump praise Joe Biden by May 31, 2026?Won
No$3 @ 60.0¢
Will a new country buy Bitcoin in 2025?Lost
No$183 @ 22.7¢
Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 11?Lost
No$661 @ 32.9¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 12?Lost
No$253 @ 2.3¢
Will Trump sell 101-1k Gold Cards in 2025?Lost
Yes$8 @ 3.6¢
Joe Biden book deal in 2025?Lost
No$160 @ 16.0¢
Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 11, 3:59 AM ET?Lost
No$546 @ 9.2¢
Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2025?Lost
Yes$178 @ 15.7¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 1?Lost
No$262 @ 2.7¢
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?Lost
No$390 @ 19.5¢
Yoon arrested before September?Lost
No$2.1k @ 20.7¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $104,000 on November 5?Lost
Yes$246 @ 10.2¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $105K and $106K on June 18 at 5 PM ET?Lost
Yes$994 @ 22.5¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?Lost
Yes$8 @ 0.2¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 23?Lost
No$359 @ 4.2¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on November 24?Lost
No$144 @ 4.4¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on February 3?Lost
Yes$369 @ 9.2¢
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?Lost
No$315 @ 6.7¢
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?Won
Yes$633 @ 14.7¢
Clavicular unbanned from Kick by January 31?Lost
No$160 @ 20.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 29?Won
No$120 @ 6.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 21?Lost
No$100 @ 10.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on April 9?Lost
No$122 @ 3.0¢
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?Won
No$993 @ 89.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $118K and $120K on July 30?Lost
Yes$230 @ 23.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $108K on May 25 at 5 PM ET?Won
Yes$0 @ 12.0¢
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3000 and $3100 on July 18?Lost
Yes$90 @ 18.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on April 2?Lost
No$258 @ 2.6¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 1?Lost
No$70 @ 0.7¢
Will Bitcoin reach $125K in August?Lost
Yes$115 @ 22.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $104,000 on October 19?Lost
No$100 @ 1.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on November 24?Lost
Yes$50 @ 5.0¢
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?Won
No$2.2k @ 52.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $109K and $110K on June 12 at 5 PM ET?Lost
Yes$410 @ 13.7¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $105K and $106K on June 16 at 5 PM ET?Lost
Yes$1.1k @ 17.1¢
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2400 and $2500 on July 9?Lost
Yes$147 @ 5.9¢
Will Donald Trump visit Ukraine in 2025?Lost
Yes$1 @ 7.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 13?Lost
Yes$181 @ 2.5¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $116K and $118K on August 22?Won
Yes$474 @ 12.6¢
Iran strike on Qatar today?Won
Yes$506 @ 89.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 9?Lost
Yes$220 @ 11.0¢
Bitcoin above $112K on August 27?Lost
Yes$286 @ 15.9¢
Another Israel military action on Yemen in May?Lost
No$16 @ 5.3¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on February 12?Lost
No$4 @ 1.8¢
Bitcoin above $118K on August 25?Lost
Yes$600 @ 15.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	—	No	$3.8k	25.9¢
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026?	—	No	$2.6k	18.4¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $114K on August 22?	—	Yes	$2.4k	86.4¢
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?	Tech	No	$2.4k	20.1¢
Yoon arrested before September?	—	No	$2.1k	20.7¢
Yoon in jail before August?	—	No	$2.0k	25.7¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?	Politics	No	$1.9k	62.3¢
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$1.6k	22.6¢
Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 30, 2026?	Tech	No	$1.4k	28.0¢
Will SpaceX acquire Cursor by December 31, 2026?	Tech	No	$1.3k	11.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $115K in July?	—	No	$1.3k	41.6¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Politics	No	$1.2k	19.5¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in April?	—	No	$1.1k	13.2¢
Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by December 31, 2026?	Tech	No	$1.1k	22.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$1.0k	34.3¢
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?	—	Yes	$1.0k	50.4¢
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?	Politics	No	$933	13.3¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $114,000 and $116,000 on September 25?	—	Yes	$925	13.2¢
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 30, 2026?	—	No	$896	22.4¢
Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?	—	No	$883	14.7¢
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	—	No	$879	17.6¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $114,000 on September 16?	—	No	$879	9.9¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $106,000 on November 6?	—	Yes	$835	13.9¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 12?	—	No	$769	11.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 16?	—	No	$752	20.4¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $114,000 on October 15?	—	Yes	$741	14.2¢
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	—	No	$740	5.3¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 11?	—	No	$724	16.1¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $118,000 on September 14?	—	Yes	$713	4.8¢
Will Cursor be acquired before 2027?	Tech	No	$695	11.6¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?—
No$3.8k @ 25.9¢
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026?—
No$2.6k @ 18.4¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $114K on August 22?—
Yes$2.4k @ 86.4¢
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?Tech
No$2.4k @ 20.1¢
Yoon arrested before September?—
No$2.1k @ 20.7¢
Yoon in jail before August?—
No$2.0k @ 25.7¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?Politics
No$1.9k @ 62.3¢
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$1.6k @ 22.6¢
Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 30, 2026?Tech
No$1.4k @ 28.0¢
Will SpaceX acquire Cursor by December 31, 2026?Tech
No$1.3k @ 11.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $115K in July?—
No$1.3k @ 41.6¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?Politics
No$1.2k @ 19.5¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in April?—
No$1.1k @ 13.2¢
Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by December 31, 2026?Tech
No$1.1k @ 22.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$1.0k @ 34.3¢
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?—
Yes$1.0k @ 50.4¢
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?Politics
No$933 @ 13.3¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $114,000 and $116,000 on September 25?—
Yes$925 @ 13.2¢
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 30, 2026?—
No$896 @ 22.4¢
Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?—
No$883 @ 14.7¢
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?—
No$879 @ 17.6¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $114,000 on September 16?—
No$879 @ 9.9¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $106,000 on November 6?—
Yes$835 @ 13.9¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 12?—
No$769 @ 11.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 16?—
No$752 @ 20.4¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $114,000 on October 15?—
Yes$741 @ 14.2¢
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?—
No$740 @ 5.3¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 11?—
No$724 @ 16.1¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $118,000 on September 14?—
Yes$713 @ 4.8¢
Will Cursor be acquired before 2027?Tech
No$695 @ 11.6¢