0x7fd3…aedd

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x7fd342193b54e52983b519b1bde57d65a794aedd
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+8.1pp

ROI

+12%

Win rate

53% @ 45.3¢

Brier

0.160

Resolved

1514

Avg size

$240

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	55% (112/205)	+13%	205
Sports	65% (11/17)	-36%	17
Politics	100% (1/1)	+144%	1
Crypto	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other205 bets
Hit rate
55% (112/205)
ROI
+13%
Sports17 bets
Hit rate
65% (11/17)
ROI
-36%
Politics1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+144%
Crypto1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

55% hit · 124/224

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Germany vs. Greece: Germany O/U 1.5	Over	$72	36.0¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	$20	50.0¢	Won
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	$10	48.0¢	Lost
Will another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?	Yes	$175	43.8¢	Won
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?	No	$2	84.0¢	Lost
Will Kai and Speed win Fortnite in 100+ tries?	No	$27	17.2¢	Lost
Will Kai and Speed win Fortnite in 100+ tries?	Yes	$618	84.2¢	Won
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?	Yes	$74	37.0¢	Won
Will a Democrat win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?	Yes	$2.0k	45.0¢	Lost
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5	Over	$62	62.0¢	Lost
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	$44	44.0¢	Lost
Will France win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	$139	59.7¢	Won
Nasrallah remains Hezbollah leader through Oct 31?	No	$1	77.0¢	Won
The Polymarket Open: Will Big John cover -3.5 spread?	Yes	$28	52.0¢	Won
Canada vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 1.5	Over	$37	37.0¢	Won
Will Joe pardon Hunter Biden?	Yes	$707	27.0¢	Won
Will Obama endorse Kamala by tomorrow?	No	$98	59.0¢	Lost
Will England win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	$207	51.7¢	Lost
ABC Whistleblower report released by Sunday?	No	$24	81.0¢	Won
ABC Whistleblower report released by Sunday?	Yes	$1	1.4¢	Lost
Spread: France (-1.5)	France	$116	58.0¢	Lost
Blast Open Rotterdam 2026: Will a player break something during a game?	No	$34	17.0¢	Won
Will Speed break the 24h backflip world record?	No	$1.1k	59.0¢	Won
Will Speed break the 24h backflip world record?	Yes	$18	36.0¢	Lost
KSI's "Thick Of It" debuts on Billboard hot 100?	Yes	$5	15.0¢	Won
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?	No	$18	40.0¢	Won
Trump flips a 2020 Biden state?	Yes	$780	78.0¢	Won
Will Trump save TikTok in first week?	Yes	$668	83.9¢	Won
Will a Republican win the popular vote and the Presidency?	Yes	$100	27.0¢	Won
Will France win on 2026-07-14?	Yes	$84	42.0¢	Lost
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?	Yes	$50	30.0¢	Lost
Which party wins 2024 US Presidential Election?	Democratic	$306	47.0¢	Lost
Will Ilhan Omar win the MN-5 Democratic House Primary?	No	$5	5.0¢	Lost
Will Imane Khelif (ALG) win Gold in Women’s 66kg Boxing at the 2024 Summer Olympics?	No	$60	55.0¢	Lost
Will Imane Khelif (ALG) win Gold in Women’s 66kg Boxing at the 2024 Summer Olympics?	Yes	$14	89.0¢	Won
Will Trump say "Elon Musk" at debate?	No	$1.3k	73.0¢	Won
Will Pete Hegseth be Trump's Defense Secretary?	Yes	$42	20.0¢	Won
World Chess Championship 2024 Winner	Ding	$40	40.0¢	Lost
World Chess Championship 2024 Winner	Gukesh	$2.0k	62.2¢	Won
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on July 31?	Yes	$8	2.3¢	Lost
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	Yes	$250	60.2¢	Won
Iran strike on Israel before November?	Yes	$118	78.7¢	Won
Israel military response against Iran in October?	No	$17	17.4¢	Lost
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5	Over	$53	53.0¢	Won
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?	Yes	$15	41.0¢	Won
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2024 World Blitz Championship?	No	$51	15.2¢	Won
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2024 World Blitz Championship?	Yes	$587	85.4¢	Lost
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before July?	No	$250	88.0¢	Won
Israel military response against Iran by Friday?	Yes	$20	38.0¢	Won
Will Anthony Joshua win his boxing match against Jake Paul?	Yes	$58	87.0¢	Won

Germany vs. Greece: Germany O/U 1.5Lost
Over$72 @ 36.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 3:40PM-3:45PM ETWon
Up$20 @ 50.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 3:00PM-3:05PM ETLost
Up$10 @ 48.0¢
Will another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?Won
Yes$175 @ 43.8¢
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?Lost
No$2 @ 84.0¢
Will Kai and Speed win Fortnite in 100+ tries?Lost
No$27 @ 17.2¢
Will Kai and Speed win Fortnite in 100+ tries?Won
Yes$618 @ 84.2¢
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?Won
Yes$74 @ 37.0¢
Will a Democrat win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?Lost
Yes$2.0k @ 45.0¢
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5Lost
Over$62 @ 62.0¢
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?Lost
Yes$44 @ 44.0¢
Will France win on 2026-06-26?Won
Yes$139 @ 59.7¢
Nasrallah remains Hezbollah leader through Oct 31?Won
No$1 @ 77.0¢
The Polymarket Open: Will Big John cover -3.5 spread?Won
Yes$28 @ 52.0¢
Canada vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 1.5Won
Over$37 @ 37.0¢
Will Joe pardon Hunter Biden?Won
Yes$707 @ 27.0¢
Will Obama endorse Kamala by tomorrow? Lost
No$98 @ 59.0¢
Will England win on 2026-07-11?Lost
Yes$207 @ 51.7¢
ABC Whistleblower report released by Sunday?Won
No$24 @ 81.0¢
ABC Whistleblower report released by Sunday?Lost
Yes$1 @ 1.4¢
Spread: France (-1.5)Lost
France$116 @ 58.0¢
Blast Open Rotterdam 2026: Will a player break something during a game? Won
No$34 @ 17.0¢
Will Speed break the 24h backflip world record? Won
No$1.1k @ 59.0¢
Will Speed break the 24h backflip world record? Lost
Yes$18 @ 36.0¢
KSI's "Thick Of It" debuts on Billboard hot 100?Won
Yes$5 @ 15.0¢
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?Won
No$18 @ 40.0¢
Trump flips a 2020 Biden state?Won
Yes$780 @ 78.0¢
Will Trump save TikTok in first week?Won
Yes$668 @ 83.9¢
Will a Republican win the popular vote and the Presidency? Won
Yes$100 @ 27.0¢
Will France win on 2026-07-14?Lost
Yes$84 @ 42.0¢
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?Lost
Yes$50 @ 30.0¢
Which party wins 2024 US Presidential Election?Lost
Democratic$306 @ 47.0¢
Will Ilhan Omar win the MN-5 Democratic House Primary?Lost
No$5 @ 5.0¢
Will Imane Khelif (ALG) win Gold in Women’s 66kg Boxing at the 2024 Summer Olympics?Lost
No$60 @ 55.0¢
Will Imane Khelif (ALG) win Gold in Women’s 66kg Boxing at the 2024 Summer Olympics?Won
Yes$14 @ 89.0¢
Will Trump say "Elon Musk" at debate?Won
No$1.3k @ 73.0¢
Will Pete Hegseth be Trump's Defense Secretary?Won
Yes$42 @ 20.0¢
World Chess Championship 2024 WinnerLost
Ding$40 @ 40.0¢
World Chess Championship 2024 WinnerWon
Gukesh$2.0k @ 62.2¢
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on July 31?Lost
Yes$8 @ 2.3¢
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?Won
Yes$250 @ 60.2¢
Iran strike on Israel before November?Won
Yes$118 @ 78.7¢
Israel military response against Iran in October?Lost
No$17 @ 17.4¢
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5Won
Over$53 @ 53.0¢
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?Won
Yes$15 @ 41.0¢
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2024 World Blitz Championship?Won
No$51 @ 15.2¢
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2024 World Blitz Championship?Lost
Yes$587 @ 85.4¢
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before July?Won
No$250 @ 88.0¢
Israel military response against Iran by Friday?Won
Yes$20 @ 38.0¢
Will Anthony Joshua win his boxing match against Jake Paul?Won
Yes$58 @ 87.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?	Tech	Yes	$289	21.1¢
Will OpenAI's public ticker be $OAI?	Tech	Yes	$112	56.0¢
CSD Mixco vs. Antigua GFC: O/U 3.5	Sports	Over	$86	43.0¢
Columbus Crew vs. Inter Miami CF: Inter Miami CF O/U 1.5	Sports	Over	$47	51.0¢
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?	Tech	No	$3	61.0¢

Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?Tech
Yes$289 @ 21.1¢
Will OpenAI's public ticker be $OAI?Tech
Yes$112 @ 56.0¢
CSD Mixco vs. Antigua GFC: O/U 3.5Sports
Over$86 @ 43.0¢
Columbus Crew vs. Inter Miami CF: Inter Miami CF O/U 1.5Sports
Over$47 @ 51.0¢
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Tech
No$3 @ 61.0¢