0x7fa6…16f9

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x7fa6c6474e20e9f6ce388847be32611667e216f9
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+16.3pp

ROI

+29%

Win rate

51% @ 34.4¢

Brier

0.201

Resolved

3053

Avg size

$23

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	57% (214/376)	+31%	376
Sports	31% (4/13)	-42%	13
Culture	40% (4/10)	-57%	10
Politics	100% (1/1)	+18%	1

Other376 bets
Hit rate
57% (214/376)
ROI
+31%
Sports13 bets
Hit rate
31% (4/13)
ROI
-42%
Culture10 bets
Hit rate
40% (4/10)
ROI
-57%
Politics1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+18%

Track record

56% hit · 223/400

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will "GOAT" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 23m?	Yes	$11	3.3¢	Lost
Will "Shelter" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 3m and 3.5m?	Yes	$11	7.8¢	Lost
Will "Undertone" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 7m and 8m?	Yes	$9	6.9¢	Lost
Will "GOAT" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 23m and 26m?	Yes	$105	19.8¢	Lost
Will 'Beetlejuice Beetlejuice' gross less than $75m opening weekend?	No	$351	55.3¢	Won
Will "Him" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 19m?	Yes	$22	22.0¢	Won
Spurs vs. Pelicans: O/U 233.5	Under	$20	50.0¢	Lost
Texans vs. Chiefs	Texans	$100	18.0¢	Lost
Will "I Can Only Imagine 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 16m?	Yes	$9	2.7¢	Lost
Will 'Snow White' gross more than 49m on opening weekend?	Yes	$8	9.0¢	Lost
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 180m and 190m?	Yes	$285	11.0¢	Lost
Spurs vs. Knicks	Spurs	$66	66.0¢	Won
Will "Tron: Ares" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 45m?	Yes	$5	28.0¢	Won
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5	Over	$30	59.0¢	Lost
Will "You, Me & Tuscany" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 11m?	No	$154	62.5¢	Won
Will "Return to Silent Hill" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 1m?	No	$17	89.0¢	Won
Will 'Ghostbusters: Frozen Empire' gross between $45m-50m opening weekend?	Yes	$106	45.0¢	Won
76ers vs. Wizards	76ers	$11	55.0¢	Won
Super Bowl LIX Winner	Eagles	$100	68.0¢	Won
Heat vs. Magic	Magic	$9	88.0¢	Won
Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)	Los Angeles Dodgers	$39	77.0¢	Lost
Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 68m?	Yes	$1.0k	28.5¢	Won
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?	No	$135	67.5¢	Lost
Will "Black Phone 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 28m?	Yes	$42	46.5¢	Won
Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be greater than 157m?	No	$189	29.9¢	Lost
Will 'Moana 2' gross more than $180m on 5-day opening weekend?	No	$216	61.6¢	Lost
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?	Yes	$78	31.2¢	Won
Pacers vs. Thunder	Thunder	$12	79.0¢	Won
Spurs vs. Pelicans	Pelicans	$2	44.0¢	Lost
Will Venezuela win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?	Yes	$58	58.0¢	Won
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Lakers vs. Rockets	Rockets	$23	83.0¢	Lost
Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 92m?	Yes	$335	29.0¢	Lost
Will Jake Paul knockout Mike Tyson?	No	$22	55.0¢	Won
Will Jake Paul knockout Mike Tyson?	Yes	$20	41.0¢	Lost
Will "You, Me & Tuscany" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 10m?	Yes	$11	14.3¢	Lost
Spread: Grizzlies (-2.5)	Grizzlies	$20	52.0¢	Lost
Spread: Ravens (-6.5)	Ravens	$57	57.0¢	Won
Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 70m and 75m?	Yes	$8	6.0¢	Lost
Spread: Grizzlies (-7.5)	Grizzlies	$10	52.0¢	Lost
Will Fartcoin reach $3.00 before June?	Yes	$32	2.2¢	Lost
Will 'Inside Out 2' gross most in 2024?	Yes	$763	87.0¢	Won
Will 'Smile 2' gross more than $27m opening weekend?	Yes	$273	15.2¢	Lost
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advance	Netherlands	$12	59.0¢	Lost
Will Fartcoin reach $1.80 before June?	No	$3	44.0¢	Won
Will Fartcoin reach $1.80 before June?	Yes	$22	24.8¢	Lost
Will "Good Fortune" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?	Yes	$4	20.0¢	Won
Will "28 Years Later: Bone Temple" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 18.5m and 21m?	No	$46	72.5¢	Won
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander score the most total points in the NBA Finals?	No	$19	1.9¢	Lost
Seahawks vs. Patriots	Seahawks	$14	69.0¢	Won
Brewers vs. Dodgers	Dodgers	$33	66.2¢	Won

Will "GOAT" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 23m?Lost
Yes$11 @ 3.3¢
Will "Shelter" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 3m and 3.5m?Lost
Yes$11 @ 7.8¢
Will "Undertone" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 7m and 8m?Lost
Yes$9 @ 6.9¢
Will "GOAT" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 23m and 26m?Lost
Yes$105 @ 19.8¢
Will 'Beetlejuice Beetlejuice' gross less than $75m opening weekend?Won
No$351 @ 55.3¢
Will "Him" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 19m?Won
Yes$22 @ 22.0¢
Spurs vs. Pelicans: O/U 233.5Lost
Under$20 @ 50.0¢
Texans vs. ChiefsLost
Texans$100 @ 18.0¢
Will "I Can Only Imagine 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 16m?Lost
Yes$9 @ 2.7¢
Will 'Snow White' gross more than 49m on opening weekend?Lost
Yes$8 @ 9.0¢
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 180m and 190m?Lost
Yes$285 @ 11.0¢
Spurs vs. KnicksWon
Spurs$66 @ 66.0¢
Will "Tron: Ares" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 45m?Won
Yes$5 @ 28.0¢
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5Lost
Over$30 @ 59.0¢
Will "You, Me & Tuscany" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 11m?Won
No$154 @ 62.5¢
Will "Return to Silent Hill" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 1m?Won
No$17 @ 89.0¢
Will 'Ghostbusters: Frozen Empire' gross between $45m-50m opening weekend? Won
Yes$106 @ 45.0¢
76ers vs. WizardsWon
76ers$11 @ 55.0¢
Super Bowl LIX WinnerWon
Eagles$100 @ 68.0¢
Heat vs. MagicWon
Magic$9 @ 88.0¢
Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)Lost
Los Angeles Dodgers$39 @ 77.0¢
Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 68m?Won
Yes$1.0k @ 28.5¢
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?Lost
No$135 @ 67.5¢
Will "Black Phone 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 28m?Won
Yes$42 @ 46.5¢
Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be greater than 157m?Lost
No$189 @ 29.9¢
Will 'Moana 2' gross more than $180m on 5-day opening weekend?Lost
No$216 @ 61.6¢
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?Won
Yes$78 @ 31.2¢
Pacers vs. ThunderWon
Thunder$12 @ 79.0¢
Spurs vs. PelicansLost
Pelicans$2 @ 44.0¢
Will Venezuela win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?Won
Yes$58 @ 58.0¢
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Lakers vs. Rockets Lost
Rockets$23 @ 83.0¢
Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 92m?Lost
Yes$335 @ 29.0¢
Will Jake Paul knockout Mike Tyson?Won
No$22 @ 55.0¢
Will Jake Paul knockout Mike Tyson?Lost
Yes$20 @ 41.0¢
Will "You, Me & Tuscany" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 10m?Lost
Yes$11 @ 14.3¢
Spread: Grizzlies (-2.5)Lost
Grizzlies$20 @ 52.0¢
Spread: Ravens (-6.5)Won
Ravens$57 @ 57.0¢
Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 70m and 75m?Lost
Yes$8 @ 6.0¢
Spread: Grizzlies (-7.5)Lost
Grizzlies$10 @ 52.0¢
Will Fartcoin reach $3.00 before June?Lost
Yes$32 @ 2.2¢
Will 'Inside Out 2' gross most in 2024?Won
Yes$763 @ 87.0¢
Will 'Smile 2' gross more than $27m opening weekend?Lost
Yes$273 @ 15.2¢
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to AdvanceLost
Netherlands$12 @ 59.0¢
Will Fartcoin reach $1.80 before June?Won
No$3 @ 44.0¢
Will Fartcoin reach $1.80 before June?Lost
Yes$22 @ 24.8¢
Will "Good Fortune" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?Won
Yes$4 @ 20.0¢
Will "28 Years Later: Bone Temple" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 18.5m and 21m?Won
No$46 @ 72.5¢
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander score the most total points in the NBA Finals?Lost
No$19 @ 1.9¢
Seahawks vs. PatriotsWon
Seahawks$14 @ 69.0¢
Brewers vs. DodgersWon
Dodgers$33 @ 66.2¢

Recent trades

live from Polymarket · click a column to sort

Loading recent trades…

Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will "Forgotten Island" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 25m?	Culture	No	$684	93.3¢
Will "Heart of the Beast" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 14m?	Culture	No	$293	87.1¢
Will "Heart of the Beast" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 14m and 17m?	Culture	No	$151	66.8¢
Will "Heart of the Beast" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 23m?	Culture	Yes	$30	21.2¢
Will "Heart of the Beast" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 23m and 26m?	Culture	Yes	$19	6.9¢
NBA: Bronny James to Play for the Lakers in 2026-27?	Sports	No	$11	10.4¢
Will "Forgotten Island" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 13m and 16m?	Culture	Yes	$7	22.4¢
Will "Forgotten Island" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 19m?	Culture	Yes	$6	26.0¢
Will "Heart of the Beast" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 26m?	Culture	Yes	$3	4.4¢

Will "Forgotten Island" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 25m?Culture
No$684 @ 93.3¢
Will "Heart of the Beast" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 14m?Culture
No$293 @ 87.1¢
Will "Heart of the Beast" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 14m and 17m?Culture
No$151 @ 66.8¢
Will "Heart of the Beast" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 23m?Culture
Yes$30 @ 21.2¢
Will "Heart of the Beast" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 23m and 26m?Culture
Yes$19 @ 6.9¢
NBA: Bronny James to Play for the Lakers in 2026-27?Sports
No$11 @ 10.4¢
Will "Forgotten Island" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 13m and 16m?Culture
Yes$7 @ 22.4¢
Will "Forgotten Island" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 19m?Culture
Yes$6 @ 26.0¢
Will "Heart of the Beast" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 26m?Culture
Yes$3 @ 4.4¢