0x7f27…7a85

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x7f279444b05b23c0772a2e0747fbe2a7eacc7a85
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

ProfitableSniper

Edge

+77.8pp

ROI

+1040%

Win rate

82% @ 3.8¢

Brier

0.796

Resolved

158

Avg size

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	31% (34/111)	+90%	111
Politics	22% (2/9)	+2128%	9
Sports	0% (0/3)	-100%	3
Geopolitics	0% (0/2)	-100%	2

Other111 bets
Hit rate
31% (34/111)
ROI
+90%
Politics9 bets
Hit rate
22% (2/9)
ROI
+2128%
Sports3 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/3)
ROI
-100%
Geopolitics2 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/2)
ROI
-100%

Track record

29% hit · 36/125

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$1	0.1¢	Lost
Alien abduction at Brazil vs Scotland game in Miami?	Yes	$1	0.1¢	Lost
Will Iran win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$1	0.1¢	Lost
Bitcoin above 64,400 on June 22, 2AM ET?	Yes	$1	15.0¢	Lost
Will Claire Valdez be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?	No	$36	15.0¢	Lost
Will Egypt win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$1	0.1¢	Lost
Will Antonio Reynoso be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?	Yes	$2	19.0¢	Lost
US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	No	$4	0.3¢	Won
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,550 in May?	No	$4	59.0¢	Lost
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,550 in May?	Yes	$24	44.0¢	Won
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	$149	26.4¢	Lost
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	$126	72.2¢	Won
Will a new MAI model be released by April 30, 2026?	No	$1	0.1¢	Lost
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	$1	0.1¢	Lost
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	$1	0.1¢	Lost
Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026?	No	$1	0.1¢	Lost
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	No	$1	0.1¢	Lost
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	No	$1	0.1¢	Lost
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,500 in May?	No	$37	74.0¢	Lost
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,500 in May?	Yes	$2	47.0¢	Won
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	No	$4	0.1¢	Lost
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $86 in May?	No	$26	52.0¢	Lost
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $86 in May?	Yes	$50	85.0¢	Won
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?	No	$107	40.3¢	Won
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?	Yes	$89	59.0¢	Lost
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?	No	$1	0.1¢	Lost
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 24, 2026?	Yes	$3	0.2¢	Lost
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	$1	0.1¢	Lost
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	No	$1	0.1¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in April?	Yes	$1	4.0¢	Lost
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?	Yes	$61	0.1¢	Lost
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	No	$1	0.2¢	Lost
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?	No	$1	0.1¢	Lost
Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?	No	$1	0.2¢	Lost
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	Yes	$1	0.1¢	Lost
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?	No	$6	0.1¢	Lost
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?	Yes	$6	0.4¢	Lost
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	Yes	$1	0.1¢	Lost
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?	Yes	$5	0.1¢	Lost
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	$1	0.1¢	Lost
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	$1	0.1¢	Lost
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	No	$10	0.1¢	Lost
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?	Yes	$1	0.3¢	Lost
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	$5	0.1¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	Yes	$1	1.4¢	Lost
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	$1	14.0¢	Lost
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	$3	8.7¢	Lost
Bruins vs. Sabres	Sabres	$2	60.0¢	Lost
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winner	GamerLegion	$13	0.1¢	Lost
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 230.5	Under	$2	46.0¢	Lost

Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
No$1 @ 0.1¢
Alien abduction at Brazil vs Scotland game in Miami?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Will Iran win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Bitcoin above 64,400 on June 22, 2AM ET?Lost
Yes$1 @ 15.0¢
Will Claire Valdez be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?Lost
No$36 @ 15.0¢
Will Egypt win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Will Antonio Reynoso be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?Lost
Yes$2 @ 19.0¢
US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?Won
No$4 @ 0.3¢
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,550 in May?Lost
No$4 @ 59.0¢
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,550 in May?Won
Yes$24 @ 44.0¢
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?Lost
No$149 @ 26.4¢
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?Won
Yes$126 @ 72.2¢
Will a new MAI model be released by April 30, 2026?Lost
No$1 @ 0.1¢
Will Trump visit China by May 15?Lost
No$1 @ 0.1¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026?Lost
No$1 @ 0.1¢
Will Trump visit China by June 30?Lost
No$1 @ 0.1¢
Will Trump visit China by May 31?Lost
No$1 @ 0.1¢
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,500 in May?Lost
No$37 @ 74.0¢
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,500 in May?Won
Yes$2 @ 47.0¢
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?Lost
No$4 @ 0.1¢
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $86 in May?Lost
No$26 @ 52.0¢
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $86 in May?Won
Yes$50 @ 85.0¢
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?Won
No$107 @ 40.3¢
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?Lost
Yes$89 @ 59.0¢
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?Lost
No$1 @ 0.1¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 24, 2026?Lost
Yes$3 @ 0.2¢
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?Lost
No$1 @ 0.1¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in April?Lost
Yes$1 @ 4.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Lost
Yes$61 @ 0.1¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Lost
No$1 @ 0.2¢
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?Lost
No$1 @ 0.1¢
Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?Lost
No$1 @ 0.2¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?Lost
No$6 @ 0.1¢
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?Lost
Yes$6 @ 0.4¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?Lost
Yes$5 @ 0.1¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?Lost
No$10 @ 0.1¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.3¢
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?Lost
Yes$5 @ 0.1¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?Lost
Yes$1 @ 1.4¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?Lost
Yes$1 @ 14.0¢
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?Lost
Yes$3 @ 8.7¢
Bruins vs. SabresLost
Sabres$2 @ 60.0¢
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs GamerLegion - Game 2 WinnerLost
GamerLegion$13 @ 0.1¢
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 230.5Lost
Under$2 @ 46.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will XRP reach $2.20 in August?	—	Yes	$3	5.8¢
Will the price of XRP be above $1.90 on August 28?	—	Yes	$1	8.1¢
Will the price of XRP be above $1.80 on August 28?	—	Yes	$1	11.1¢
Will XRP reach $2.00 in August?	—	Yes	$1	8.2¢
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $5B in 2026?	Crypto	No	$1	6.6¢

Will XRP reach $2.20 in August?—
Yes$3 @ 5.8¢
Will the price of XRP be above $1.90 on August 28?—
Yes$1 @ 8.1¢
Will the price of XRP be above $1.80 on August 28?—
Yes$1 @ 11.1¢
Will XRP reach $2.00 in August?—
Yes$1 @ 8.2¢
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $5B in 2026?Crypto
No$1 @ 6.6¢