← Smart money
0x7eff…7196
SharpEdge
+21.6pp
ROI
+81%
Win rate
62% @ 40.2¢
Brier
0.159
Resolved
110
Avg size
$1.0k
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 71% (5/7) | +89% | 7 |
| Tech | 100% (2/2) | +44% | 2 |
| Sports | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
| Politics | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
- Other7 bets
- Hit rate
- 71% (5/7)
- ROI
- +89%
- Tech2 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (2/2)
- ROI
- +44%
- Sports1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
- Politics1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
64% hit · 7/11| Market | Outcome | Size | Entry | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | $49 | 39.8¢ | Lost |
| Kamala Harris wins the popular vote? | No | $27.9k | 36.3¢ | Won |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? | Yes | $21.0k | 69.5¢ | Won |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150k in October? | Yes | $195 | 4.1¢ | Lost |
| MSFT shareholders vote for Bitcoin investment? | Yes | $4.8k | 14.0¢ | Lost |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | $72 | 16.3¢ | Lost |
| Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in December? | Yes | $160 | 82.0¢ | Won |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | No | $41.9k | 61.1¢ | Won |
| Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election? | Yes | $694 | 27.1¢ | Won |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T? | Yes | $178 | 89.0¢ | Won |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | Yes | $17.2k | 62.0¢ | Won |
- Yes$49 @ 39.8¢
- No$27.9k @ 36.3¢
- Yes$21.0k @ 69.5¢
- Yes$195 @ 4.1¢
- Yes$4.8k @ 14.0¢
- Yes$72 @ 16.3¢
- Yes$160 @ 82.0¢
- No$41.9k @ 61.1¢
- Yes$694 @ 27.1¢
- Yes$178 @ 89.0¢
- Yes$17.2k @ 62.0¢
Recent trades
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