0x7e31…454d

Specialization by sphere

• Other372 bets

  Hit rate

  55% (205/372)

  ROI

  +9%

• Politics47 bets

  Hit rate

  64% (30/47)

  ROI

  +22%

• Geopolitics9 bets

  Hit rate

  78% (7/9)

  ROI

  +16%

• Culture4 bets

  Hit rate

  75% (3/4)

  ROI

  -77%

• Sports3 bets

  Hit rate

  33% (1/3)

  ROI

  -99%

• Will Jack Antonoff attend Taylor Swift's wedding?Lost
  No$13 @ 2.7¢
• US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?Lost
  Yes$2.2k @ 24.6¢
• Will there be at least 1500 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026?Lost
  No$37 @ 3.7¢
• Body-cam footage of Maduro capture released by Jan 31?Won
  No$26 @ 84.0¢
• Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?Won
  Yes$1.2k @ 44.1¢
• U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?Lost
  No$77 @ 15.1¢
• U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?Won
  Yes$330 @ 66.0¢
• Will United States win the 2026 IIHF World Junior Championship?Won
  No$10 @ 78.0¢
• Will Trump say "Transgender" at The Villages on May 1?Lost
  No$18 @ 35.0¢
• Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during WEF Address on January 21?Lost
  No$189 @ 89.3¢
• Epstein client list released in 2025?Won
  No$275 @ 68.7¢
• Will Prince Andrew be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?Won
  No$624 @ 71.4¢
• Will Prince Andrew be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?Lost
  Yes$109 @ 48.5¢
• Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?Lost
  Yes$115 @ 46.0¢
• Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 24?Won
  No$1.3k @ 73.0¢
• Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 24?Lost
  Yes$548 @ 16.6¢
• Will Trump say "Six Seven" this week? (February 8)Lost
  No$91 @ 36.0¢
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?Won
  Yes$1.4k @ 75.6¢
• Will there be 5 or fewer US strikes on Somalia in March 2026?Won
  No$3.5k @ 79.3¢
• Will Iran strike Jordan again in March?Won
  Yes$94 @ 79.0¢
• Will Epstein Data Set 13 be released by February 6?Won
  No$704 @ 88.0¢
• Will MrBeast's million-dollar puzzle be solved by February 15?Lost
  Yes$9 @ 23.0¢
• Will Czechia win the 2026 IIHF World Junior Championship?Won
  No$13 @ 50.3¢
• Weed rescheduled by June 30?Won
  No$1.5k @ 88.0¢
• Will the announcers say "Goal" 60+ times during the Switzerland vs Colombia FIFA World Cup Match?Lost
  No$54 @ 27.0¢
• Will Donald Trump's tie be another color?Lost
  No$81 @ 27.1¢
• Will Donald Trump say "Hamas" or "Hezbollah" during Israel President events on December 29?Won
  Yes$142 @ 76.9¢
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Lost
  Yes$2.1k @ 34.3¢
• ICE Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?Lost
  Yes$30 @ 15.0¢
• Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?Lost
  Yes$476 @ 79.3¢
• Will there be at least 1,000 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?Lost
  No$914 @ 24.3¢
• Will there be between 18 and 21 US strikes on Somalia in February 2026?Lost
  Yes$51 @ 6.9¢
• Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?Won
  Yes$21 @ 86.9¢
• Will any of Trump’s sons attend Trump’s Xi summit?Won
  Yes$1.1k @ 81.6¢
• Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?Won
  No$304 @ 76.0¢
• Will House and Senate pass funding bill by January 30, 2026?Lost
  Yes$372 @ 14.3¢
• Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by April 30, 2026?Won
  No$447 @ 87.5¢
• Will Trump say "Melania" or "First Lady" at The Villages on May 1?Won
  Yes$27 @ 54.0¢
• Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?Lost
  Yes$990 @ 38.1¢
• Will Venezuela give the US oil by January 31?Lost
  No$282 @ 12.7¢
• Will Venezuela give the US oil by January 31?Won
  Yes$1.1k @ 71.7¢
• Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 14, 2026?Won
  Yes$255 @ 85.0¢
• Will Khamenei tweet again on March 15, 2026?Lost
  No$118 @ 42.4¢
• Maduro mugshot released by January 16?Lost
  Yes$38 @ 19.0¢
• Will Hillary Clinton be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?Won
  No$89 @ 83.8¢
• Will "Tití Me Preguntó" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?Lost
  No$68 @ 34.0¢
• Will Sean Combs be named in newly released Epstein files?Won
  No$244 @ 75.1¢
• US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?Won
  Yes$9.4k @ 62.3¢
• Will AGI Inc.'s market cap be less than $2.75B at market close on IPO day?Lost
  No$20 @ 40.4¢
• Will AGI Inc.'s market cap be less than $2.75B at market close on IPO day?Won
  Yes$110 @ 55.0¢

Current positions

• Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
  No$26.5k @ 79.0¢
• Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics
  Yes$8.7k @ 32.9¢
• US strike on Cuba by December 31?Geopolitics
  No$7.5k @ 74.9¢
• Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?Geopolitics
  No$3.0k @ 74.2¢
• Will Trump and Putin not meet?Politics
  Yes$2.6k @ 60.1¢
• Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 31?Geopolitics
  No$1.8k @ 92.0¢
• USMCA extended in 2026?Politics
  No$1.8k @ 75.5¢
• Will Ali Khamenei be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?Tech
  No$1.8k @ 88.0¢
• NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$1.7k @ 70.2¢
• Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics
  No$1.5k @ 75.0¢
• NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Politics
  No$1.5k @ 78.3¢
• Clavicular sentenced to prison by December 31, 2026?Culture
  No$1.1k @ 88.0¢
• Will Dolly Parton be the #1 searched passing on Google in the US this year?Tech
  Yes$764 @ 48.2¢
• Tariff increase on Canada in effect by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$560 @ 55.6¢
• Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?Politics
  Yes$334 @ 22.3¢
• Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?Politics
  Yes$252 @ 63.0¢
• Will Trump not endorse a Party in the 2026 Israeli Election?Politics
  Yes$87 @ 29.0¢
• Don Lemon sentenced to prison?Politics
  No$72 @ 87.4¢
• Will Banksy create a new mural or street artwork by December 31?Culture
  No$21 @ 11.0¢
• Will Donald Trump visit Canada in 2026?Politics
  No$6 @ 85.0¢
• Will Trump try to acquire part of Alberta?Politics
  No$5 @ 60.0¢