0x7dcf…a7bd

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x7dcf235766e6b09c8869468a75d5495cf171a7bd
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+4.3pp

ROI

+9%

Win rate

60% @ 55.9¢

Brier

0.192

Resolved

1907

Avg size

$10

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Science	63% (458/723)	+5%	723
Politics	31% (184/588)	-18%	588
Other	49% (226/457)	+4%	457
Sports	15% (46/300)	-17%	300
Tech	36% (53/146)	-12%	146
Culture	55% (48/87)	+13%	87
Economy	34% (15/44)	-7%	44
Geopolitics	36% (8/22)	+22%	22
Crypto	31% (4/13)	+246%	13
Business	0% (0/3)	-100%	3

Science723 bets
Hit rate
63% (458/723)
ROI
+5%
Politics588 bets
Hit rate
31% (184/588)
ROI
-18%
Other457 bets
Hit rate
49% (226/457)
ROI
+4%
Sports300 bets
Hit rate
15% (46/300)
ROI
-17%
Tech146 bets
Hit rate
36% (53/146)
ROI
-12%
Culture87 bets
Hit rate
55% (48/87)
ROI
+13%
Economy44 bets
Hit rate
34% (15/44)
ROI
-7%
Geopolitics22 bets
Hit rate
36% (8/22)
ROI
+22%
Crypto13 bets
Hit rate
31% (4/13)
ROI
+246%
Business3 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/3)
ROI
-100%

Track record

44% hit · 1042/2383

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Alexandre Curi win the Governor of Paraná election?	Yes	$5	5.5¢	Lost
Will Beto Richa win the Governor of Paraná election?	Yes	$7	5.5¢	Lost
Will Rafael Greca win the Governor of Paraná election?	Yes	$7	5.5¢	Lost
Will Guto Silva win the Governor of Paraná election?	Yes	$7	5.5¢	Lost
Will Luiz França win the Governor of Paraná election?	Yes	$7	5.5¢	Lost
Will Demeke Mekonnen be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?	No	$0	0.0¢	Won
Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?	No	$0	0.0¢	Lost
Will Alesa Mengesha be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?	No	$0	0.0¢	Won
Will Berhanu Nega be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?	No	$0	0.0¢	Won
Will Gedion Timothewos be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?	No	$0	0.0¢	Won
Will Shimelis Abdisa be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?	No	$0	0.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on September 28?	No	$6	58.0¢	Won
Will Elmano de Freitas win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?	No	$152	31.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on September 24?	No	$3	28.0¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on September 27?	No	$1	10.0¢	Lost
Will the price of Solana be between $120 and $130 on September 25?	No	$4	10.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on September 26?	No	$9	87.7¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on September 26?	No	$6	57.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on September 25?	No	$6	62.8¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on September 24?	No	$43	71.7¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on September 27?	No	$26	87.0¢	Won
Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	No	$31	76.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on September 28?	No	$9	89.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on September 26?	No	$12	62.0¢	Won
Will Ariana Grande win Artist of the Year at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?	No	$16	72.5¢	Won
Will Darijana Filipović be the Croat Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election?	No	$55	44.8¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on September 25?	No	$16	79.5¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 27?	No	$16	68.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on October 4?	No	$0	61.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on September 25?	No	$21	51.0¢	Lost
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	No	$14	68.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on September 24?	No	$8	77.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C or higher on October 2?	No	$5	52.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on September 24?	No	$6	51.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on September 25?	No	$34	85.6¢	Won
Will the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in September?	No	$7	64.0¢	Won
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026?	No	$64	79.5¢	Won
Will Pete Alonso lead the MLB in RBIs for the 2026 regular season?	No	$35	87.4¢	Won
Will "Forgotten Island" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 22m?	No	$9	87.2¢	Won
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 28?	No	$6	61.0¢	Won
Will Cloud9 Win LCS 2026 Summer Split	No	$32	81.2¢	Won
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 1?	No	$76	55.2¢	Lost
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Mato Grosso?	No	$1	2.7¢	Lost
Will Augusto Cury win 6% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	$36	89.0¢	Won
Will JHC win the 2026 Alagoas gubernatorial election?	No	$4	37.0¢	Lost
Will Augusto Cury finish in fourth place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	$24	64.7¢	Won
Will Marina Silva win the second-most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?	No	$75	87.3¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C on September 25?	No	$6	59.5¢	Won
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 26.75 and 27.5 million views on day 4?	No	$149	25.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on October 5?	No	$12	71.0¢	Won

Will Alexandre Curi win the Governor of Paraná election?Lost
Yes$5 @ 5.5¢
Will Beto Richa win the Governor of Paraná election?Lost
Yes$7 @ 5.5¢
Will Rafael Greca win the Governor of Paraná election?Lost
Yes$7 @ 5.5¢
Will Guto Silva win the Governor of Paraná election?Lost
Yes$7 @ 5.5¢
Will Luiz França win the Governor of Paraná election?Lost
Yes$7 @ 5.5¢
Will Demeke Mekonnen be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?Won
No$0 @ 0.0¢
Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?Lost
No$0 @ 0.0¢
Will Alesa Mengesha be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?Won
No$0 @ 0.0¢
Will Berhanu Nega be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?Won
No$0 @ 0.0¢
Will Gedion Timothewos be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?Won
No$0 @ 0.0¢
Will Shimelis Abdisa be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?Won
No$0 @ 0.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on September 28?Won
No$6 @ 58.0¢
Will Elmano de Freitas win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?Lost
No$152 @ 31.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on September 24?Won
No$3 @ 28.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on September 27?Lost
No$1 @ 10.0¢
Will the price of Solana be between $120 and $130 on September 25?Lost
No$4 @ 10.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on September 26?Won
No$9 @ 87.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on September 26?Won
No$6 @ 57.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on September 25?Lost
No$6 @ 62.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on September 24?Won
No$43 @ 71.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on September 27?Won
No$26 @ 87.0¢
Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from September 25 to October 2, 2026?Won
No$31 @ 76.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on September 28?Won
No$9 @ 89.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on September 26?Won
No$12 @ 62.0¢
Will Ariana Grande win Artist of the Year at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?Won
No$16 @ 72.5¢
Will Darijana Filipović be the Croat Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election?Lost
No$55 @ 44.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on September 25?Won
No$16 @ 79.5¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 27?Lost
No$16 @ 68.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on October 4?Won
No$0 @ 61.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on September 25?Lost
No$21 @ 51.0¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?Lost
No$14 @ 68.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on September 24?Won
No$8 @ 77.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C or higher on October 2?Won
No$5 @ 52.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on September 24?Lost
No$6 @ 51.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on September 25?Won
No$34 @ 85.6¢
Will the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in September?Won
No$7 @ 64.0¢
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026?Won
No$64 @ 79.5¢
Will Pete Alonso lead the MLB in RBIs for the 2026 regular season?Won
No$35 @ 87.4¢
Will "Forgotten Island" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 22m?Won
No$9 @ 87.2¢
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 28?Won
No$6 @ 61.0¢
Will Cloud9 Win LCS 2026 Summer SplitWon
No$32 @ 81.2¢
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 1?Lost
No$76 @ 55.2¢
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Mato Grosso?Lost
No$1 @ 2.7¢
Will Augusto Cury win 6% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Won
No$36 @ 89.0¢
Will JHC win the 2026 Alagoas gubernatorial election?Lost
No$4 @ 37.0¢
Will Augusto Cury finish in fourth place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Won
No$24 @ 64.7¢
Will Marina Silva win the second-most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?Won
No$75 @ 87.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C on September 25?Won
No$6 @ 59.5¢
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 26.75 and 27.5 million views on day 4?Lost
No$149 @ 25.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on October 5?Won
No$12 @ 71.0¢

Recent trades

live from Polymarket · click a column to sort

Loading recent trades…

Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will the Bank of Canada decrease the target for the overnight rate by 50+ bps at the October interest rate announcement?	Politics	Yes	$77	20.0¢
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Australia?	Politics	Yes	$58	6.6¢
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the October 2026 meeting?	Economy	Yes	$57	20.0¢
Will Trump and Putin meet next in South Korea?	Politics	Yes	$50	6.6¢
Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	Culture	Yes	$39	3.7¢
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the October 2026 meeting?	Economy	Yes	$39	20.0¢
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Japan?	Politics	Yes	$38	6.5¢
Reserve Bank of Australia decreases interest rates by 50+ bps at the November 2026 meeting?	Geopolitics	Yes	$36	20.0¢
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 180m and 190m by October 31?	Culture	Yes	$35	13.6¢
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 190m and 200m by October 31?	Culture	Yes	$35	13.6¢
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be at least 200m by October 31?	Culture	Yes	$34	13.6¢
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Ukraine?	Politics	Yes	$32	6.6¢
Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Economy	Yes	$28	7.7¢
Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Economy	Yes	$28	7.7¢
Will Michael Foust win the Tallahassee mayoral election?	Politics	Yes	$27	7.6¢
Will Huang Kuo-chang win the next New Taipei Mayor election?	Politics	Yes	$25	3.3¢
Will Ra'am win exactly 6 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Politics	Yes	$25	16.9¢
Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Economy	Yes	$24	7.7¢
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Economy	Yes	$24	7.7¢
Will Thinky have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Tech	Yes	$24	3.1¢
Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Tech	Yes	$24	3.1¢
Will MiniMax have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Tech	Yes	$24	3.1¢
Will StepFun have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Tech	Yes	$24	3.1¢
Will Tencent have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Tech	Yes	$24	3.1¢
Will Xiaomi have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Tech	Yes	$24	3.1¢
Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Tech	Yes	$24	3.1¢
Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Tech	Yes	$24	3.1¢
Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Tech	Yes	$23	3.1¢
Will Team C win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?	Sports	Yes	$22	4.2¢
Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be below 1.5?	Science	Yes	$22	20.0¢

Will the Bank of Canada decrease the target for the overnight rate by 50+ bps at the October interest rate announcement?Politics
Yes$77 @ 20.0¢
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Australia?Politics
Yes$58 @ 6.6¢
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the October 2026 meeting?Economy
Yes$57 @ 20.0¢
Will Trump and Putin meet next in South Korea?Politics
Yes$50 @ 6.6¢
Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Culture
Yes$39 @ 3.7¢
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the October 2026 meeting?Economy
Yes$39 @ 20.0¢
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Japan?Politics
Yes$38 @ 6.5¢
Reserve Bank of Australia decreases interest rates by 50+ bps at the November 2026 meeting?Geopolitics
Yes$36 @ 20.0¢
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 180m and 190m by October 31?Culture
Yes$35 @ 13.6¢
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 190m and 200m by October 31?Culture
Yes$35 @ 13.6¢
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be at least 200m by October 31?Culture
Yes$34 @ 13.6¢
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Ukraine?Politics
Yes$32 @ 6.6¢
Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy
Yes$28 @ 7.7¢
Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy
Yes$28 @ 7.7¢
Will Michael Foust win the Tallahassee mayoral election?Politics
Yes$27 @ 7.6¢
Will Huang Kuo-chang win the next New Taipei Mayor election?Politics
Yes$25 @ 3.3¢
Will Ra'am win exactly 6 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Politics
Yes$25 @ 16.9¢
Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy
Yes$24 @ 7.7¢
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy
Yes$24 @ 7.7¢
Will Thinky have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Tech
Yes$24 @ 3.1¢
Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Tech
Yes$24 @ 3.1¢
Will MiniMax have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Tech
Yes$24 @ 3.1¢
Will StepFun have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Tech
Yes$24 @ 3.1¢
Will Tencent have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Tech
Yes$24 @ 3.1¢
Will Xiaomi have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Tech
Yes$24 @ 3.1¢
Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Tech
Yes$24 @ 3.1¢
Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Tech
Yes$24 @ 3.1¢
Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Tech
Yes$23 @ 3.1¢
Will Team C win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?Sports
Yes$22 @ 4.2¢
Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be below 1.5?Science
Yes$22 @ 20.0¢