0x7d93…fdef

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x7d93bcb1bad9d0fb2f7cb774715a3f005523fdef
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+4.0pp

ROI

+22%

Win rate

48% @ 43.5¢

Brier

0.167

Resolved

1689

Avg size

$23

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	47% (289/612)	+9%	612
Sports	48% (30/63)	+19%	63
Politics	43% (3/7)	+37%	7
Crypto	50% (2/4)	+24%	4
Economy	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other612 bets
Hit rate
47% (289/612)
ROI
+9%
Sports63 bets
Hit rate
48% (30/63)
ROI
+19%
Politics7 bets
Hit rate
43% (3/7)
ROI
+37%
Crypto4 bets
Hit rate
50% (2/4)
ROI
+24%
Economy1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

47% hit · 324/687

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
LoL: FENNEL vs Dplus KIA Challengers (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group C	FENNEL	$1	7.7¢	Lost
LoL: Cupid Esports vs Vivo Keyd Stars Academy (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group C	Cupid Esports	$94	47.1¢	Won
Dota 2: 1win vs Pipsqueak+4 - Game 2 Winner	Pipsqueak+4	$74	44.5¢	Lost
Dota 2: 1win vs Pipsqueak+4 - Game 2 Winner	1win	$119	53.5¢	Won
Dota 2: 1win vs Pipsqueak+4 (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage	1win	$18	91.8¢	Won
Games Total: O/U 2.5	Over	$6	59.0¢	Lost
Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Club Santos Laguna: O/U 3.5	Over	$82	60.3¢	Won
Will CD Tolima win on 2026-08-14?	No	$33	66.0¢	Lost
Dana White's Contender Series: Callum Connor vs. Piero Guaylupo (Lightweight, Main Card)	Callum Connor	$307	31.8¢	Lost
Dana White's Contender Series: Callum Connor vs. Piero Guaylupo (Lightweight, Main Card)	Piero Guaylupo	$624	68.2¢	Won
Málaga CF vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 3.5	Under	$29	40.2¢	Lost
West Virginia vs. Virginia	Virginia	$41	82.0¢	Lost
AS Monaco FC vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 2.5	Under	$21	22.6¢	Lost
Villarreal CF vs. Levante UD: O/U 1.5	Over	$37	73.0¢	Won
Exact Score: Brighton & Hove Albion FC 2 - 0 Arsenal FC?	Yes	$7	11.6¢	Lost
Spread: Chargers (-1.5)	Raiders	$23	64.7¢	Won
Celtic FC vs. Ferencvárosi TC: 1st Half O/U 1.5	Under	$14	56.0¢	Lost
Spread: Raiders (-4.5)	Raiders	$10	41.0¢	Won
Brentford FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Score	No	$85	84.3¢	Won
Atlas FC vs. Pumas de la UNAM: 1st Half O/U 0.5	Under	$3	10.0¢	Lost
Will Elena Rybakina win the 2026 Women’s US Open?	No	$121	32.4¢	Lost
Will Elena Rybakina win the 2026 Women’s US Open?	Yes	$304	52.5¢	Won
Real Betis Balompié vs. Getafe CF: O/U 2.5	Under	$60	59.0¢	Won
2H Spread: Lions (-3.5)	Bills	$7	26.0¢	Lost
2H Spread: Lions (-3.5)	Lions	$2	32.0¢	Won
Will Fagiano Okayama vs. Kyōto Sanga FC end in a draw?	No	$1	26.0¢	Won
Will CA Vélez Sarsfield win on 2026-09-20?	No	$6	11.0¢	Lost
Will Casa Pia AC win on 2026-09-20?	No	$36	71.0¢	Lost
FC Bayern München vs. Manchester City WFC: O/U 5.5	Under	$34	67.8¢	Won
CF Pachuca vs. Club Tijuana: 1st Half O/U 1.5	Under	$4	43.0¢	Lost
1st Half Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)	Sunderland AFC	$19	74.0¢	Won
Real Madrid CF Femenino vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 1.5	Under	$21	19.9¢	Lost
Spread: Arsenal WFC (-1.5)	HB Køge	$37	74.0¢	Won
SC Paderborn 07 vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: 1st Half O/U 1.5	Under	$6	22.0¢	Lost
Sporting Kansas City vs. Philadelphia Union: O/U 5.5	Under	$0	1.0¢	Lost
Will Suwon FC win on 2026-09-19?	Yes	$33	65.0¢	Won
Club Brugge vs. KRC Genk: O/U 2.5	Over	$77	85.0¢	Won
Spread: Virginia (-1.5)	Virginia	$31	61.0¢	Lost
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 9.5 Total Corners	Under	$1	4.8¢	Lost
Will SV Werder Bremen vs. FC Augsburg end in a draw?	No	$38	61.3¢	Won
CD Tecnico Universitario vs. Delfin SC: O/U 2.5	Over	$5	45.0¢	Lost
FC Tōkyō vs. Nagoya Grampus: O/U 1.5	Under	$44	65.2¢	Won
Spread: West Virginia (-6.5)	Virginia	$111	71.8¢	Lost
Athletic Club vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 2.5	Under	$41	81.0¢	Won
VfB Stuttgart vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 1.5	Over	$77	76.5¢	Lost
SV Werder Bremen vs. FC Augsburg: O/U 3.5	Under	$5	11.2¢	Lost
CF América vs. CD Guadalajara: CF América O/U 2.5	Over	$8	33.0¢	Lost
Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-09-19?	No	$27	53.0¢	Won
Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-09-19?	Yes	$25	39.7¢	Lost
Dana White's Contender Series: Damian Piwowarczyk vs. Emilio Quissua (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)	Damian Piwowarczyk	$605	46.0¢	Won

LoL: FENNEL vs Dplus KIA Challengers (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group CLost
FENNEL$1 @ 7.7¢
LoL: Cupid Esports vs Vivo Keyd Stars Academy (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group CWon
Cupid Esports$94 @ 47.1¢
Dota 2: 1win vs Pipsqueak+4 - Game 2 WinnerLost
Pipsqueak+4$74 @ 44.5¢
Dota 2: 1win vs Pipsqueak+4 - Game 2 WinnerWon
1win$119 @ 53.5¢
Dota 2: 1win vs Pipsqueak+4 (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group StageWon
1win$18 @ 91.8¢
Games Total: O/U 2.5Lost
Over$6 @ 59.0¢
Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Club Santos Laguna: O/U 3.5Won
Over$82 @ 60.3¢
Will CD Tolima win on 2026-08-14?Lost
No$33 @ 66.0¢
Dana White's Contender Series: Callum Connor vs. Piero Guaylupo (Lightweight, Main Card)Lost
Callum Connor$307 @ 31.8¢
Dana White's Contender Series: Callum Connor vs. Piero Guaylupo (Lightweight, Main Card)Won
Piero Guaylupo$624 @ 68.2¢
Málaga CF vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 3.5Lost
Under$29 @ 40.2¢
West Virginia vs. VirginiaLost
Virginia$41 @ 82.0¢
AS Monaco FC vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 2.5Lost
Under$21 @ 22.6¢
Villarreal CF vs. Levante UD: O/U 1.5Won
Over$37 @ 73.0¢
Exact Score: Brighton & Hove Albion FC 2 - 0 Arsenal FC?Lost
Yes$7 @ 11.6¢
Spread: Chargers (-1.5)Won
Raiders$23 @ 64.7¢
Celtic FC vs. Ferencvárosi TC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Lost
Under$14 @ 56.0¢
Spread: Raiders (-4.5)Won
Raiders$10 @ 41.0¢
Brentford FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to ScoreWon
No$85 @ 84.3¢
Atlas FC vs. Pumas de la UNAM: 1st Half O/U 0.5Lost
Under$3 @ 10.0¢
Will Elena Rybakina win the 2026 Women’s US Open?Lost
No$121 @ 32.4¢
Will Elena Rybakina win the 2026 Women’s US Open?Won
Yes$304 @ 52.5¢
Real Betis Balompié vs. Getafe CF: O/U 2.5Won
Under$60 @ 59.0¢
2H Spread: Lions (-3.5)Lost
Bills$7 @ 26.0¢
2H Spread: Lions (-3.5)Won
Lions$2 @ 32.0¢
Will Fagiano Okayama vs. Kyōto Sanga FC end in a draw?Won
No$1 @ 26.0¢
Will CA Vélez Sarsfield win on 2026-09-20?Lost
No$6 @ 11.0¢
Will Casa Pia AC win on 2026-09-20?Lost
No$36 @ 71.0¢
FC Bayern München vs. Manchester City WFC: O/U 5.5Won
Under$34 @ 67.8¢
CF Pachuca vs. Club Tijuana: 1st Half O/U 1.5Lost
Under$4 @ 43.0¢
1st Half Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)Won
Sunderland AFC$19 @ 74.0¢
Real Madrid CF Femenino vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 1.5Lost
Under$21 @ 19.9¢
Spread: Arsenal WFC (-1.5)Won
HB Køge$37 @ 74.0¢
SC Paderborn 07 vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: 1st Half O/U 1.5Lost
Under$6 @ 22.0¢
Sporting Kansas City vs. Philadelphia Union: O/U 5.5Lost
Under$0 @ 1.0¢
Will Suwon FC win on 2026-09-19?Won
Yes$33 @ 65.0¢
Club Brugge vs. KRC Genk: O/U 2.5Won
Over$77 @ 85.0¢
Spread: Virginia (-1.5)Lost
Virginia$31 @ 61.0¢
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 9.5 Total CornersLost
Under$1 @ 4.8¢
Will SV Werder Bremen vs. FC Augsburg end in a draw?Won
No$38 @ 61.3¢
CD Tecnico Universitario vs. Delfin SC: O/U 2.5Lost
Over$5 @ 45.0¢
FC Tōkyō vs. Nagoya Grampus: O/U 1.5Won
Under$44 @ 65.2¢
Spread: West Virginia (-6.5)Lost
Virginia$111 @ 71.8¢
Athletic Club vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 2.5Won
Under$41 @ 81.0¢
VfB Stuttgart vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 1.5Lost
Over$77 @ 76.5¢
SV Werder Bremen vs. FC Augsburg: O/U 3.5Lost
Under$5 @ 11.2¢
CF América vs. CD Guadalajara: CF América O/U 2.5Lost
Over$8 @ 33.0¢
Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-09-19?Won
No$27 @ 53.0¢
Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-09-19?Lost
Yes$25 @ 39.7¢
Dana White's Contender Series: Damian Piwowarczyk vs. Emilio Quissua (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)Won
Damian Piwowarczyk$605 @ 46.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	Politics	No	$2.9k	84.2¢
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September?	Crypto	Yes	$544	43.3¢
Will Joshua Van be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Sports	Yes	$489	80.7¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Politics	Yes	$468	33.6¢
Will the Republican Party win the TX-15 House seat?	Politics	Yes	$307	43.7¢
Will the Democratic Party win the MN-01 House seat?	Politics	Yes	$297	27.8¢
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-15 House seat?	Politics	No	$243	48.1¢
Will Nene Royal win AGT Season 21?	Culture	Yes	$218	78.8¢
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Tech	Yes	$207	11.7¢
Will the Republican Party win the TX-15 House seat?	Politics	No	$199	52.7¢
Will Yash Patel win Big Brother season 28?	Culture	No	$194	84.8¢
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Politics	No	$185	92.7¢
Will Alexandre Pantoja be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Sports	No	$166	83.7¢
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September?	Crypto	Yes	$164	20.2¢
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	Yes	$146	29.0¢
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-15 House seat?	Politics	Yes	$143	54.6¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Politics	No	$140	34.5¢
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-03 House seat?	Politics	No	$135	90.0¢
Will Geno Ploeger win AGT Season 21?	Culture	No	$130	90.6¢
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Tech	No	$129	85.7¢
Will the Republican Party win the MN-01 House seat?	Politics	No	$126	29.8¢
Dota 2: 1win vs Pipsqueak+4 - Game 2 Winner	Sports	1win	$119	53.5¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in September?	Crypto	Yes	$112	24.3¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in September?	Crypto	Yes	$109	45.3¢
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	Yes	$108	10.8¢
LoL: Cupid Esports vs Vivo Keyd Stars Academy (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group C	Sports	Cupid Esports	$94	47.1¢
Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in September?	Politics	No	$90	33.9¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in September?	Crypto	Yes	$89	2.5¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in September?	Crypto	Yes	$82	13.7¢
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Tech	No	$76	13.9¢

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Politics
No$2.9k @ 84.2¢
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September?Crypto
Yes$544 @ 43.3¢
Will Joshua Van be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?Sports
Yes$489 @ 80.7¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Politics
Yes$468 @ 33.6¢
Will the Republican Party win the TX-15 House seat?Politics
Yes$307 @ 43.7¢
Will the Democratic Party win the MN-01 House seat?Politics
Yes$297 @ 27.8¢
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-15 House seat?Politics
No$243 @ 48.1¢
Will Nene Royal win AGT Season 21?Culture
Yes$218 @ 78.8¢
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech
Yes$207 @ 11.7¢
Will the Republican Party win the TX-15 House seat?Politics
No$199 @ 52.7¢
Will Yash Patel win Big Brother season 28?Culture
No$194 @ 84.8¢
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Politics
No$185 @ 92.7¢
Will Alexandre Pantoja be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?Sports
No$166 @ 83.7¢
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September?Crypto
Yes$164 @ 20.2¢
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
Yes$146 @ 29.0¢
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-15 House seat?Politics
Yes$143 @ 54.6¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Politics
No$140 @ 34.5¢
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-03 House seat?Politics
No$135 @ 90.0¢
Will Geno Ploeger win AGT Season 21?Culture
No$130 @ 90.6¢
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech
No$129 @ 85.7¢
Will the Republican Party win the MN-01 House seat?Politics
No$126 @ 29.8¢
Dota 2: 1win vs Pipsqueak+4 - Game 2 WinnerSports
1win$119 @ 53.5¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in September?Crypto
Yes$112 @ 24.3¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in September?Crypto
Yes$109 @ 45.3¢
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
Yes$108 @ 10.8¢
LoL: Cupid Esports vs Vivo Keyd Stars Academy (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group CSports
Cupid Esports$94 @ 47.1¢
Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in September?Politics
No$90 @ 33.9¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in September?Crypto
Yes$89 @ 2.5¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in September?Crypto
Yes$82 @ 13.7¢
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech
No$76 @ 13.9¢