0x7d8b…3b0e

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x7d8ba800dcb888e97ea387350836250e52b53b0e
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+11.0pp

ROI

+10%

Win rate

73% @ 62.3¢

Brier

0.205

Resolved

161

Avg size

$32

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Sports	60% (26/43)	+3%	43
Other	61% (17/28)	+11%	28
Geopolitics	100% (5/5)	+22%	5
Politics	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Sports43 bets
Hit rate
60% (26/43)
ROI
+3%
Other28 bets
Hit rate
61% (17/28)
ROI
+11%
Geopolitics5 bets
Hit rate
100% (5/5)
ROI
+22%
Politics1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

62% hit · 48/77

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Maccabi Petah Tikva FC vs. Maccabi Haifa FC: O/U 2.5	Over	$30	60.0¢	Won
Will France win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	$8	65.0¢	Won
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	$40	79.0¢	Won
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$83	82.6¢	Won
Will 9+ matches go to extra time during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$218	31.7¢	Lost
Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	$10	88.0¢	Won
Panama vs. England: 1st Half O/U 0.5	Over	$7	73.0¢	Lost
Will Republic of Ireland win on 2026-10-04?	No	$90	53.0¢	Won
France vs. England: O/U 7.5	Over	$19	64.0¢	Lost
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	Yes	$26	66.0¢	Won
Will Egypt be the furthest advancing CAF nation at the World Cup?	No	$88	88.2¢	Won
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	Yes	$100	58.8¢	Won
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-28?	No	$8	81.0¢	Won
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$2	21.5¢	Lost
Exact Score: Germany 0 - 1 Côte d'Ivoire?	No	$25	84.7¢	Won
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?	No	$32	78.9¢	Lost
Will Israel win on 2026-10-01?	No	$71	70.0¢	Won
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19?	No	$14	45.0¢	Lost
Will 5+ matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$29	67.0¢	Won
Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 2.5	Over	$7	69.0¢	Won
MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs. KF Víkingur: Team to Advance	MH Hapoel Beer Sheva	$152	50.0¢	Won
KK Crvena Zvezda vs. Hapoel Tel Aviv	Hapoel Tel Aviv	$60	60.0¢	Won
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	Yes	$1.2k	82.3¢	Won
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 0.5	Over	$10	52.0¢	Won
FK Crvena zvezda vs. MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva: Team to Advance	MH Hapoel Beer Sheva	$71	55.0¢	Won
Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s US Open?	Yes	$57	57.0¢	Lost
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-26?	No	$26	85.0¢	Won
Hagen: Thiago Monteiro vs Tom Gentzsch	Tom Gentzsch	$48	48.0¢	Won
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?	Yes	$44	87.0¢	Won
Will Republic of Ireland win on 2026-09-27?	No	$165	65.0¢	Lost
Bonn: Max Dahlin vs Matteo Martineau	Matteo Martineau	$43	43.0¢	Lost
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-13?	No	$61	45.0¢	Lost
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5	Over	$42	42.0¢	Lost
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance	England	$156	53.8¢	Lost
Will England win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	$42	84.0¢	Won
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advance	Spain	$37	73.5¢	Won
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?	Yes	$17	83.5¢	Won
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?	Yes	$7	71.0¢	Lost
Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advance	Portugal	$36	72.3¢	Won
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?	Yes	$37	74.0¢	Won
Spain to score first vs. Cabo Verde?	Yes	$9	89.0¢	Lost
Will AC Milan win on 2026-08-28?	Yes	$228	65.0¢	Won
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$14	69.0¢	Won
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$4	38.8¢	Lost
Astana: Sergey Fomin vs Masamichi Imamura	Masamichi Imamura	$22	44.0¢	Lost
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	$132	88.0¢	Won
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?	Yes	$17	84.0¢	Lost
Exact Score: England 0 - 0 Ghana?	No	$9	89.7¢	Lost
Will Australia win on 2026-06-19?	No	$16	82.0¢	Won
Will Lautaro Martínez record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$0	0.8¢	Lost

Maccabi Petah Tikva FC vs. Maccabi Haifa FC: O/U 2.5Won
Over$30 @ 60.0¢
Will France win on 2026-06-16?Won
Yes$8 @ 65.0¢
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-26?Won
Yes$40 @ 79.0¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
No$83 @ 82.6¢
Will 9+ matches go to extra time during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
No$218 @ 31.7¢
Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?Won
Yes$10 @ 88.0¢
Panama vs. England: 1st Half O/U 0.5Lost
Over$7 @ 73.0¢
Will Republic of Ireland win on 2026-10-04?Won
No$90 @ 53.0¢
France vs. England: O/U 7.5Lost
Over$19 @ 64.0¢
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?Won
Yes$26 @ 66.0¢
Will Egypt be the furthest advancing CAF nation at the World Cup?Won
No$88 @ 88.2¢
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?Won
Yes$100 @ 58.8¢
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-28?Won
No$8 @ 81.0¢
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$2 @ 21.5¢
Exact Score: Germany 0 - 1 Côte d'Ivoire?Won
No$25 @ 84.7¢
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?Lost
No$32 @ 78.9¢
Will Israel win on 2026-10-01?Won
No$71 @ 70.0¢
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19?Lost
No$14 @ 45.0¢
Will 5+ matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
No$29 @ 67.0¢
Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 2.5Won
Over$7 @ 69.0¢
MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs. KF Víkingur: Team to AdvanceWon
MH Hapoel Beer Sheva$152 @ 50.0¢
KK Crvena Zvezda vs. Hapoel Tel AvivWon
Hapoel Tel Aviv$60 @ 60.0¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Won
Yes$1.2k @ 82.3¢
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 0.5Won
Over$10 @ 52.0¢
FK Crvena zvezda vs. MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva: Team to AdvanceWon
MH Hapoel Beer Sheva$71 @ 55.0¢
Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s US Open?Lost
Yes$57 @ 57.0¢
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-26?Won
No$26 @ 85.0¢
Hagen: Thiago Monteiro vs Tom GentzschWon
Tom Gentzsch$48 @ 48.0¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?Won
Yes$44 @ 87.0¢
Will Republic of Ireland win on 2026-09-27?Lost
No$165 @ 65.0¢
Bonn: Max Dahlin vs Matteo MartineauLost
Matteo Martineau$43 @ 43.0¢
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-13?Lost
No$61 @ 45.0¢
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5Lost
Over$42 @ 42.0¢
England vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceLost
England$156 @ 53.8¢
Will England win on 2026-06-27?Won
Yes$42 @ 84.0¢
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to AdvanceWon
Spain$37 @ 73.5¢
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?Won
Yes$17 @ 83.5¢
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?Lost
Yes$7 @ 71.0¢
Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to AdvanceWon
Portugal$36 @ 72.3¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?Won
Yes$37 @ 74.0¢
Spain to score first vs. Cabo Verde?Lost
Yes$9 @ 89.0¢
Will AC Milan win on 2026-08-28?Won
Yes$228 @ 65.0¢
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
Yes$14 @ 69.0¢
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$4 @ 38.8¢
Astana: Sergey Fomin vs Masamichi ImamuraLost
Masamichi Imamura$22 @ 44.0¢
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-25?Won
Yes$132 @ 88.0¢
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?Lost
Yes$17 @ 84.0¢
Exact Score: England 0 - 0 Ghana?Lost
No$9 @ 89.7¢
Will Australia win on 2026-06-19?Won
No$16 @ 82.0¢
Will Lautaro Martínez record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.8¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Politics	No	$97	97.1¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?	Geopolitics	Yes	$92	92.0¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Geopolitics	Yes	$85	85.0¢
Maccabi Petah Tikva FC vs. Maccabi Haifa FC: O/U 2.5	Sports	Over	$30	60.0¢

Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics
No$97 @ 97.1¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?Geopolitics
Yes$92 @ 92.0¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Geopolitics
Yes$85 @ 85.0¢
Maccabi Petah Tikva FC vs. Maccabi Haifa FC: O/U 2.5Sports
Over$30 @ 60.0¢