← Smart money
0x7d17…9df1
SharpEdge
+11.5pp
ROI
+27%
Win rate
79% @ 67.3¢
Brier
0.182
Resolved
849
Avg size
$13
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 55% (33/60) | +10% | 60 |
| Sports | 33% (3/9) | -26% | 9 |
| Politics | 63% (5/8) | +39% | 8 |
- Other60 bets
- Hit rate
- 55% (33/60)
- ROI
- +10%
- Sports9 bets
- Hit rate
- 33% (3/9)
- ROI
- -26%
- Politics8 bets
- Hit rate
- 63% (5/8)
- ROI
- +39%
Track record
53% hit · 41/77- Yes$20 @ 7.2¢
- Yes$10 @ 1.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 79.8¢
- No$20 @ 39.0¢
- Yes$202 @ 70.0¢
- Yes$28 @ 28.9¢
- Carlos Alcaraz$98 @ 17.1¢
- Luciano Darderi$5 @ 49.0¢
- Over 3.5$81 @ 66.0¢
- Pablo Llamas Ruiz$12 @ 45.2¢
- Felix Auger-Aliassime$10 @ 69.0¢
- Luciano Darderi$10 @ 64.0¢
- Yes$875 @ 44.1¢
- Yes$10 @ 30.0¢
- Fabian Marozsan$5 @ 21.1¢
- Over 3.5$101 @ 63.0¢
- Yes$3 @ 0.1¢
- South Africa$5 @ 26.0¢
- Thiago Agustin Tirante$121 @ 61.2¢
- Yes$3 @ 0.1¢
- Over 3.5$20 @ 60.8¢
- Yes$10 @ 37.0¢
- Jaume Munar$7 @ 0.6¢
- Yes$187 @ 86.5¢
- Yes$20 @ 85.0¢
- Yes$52 @ 42.1¢
- Will Jean-Luc Moudenc be the next mayor of Toulouse following the 2026 Toulouse municipal election?WonYes$1.2k @ 61.9¢
- Yes$852 @ 77.2¢
- Over 3.5$20 @ 66.0¢
- Rafael Jodar$161 @ 74.4¢
- Over 3.5$20 @ 68.0¢
- Daniel Altmaier$31 @ 31.0¢
- Ignacio Buse$10 @ 40.0¢
- Andrey Rublev$5 @ 32.0¢
- Stan Wawrinka$16 @ 31.5¢
- Andrey Rublev$10 @ 64.0¢
- Alejandro Tabilo$100 @ 89.0¢
- Over 3.5$20 @ 68.0¢
- Casper Ruud$23 @ 45.5¢
- Yes$15 @ 46.7¢
- Yes$203 @ 58.0¢
- Raphael Collignon$20 @ 89.0¢
- Novak Djokovic$25 @ 37.1¢
- Casper Ruud$252 @ 71.5¢
- Aleksandar Kovacevic$10 @ 43.0¢
- No$10 @ 41.0¢
- Yes$100 @ 53.5¢
- Yes$152 @ 65.0¢
- Nuno Borges$5 @ 29.0¢
- Yes$301 @ 25.4¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? | Politics | Yes | $4.6k | 6.6¢ |
| Will David Lisnard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? | Politics | Yes | $4.1k | 16.9¢ |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | Politics | Yes | $1.1k | 71.8¢ |
| Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election? | Politics | Yes | $325 | 0.2¢ |
| French election called by December 31, 2026? | Politics | Yes | $40 | 8.1¢ |
| Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election? | Politics | Yes | $20 | 3.9¢ |
- Yes$4.6k @ 6.6¢
- Yes$4.1k @ 16.9¢
- Yes$1.1k @ 71.8¢
- Yes$325 @ 0.2¢
- Yes$40 @ 8.1¢
- Yes$20 @ 3.9¢