← Smart money
0x7cc2…87f8
SharpEdge
+19.0pp
ROI
+44%
Win rate
79% @ 60.1¢
Brier
0.168
Resolved
43
Avg size
$28
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 76% (29/38) | +45% | 38 |
| Politics | 63% (5/8) | -42% | 8 |
| Geopolitics | 100% (1/1) | +4% | 1 |
- Other38 bets
- Hit rate
- 76% (29/38)
- ROI
- +45%
- Politics8 bets
- Hit rate
- 63% (5/8)
- ROI
- -42%
- Geopolitics1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +4%
Track record
74% hit · 35/47- Yes$6 @ 96.0¢
- Yes$9 @ 35.0¢
- Yes$23 @ 94.0¢
- No$56 @ 96.0¢
- No$21 @ 98.2¢
- No$11 @ 88.0¢
- Barbora Krejcikova$15 @ 85.0¢
- No$28 @ 78.0¢
- Rockets$13 @ 58.0¢
- Nets$14 @ 39.0¢
- No$55 @ 79.0¢
- Pacers$18 @ 48.0¢
- Knicks$28 @ 40.0¢
- Rockets$17 @ 60.0¢
- Yes$11 @ 43.0¢
- Yes$224 @ 56.0¢
- Wizards$18 @ 45.0¢
- Rockets$18 @ 72.0¢
- No$20 @ 60.0¢
- Knicks$14 @ 53.0¢
- Panthers$45 @ 44.0¢
- No$52 @ 87.0¢
- Yes$9 @ 87.0¢
- Yes$20 @ 12.0¢
- No$17 @ 89.0¢
- Bucks$23 @ 56.0¢
- Hornets$17 @ 38.0¢
- Thunder$24 @ 75.0¢
- Hornets$13 @ 43.0¢
- Wizards$13 @ 32.0¢
- Heat$15 @ 51.0¢
- DRX$10 @ 52.0¢
- Heat vs. WizardsLostWizards$8 @ 21.0¢
- 76ers$34 @ 80.0¢
- Pacers$21 @ 53.0¢
- Thunder$25 @ 79.0¢
- No$30 @ 79.0¢
- No$38 @ 71.0¢
- Magic$22 @ 75.0¢
- Celtics$54 @ 71.0¢
- Rockets$16 @ 45.0¢
- Hornets$26 @ 61.0¢
- Cavaliers$60 @ 87.0¢
- Sabres$34 @ 48.0¢
- Cavaliers$51 @ 88.0¢
- Raptors$12 @ 46.0¢
- Thunder$18 @ 50.0¢
Recent trades
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Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | Politics | No | $56 | 96.0¢ |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27? | — | Yes | $23 | 94.0¢ |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026? | Politics | Yes | $20 | 12.0¢ |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31? | Politics | Yes | $9 | 35.0¢ |
- No$56 @ 96.0¢
- Yes$23 @ 94.0¢
- Yes$20 @ 12.0¢
- Yes$9 @ 35.0¢