← Smart money
0x7cc0…61fb
ProfitableEdge
+35.7pp
ROI
+45%
Win rate
76% @ 40.8¢
Brier
0.277
Resolved
263
Avg size
$626
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 60% (6/10) | +46% | 10 |
| Politics | 0% (0/2) | -100% | 2 |
- Other10 bets
- Hit rate
- 60% (6/10)
- ROI
- +46%
- Politics2 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/2)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
50% hit · 6/12| Market | Outcome | Size | Entry | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conservatives win majority in Canadian election? | Yes | $7.9k | 89.8¢ | Lost |
| Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 40–60%? | No | $423 | 13.2¢ | Lost |
| Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister? | No | $84.8k | 68.8¢ | Won |
| Will the Liberal Party win the popular vote in Canada's next election? | Yes | $3.2k | 50.1¢ | Won |
| Will the Conservative Party win the most seats in the next Canadian election? | No | $2.8k | 53.1¢ | Won |
| Pacers vs. Thunder | Pacers | $1.9k | 16.8¢ | Lost |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals? | No | $4.9k | 58.0¢ | Lost |
| Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%? | Yes | $1.1k | 10.9¢ | Lost |
| Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister? | Yes | $47.6k | 50.9¢ | Won |
| Will the Liberal Party win the most seats in the next Canadian election? | Yes | $3.6k | 46.6¢ | Won |
| Will the Conservative Party win the popular vote in Canada's next election? | No | $1.3k | 49.0¢ | Won |
| Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives in 2025? | Yes | $5.1k | 34.0¢ | Lost |
- Yes$7.9k @ 89.8¢
- No$423 @ 13.2¢
- No$84.8k @ 68.8¢
- Yes$3.2k @ 50.1¢
- No$2.8k @ 53.1¢
- Pacers$1.9k @ 16.8¢
- No$4.9k @ 58.0¢
- Yes$1.1k @ 10.9¢
- Yes$47.6k @ 50.9¢
- Yes$3.6k @ 46.6¢
- No$1.3k @ 49.0¢
- Yes$5.1k @ 34.0¢
Recent trades
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Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%? | Politics | Yes | $1.0k | 10.9¢ |
| Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 40–60%? | Politics | No | $412 | 13.2¢ |
- Yes$1.0k @ 10.9¢
- No$412 @ 13.2¢