← Smart money
0x7cbe…c4b7
SharpEdge
+7.8pp
ROI
+20%
Win rate
34% @ 25.8¢
Brier
0.165
Resolved
3879
Avg size
$57
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 43% (42/98) | +71% | 98 |
| Other | 33% (32/97) | -2% | 97 |
| Politics | 38% (11/29) | -30% | 29 |
| Geopolitics | 0% (0/2) | -100% | 2 |
- Sports98 bets
- Hit rate
- 43% (42/98)
- ROI
- +71%
- Other97 bets
- Hit rate
- 33% (32/97)
- ROI
- -2%
- Politics29 bets
- Hit rate
- 38% (11/29)
- ROI
- -30%
- Geopolitics2 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/2)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
38% hit · 85/226- No$88 @ 87.0¢
- Yes$31 @ 17.8¢
- Yes$655 @ 34.5¢
- Yes$110 @ 2.7¢
- No$371 @ 25.9¢
- No$2.8k @ 33.0¢
- Yes$769 @ 42.9¢
- Yes$8 @ 2.2¢
- Yes$2 @ 1.3¢
- Yes$3 @ 2.6¢
- Yes$80 @ 24.0¢
- No$3.2k @ 84.2¢
- Yes$211 @ 17.3¢
- Yes$0 @ 8.6¢
- No$40 @ 78.0¢
- Yes$23 @ 5.0¢
- No$41 @ 80.0¢
- Yes$327 @ 17.4¢
- No$326 @ 60.0¢
- Yes$61 @ 13.9¢
- Yes$898 @ 17.4¢
- No$8.9k @ 34.1¢
- No$850 @ 43.6¢
- No$29 @ 19.7¢
- Yes$190 @ 19.0¢
- Yes$166 @ 3.1¢
- Yes$5.1k @ 48.5¢
- Yes$20 @ 20.0¢
- Will United Russia (ER) win 50-55% of the party-list vote in the 2026 Russian State Duma election?LostYes$377 @ 37.3¢
- Yes$4 @ 2.5¢
- Yes$1 @ 10.0¢
- Yes$26 @ 24.6¢
- No$1.1k @ 83.0¢
- Yes$944 @ 7.5¢
- Yes$0 @ 1.0¢
- No$1.8k @ 30.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 9.0¢
- No$386 @ 77.0¢
- Yes$356 @ 19.9¢
- No$2.6k @ 58.6¢
- Yes$68 @ 4.0¢
- Yes$133 @ 19.3¢
- Yes$0 @ 3.2¢
- No$1.1k @ 49.2¢
- Yes$472 @ 44.0¢
- No$452 @ 39.7¢
- Yes$63 @ 62.0¢
- Yes$356 @ 15.3¢
- Yes$37 @ 1.5¢
- No$2.6k @ 16.4¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
- No$3.4k @ 44.3¢
- Yes$2.5k @ 79.4¢
- Yes$1.8k @ 17.5¢
- No$1.7k @ 22.3¢
- No$1.5k @ 77.0¢
- No$1.3k @ 82.3¢
- No$948 @ 13.2¢
- Yes$933 @ 41.0¢
- No$900 @ 27.0¢
- No$866 @ 39.5¢
- Yes$809 @ 49.1¢
- No$799 @ 31.4¢
- No$601 @ 39.5¢
- Yes$578 @ 2.7¢
- Russia x Ukraine Peace ComboGeopoliticsYes$482 @ 6.1¢
- No$468 @ 10.9¢
- No$464 @ 95.3¢
- No$460 @ 80.8¢
- No$441 @ 46.7¢
- No$395 @ 96.4¢
- No$392 @ 47.9¢
- No$341 @ 33.8¢
- Yes$340 @ 34.9¢
- No$336 @ 59.6¢
- No$329 @ 81.0¢
- Yes$328 @ 26.9¢
- No$323 @ 97.6¢
- No$314 @ 97.6¢
- No$303 @ 85.3¢
- No$296 @ 57.8¢