0x7c96…3eef

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x7c96fddef0bdae9e891a293b883a6324dfa03eef
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+12.2pp

ROI

+26%

Win rate

50% @ 38.3¢

Brier

0.149

Resolved

115

Avg size

$206

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	40% (16/40)	+25%	40
Sports	33% (3/9)	+46%	9
Geopolitics	0% (0/3)	-100%	3

Other40 bets
Hit rate
40% (16/40)
ROI
+25%
Sports9 bets
Hit rate
33% (3/9)
ROI
+46%
Geopolitics3 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/3)
ROI
-100%

Track record

37% hit · 19/52

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Maccabi Haifa FC vs. Maccabi Netanya FC end in a draw?	Yes	$25	22.0¢	Lost
Will Maccabi Haifa FC vs. Hapoel Be`er Sheva FC end in a draw?	Yes	$30	28.0¢	Lost
Will Hapoel Tel Aviv FC win on 2026-11-02?	Yes	$30	47.0¢	Won
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	$5	8.0¢	Lost
Will Maccabi Tel Aviv FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	$10	63.0¢	Won
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?	Yes	$44	2.8¢	Lost
Iran strike on Qatar today?	Yes	$110	42.4¢	Won
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?	No	$10	39.0¢	Won
Will Maccabi Tel Aviv FC win on 2026-10-19?	Yes	$26	30.0¢	Lost
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 17?	Yes	$50	42.0¢	Won
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	Yes	$1000	30.0¢	Won
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$41	10.9¢	Lost
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	Yes	$50	14.0¢	Lost
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$1	0.1¢	Lost
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?	Yes	$108	9.1¢	Lost
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?	Yes	$18	4.1¢	Won
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$10	6.1¢	Lost
Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025?	Yes	$200	30.3¢	Lost
Will Israel not raid Gaza aid flotilla by September 30 ET?	No	$225	18.9¢	Lost
Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla on September 30 ET?	Yes	$250	14.5¢	Lost
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 10?	Yes	$50	26.0¢	Won
Dvalishvili vs. Sandhagen	Dvalishvili	$150	78.0¢	Won
US military action against Iran before July?	Yes	$218	61.9¢	Won
US military action against Iran by Saturday?	Yes	$15	10.0¢	Won
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	$809	60.9¢	Won
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?	Yes	$25	17.8¢	Won
Israel strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?	Yes	$50	2.6¢	Lost
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before August?	Yes	$15	39.0¢	Lost
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?	Yes	$676	34.9¢	Lost
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?	No	$10	26.0¢	Lost
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1?	No	$5	4.2¢	Lost
Will Hamas release any more hostages by October 31?	Yes	$3.9k	70.8¢	Won
Ankalaev vs. Pereira	Ankalaev	$150	70.0¢	Lost
Another Houthi strike on Israel by August 31?	Yes	$30	15.0¢	Lost
Mariners vs. Twins	Twins	$50	46.0¢	Lost
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 8, 2026?	Yes	$29	20.6¢	Lost
Israel strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?	Yes	$230	8.8¢	Lost
Will Powell say "Judge" during June Press Conference?	Yes	$20	0.2¢	Lost
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?	Yes	$5	21.0¢	Lost
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?	Yes	$102	6.6¢	Lost
Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?	Yes	$10	24.2¢	Lost
Houthi strike on Israel by March 15, 2026?	Yes	$35	45.0¢	Lost
Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla by September 30?	Yes	$751	11.5¢	Lost
Israel strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?	Yes	$100	8.2¢	Lost
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 30, 2026?	Yes	$100	80.1¢	Won
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira	Topuria	$250	78.2¢	Won
Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla on October 1 ET?	Yes	$13.6k	79.7¢	Won
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Sean Strickland	$20	19.0¢	Won
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	Yes	$60	19.0¢	Won
US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?	Yes	$100	13.0¢	Lost

Will Maccabi Haifa FC vs. Maccabi Netanya FC end in a draw?Lost
Yes$25 @ 22.0¢
Will Maccabi Haifa FC vs. Hapoel Be`er Sheva FC end in a draw?Lost
Yes$30 @ 28.0¢
Will Hapoel Tel Aviv FC win on 2026-11-02?Won
Yes$30 @ 47.0¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?Lost
No$5 @ 8.0¢
Will Maccabi Tel Aviv FC win on 2026-10-24?Won
Yes$10 @ 63.0¢
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?Lost
Yes$44 @ 2.8¢
Iran strike on Qatar today?Won
Yes$110 @ 42.4¢
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?Won
No$10 @ 39.0¢
Will Maccabi Tel Aviv FC win on 2026-10-19?Lost
Yes$26 @ 30.0¢
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 17?Won
Yes$50 @ 42.0¢
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Won
Yes$1000 @ 30.0¢
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$41 @ 10.9¢
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$50 @ 14.0¢
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Lost
Yes$108 @ 9.1¢
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Won
Yes$18 @ 4.1¢
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$10 @ 6.1¢
Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025?Lost
Yes$200 @ 30.3¢
Will Israel not raid Gaza aid flotilla by September 30 ET?Lost
No$225 @ 18.9¢
Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla on September 30 ET?Lost
Yes$250 @ 14.5¢
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 10?Won
Yes$50 @ 26.0¢
Dvalishvili vs. SandhagenWon
Dvalishvili$150 @ 78.0¢
US military action against Iran before July?Won
Yes$218 @ 61.9¢
US military action against Iran by Saturday?Won
Yes$15 @ 10.0¢
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?Won
Yes$809 @ 60.9¢
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?Won
Yes$25 @ 17.8¢
Israel strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?Lost
Yes$50 @ 2.6¢
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before August?Lost
Yes$15 @ 39.0¢
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?Lost
Yes$676 @ 34.9¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?Lost
No$10 @ 26.0¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1?Lost
No$5 @ 4.2¢
Will Hamas release any more hostages by October 31?Won
Yes$3.9k @ 70.8¢
Ankalaev vs. PereiraLost
Ankalaev$150 @ 70.0¢
Another Houthi strike on Israel by August 31?Lost
Yes$30 @ 15.0¢
Mariners vs. TwinsLost
Twins$50 @ 46.0¢
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 8, 2026?Lost
Yes$29 @ 20.6¢
Israel strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?Lost
Yes$230 @ 8.8¢
Will Powell say "Judge" during June Press Conference?Lost
Yes$20 @ 0.2¢
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Lost
Yes$5 @ 21.0¢
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Lost
Yes$102 @ 6.6¢
Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?Lost
Yes$10 @ 24.2¢
Houthi strike on Israel by March 15, 2026?Lost
Yes$35 @ 45.0¢
Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla by September 30?Lost
Yes$751 @ 11.5¢
Israel strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?Lost
Yes$100 @ 8.2¢
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 30, 2026?Won
Yes$100 @ 80.1¢
UFC 317: Topuria vs. OliveiraWon
Topuria$250 @ 78.2¢
Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla on October 1 ET?Won
Yes$13.6k @ 79.7¢
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)Won
Sean Strickland$20 @ 19.0¢
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?Won
Yes$60 @ 19.0¢
US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?Lost
Yes$100 @ 13.0¢

Recent trades

live from Polymarket · click a column to sort

Loading recent trades…

Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Maccabi Haifa FC vs. Hapoel Be`er Sheva FC end in a draw?	Sports	Yes	$30	28.0¢
Will Maccabi Tel Aviv FC win on 2026-10-19?	Sports	Yes	$25	29.9¢
Will Maccabi Haifa FC vs. Maccabi Netanya FC end in a draw?	—	Yes	$25	22.0¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Geopolitics	No	$11	19.0¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?	Geopolitics	No	$10	26.0¢
Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?	—	Yes	$10	24.2¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Geopolitics	No	$5	8.0¢
Will Maccabi Petah Tikva FC vs. Maccabi Haifa FC end in a draw?	Sports	Yes	$5	38.2¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1?	Geopolitics	No	$5	4.2¢
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$1	0.1¢

Will Maccabi Haifa FC vs. Hapoel Be`er Sheva FC end in a draw?Sports
Yes$30 @ 28.0¢
Will Maccabi Tel Aviv FC win on 2026-10-19?Sports
Yes$25 @ 29.9¢
Will Maccabi Haifa FC vs. Maccabi Netanya FC end in a draw?—
Yes$25 @ 22.0¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?Geopolitics
No$11 @ 19.0¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?Geopolitics
No$10 @ 26.0¢
Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?—
Yes$10 @ 24.2¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?Geopolitics
No$5 @ 8.0¢
Will Maccabi Petah Tikva FC vs. Maccabi Haifa FC end in a draw?Sports
Yes$5 @ 38.2¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1?Geopolitics
No$5 @ 4.2¢
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢