0x7c4d…bb01

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x7c4debec15387b170278f13dd6cab7450af9bb01
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

-5.2pp

ROI

+30%

Win rate

10% @ 15.3¢

Brier

0.051

Resolved

517

Avg size

$80

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	30% (14/47)	+63%	47
Sports	58% (7/12)	+13%	12
Politics	80% (4/5)	+13%	5

Other47 bets
Hit rate
30% (14/47)
ROI
+63%
Sports12 bets
Hit rate
58% (7/12)
ROI
+13%
Politics5 bets
Hit rate
80% (4/5)
ROI
+13%

Track record

39% hit · 25/64

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Youngstown State vs. Southern Illinois	Youngstown State	$804	63.0¢	Won
UFC Fight Night: Ramazan Temirov vs. Steve Erceg (Flyweight, Main Card)	Ramazan Temirov	$322	41.7¢	Won
Fight to Go the Distance?	Yes	$27	46.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on August 8?	Yes	$43	5.0¢	Lost
Patrick Williams: Assists O/U 0.5	Yes	$8	35.0¢	Lost
US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?	No	$858	8.0¢	Won
Singapore Open, Qualification: Aoi Ito vs Sofya Lansere	Sofya Lansere	$383	31.8¢	Lost
3Q Spread: Rams (-1.5)	49ers	$105	41.0¢	Won
Knicks vs. Spurs	Knicks	$1	33.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C or higher on August 8?	Yes	$50	3.8¢	Lost
Immanuel Quickley: Rebounds O/U 3.5	Yes	$98	39.2¢	Won
De'Von Achane: Receptions O/U 4.5	Over	$240	43.0¢	Lost
Nevada vs. Middle Tennessee	Middle Tennessee	$19	37.0¢	Won
Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 12.5	Over	$10	43.0¢	Lost
Immanuel Quickley: Points O/U 13.5	Yes	$100	40.0¢	Lost
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	No	$1.1k	53.6¢	Lost
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	Yes	$1.8k	89.0¢	Won
Patrick Williams: Points O/U 2.5	Yes	$8	35.0¢	Won
Eric Wagaman: Home Runs O/U 0.5	Under	$200	89.0¢	Won
Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 11.5	Over	$10	43.0¢	Lost
Spread: Bears (-4.5)	Bears	$500	50.0¢	Lost
Immanuel Quickley: Assists O/U 5.5	Yes	$100	40.0¢	Lost
UFC Fight Night: Morgan Charrière vs. Felipe Lima (Featherweight, Main Card)	Felipe Lima	$4.2k	64.0¢	Won
Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Men's US Open?	No	$308	61.5¢	Won
Will the Ravens vs Cowboys game not air?	Yes	$21	1.5¢	Lost
Will Netanyahu say "Zohran" or "Mamdani" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?	Yes	$1.2k	69.9¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 100-101°F on August 7?	Yes	$50	3.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 37°C or higher on August 6?	Yes	$100	4.9¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on August 8?	Yes	$13	4.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 35°C on August 7?	Yes	$4	4.0¢	Lost
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	$1.7k	86.0¢	Won
Anthony Edwards: Assists O/U 4.5	Yes	$5	35.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 26°C on August 6?	Yes	$100	4.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on August 6?	Yes	$100	3.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on August 6?	No	$505	47.8¢	Lost
Rangers vs. Devils	Devils	$708	71.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on August 6?	Yes	$50	3.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 6?	Yes	$100	8.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on August 7?	No	$3	41.0¢	Lost
Aaron Gordon: Points O/U 14.5	Yes	$7	35.0¢	Lost
Spread: Hawai'i (-3.5)	Hawaii	$1.8k	45.0¢	Lost
Valencia: Clara Burel vs Joelle Steur	Clara Burel	$433	73.0¢	Won
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?	Yes	$1.8k	79.1¢	Won
Patrick Williams: Rebounds O/U 1.5	Yes	$8	35.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on August 7?	Yes	$91	8.0¢	Lost
Andrew Benintendi: Home Runs O/U 0.5	Under	$1	1.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on August 7?	Yes	$50	2.1¢	Lost
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	Yes	$828	29.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 98-99°F on August 6?	Yes	$100	5.0¢	Lost
Samuel Basallo: Home Runs O/U 0.5	Under	$0	83.0¢	Won

Youngstown State vs. Southern IllinoisWon
Youngstown State$804 @ 63.0¢
UFC Fight Night: Ramazan Temirov vs. Steve Erceg (Flyweight, Main Card)Won
Ramazan Temirov$322 @ 41.7¢
Fight to Go the Distance?Lost
Yes$27 @ 46.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on August 8?Lost
Yes$43 @ 5.0¢
Patrick Williams: Assists O/U 0.5Lost
Yes$8 @ 35.0¢
US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?Won
No$858 @ 8.0¢
Singapore Open, Qualification: Aoi Ito vs Sofya LansereLost
Sofya Lansere$383 @ 31.8¢
3Q Spread: Rams (-1.5)Won
49ers$105 @ 41.0¢
Knicks vs. SpursWon
Knicks$1 @ 33.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C or higher on August 8?Lost
Yes$50 @ 3.8¢
Immanuel Quickley: Rebounds O/U 3.5Won
Yes$98 @ 39.2¢
De'Von Achane: Receptions O/U 4.5Lost
Over$240 @ 43.0¢
Nevada vs. Middle TennesseeWon
Middle Tennessee$19 @ 37.0¢
Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 12.5Lost
Over$10 @ 43.0¢
Immanuel Quickley: Points O/U 13.5Lost
Yes$100 @ 40.0¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Lost
No$1.1k @ 53.6¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Won
Yes$1.8k @ 89.0¢
Patrick Williams: Points O/U 2.5Won
Yes$8 @ 35.0¢
Eric Wagaman: Home Runs O/U 0.5Won
Under$200 @ 89.0¢
Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 11.5Lost
Over$10 @ 43.0¢
Spread: Bears (-4.5)Lost
Bears$500 @ 50.0¢
Immanuel Quickley: Assists O/U 5.5Lost
Yes$100 @ 40.0¢
UFC Fight Night: Morgan Charrière vs. Felipe Lima (Featherweight, Main Card)Won
Felipe Lima$4.2k @ 64.0¢
Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Men's US Open?Won
No$308 @ 61.5¢
Will the Ravens vs Cowboys game not air?Lost
Yes$21 @ 1.5¢
Will Netanyahu say "Zohran" or "Mamdani" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?Won
Yes$1.2k @ 69.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 100-101°F on August 7?Lost
Yes$50 @ 3.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 37°C or higher on August 6?Lost
Yes$100 @ 4.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on August 8?Lost
Yes$13 @ 4.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 35°C on August 7?Lost
Yes$4 @ 4.0¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Won
Yes$1.7k @ 86.0¢
Anthony Edwards: Assists O/U 4.5Won
Yes$5 @ 35.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 26°C on August 6?Lost
Yes$100 @ 4.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on August 6?Lost
Yes$100 @ 3.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on August 6?Lost
No$505 @ 47.8¢
Rangers vs. DevilsWon
Devils$708 @ 71.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on August 6?Lost
Yes$50 @ 3.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 6?Lost
Yes$100 @ 8.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on August 7?Lost
No$3 @ 41.0¢
Aaron Gordon: Points O/U 14.5Lost
Yes$7 @ 35.0¢
Spread: Hawai'i (-3.5)Lost
Hawaii$1.8k @ 45.0¢
Valencia: Clara Burel vs Joelle SteurWon
Clara Burel$433 @ 73.0¢
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?Won
Yes$1.8k @ 79.1¢
Patrick Williams: Rebounds O/U 1.5Won
Yes$8 @ 35.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on August 7?Lost
Yes$91 @ 8.0¢
Andrew Benintendi: Home Runs O/U 0.5Won
Under$1 @ 1.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on August 7?Lost
Yes$50 @ 2.1¢
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?Lost
Yes$828 @ 29.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 98-99°F on August 6?Lost
Yes$100 @ 5.0¢
Samuel Basallo: Home Runs O/U 0.5Won
Under$0 @ 83.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Nassourdine Imamov fight Sean Strickland next?	Sports	Yes	$3.0k	87.7¢
Will Diego Lopes fight Charles Oliveira next?	Sports	Yes	$1.2k	90.7¢
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?	Politics	Yes	$952	25.0¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Geopolitics	No	$939	19.0¢
Terry McLaurin: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5	Sports	Under	$818	95.0¢
Youngstown State vs. Southern Illinois	Sports	Youngstown State	$804	63.0¢
Keenan Allen: Receptions O/U 4.5	Sports	Under	$774	95.0¢
Will Sam Darnold have 29.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Sports	No	$713	80.3¢
Will Nassourdine Imavov be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Sports	Yes	$602	32.0¢
Will Ashton Jeanty have 774.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Sports	No	$485	43.0¢
Will Ashton Jeanty have 7.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Sports	No	$430	54.7¢
Will Ashton Jeanty have 974.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Sports	No	$419	49.2¢
Will Justin Gaethje fight Charles Oliveira next?	Sports	No	$372	85.4¢
Terry McLaurin: Receiving Yards O/U 69.5	Sports	Under	$354	95.0¢
Will Jaxson Dart have 3.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Sports	No	$341	79.0¢
DeVonta Smith: Receptions O/U 3.5	Sports	Under	$298	95.0¢
Will Jaxson Dart have 1.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Sports	No	$252	70.9¢
Terry McLaurin: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5	Sports	Under	$247	95.0¢
DeVonta Smith: Receptions O/U 4.5	Sports	Under	$239	95.0¢
DeVonta Smith: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5	Sports	Under	$190	95.0¢
Will Ashton Jeanty have 5.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Sports	No	$187	40.1¢
DeVonta Smith: Receptions O/U 5.5	Sports	Under	$181	95.0¢
Terry McLaurin: Receptions O/U 3.5	Sports	Under	$175	95.0¢
Terry McLaurin: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5	Sports	Under	$133	95.0¢
Will Sam Darnold have 4,199.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Sports	No	$92	70.5¢
Terry McLaurin: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5	Sports	Under	$88	95.0¢
DeVonta Smith: Receptions O/U 6.5	Sports	Under	$29	95.0¢
Terry McLaurin: Receptions O/U 5.5	Sports	Under	$25	95.0¢
Terry McLaurin: Receptions O/U 6.5	Sports	Under	$24	95.0¢
Will Ashton Jeanty have 3.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Sports	No	$21	27.0¢

Will Nassourdine Imamov fight Sean Strickland next?Sports
Yes$3.0k @ 87.7¢
Will Diego Lopes fight Charles Oliveira next?Sports
Yes$1.2k @ 90.7¢
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?Politics
Yes$952 @ 25.0¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Geopolitics
No$939 @ 19.0¢
Terry McLaurin: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5Sports
Under$818 @ 95.0¢
Youngstown State vs. Southern IllinoisSports
Youngstown State$804 @ 63.0¢
Keenan Allen: Receptions O/U 4.5Sports
Under$774 @ 95.0¢
Will Sam Darnold have 29.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Sports
No$713 @ 80.3¢
Will Nassourdine Imavov be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?Sports
Yes$602 @ 32.0¢
Will Ashton Jeanty have 774.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Sports
No$485 @ 43.0¢
Will Ashton Jeanty have 7.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Sports
No$430 @ 54.7¢
Will Ashton Jeanty have 974.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Sports
No$419 @ 49.2¢
Will Justin Gaethje fight Charles Oliveira next?Sports
No$372 @ 85.4¢
Terry McLaurin: Receiving Yards O/U 69.5Sports
Under$354 @ 95.0¢
Will Jaxson Dart have 3.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Sports
No$341 @ 79.0¢
DeVonta Smith: Receptions O/U 3.5Sports
Under$298 @ 95.0¢
Will Jaxson Dart have 1.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Sports
No$252 @ 70.9¢
Terry McLaurin: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5Sports
Under$247 @ 95.0¢
DeVonta Smith: Receptions O/U 4.5Sports
Under$239 @ 95.0¢
DeVonta Smith: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5Sports
Under$190 @ 95.0¢
Will Ashton Jeanty have 5.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Sports
No$187 @ 40.1¢
DeVonta Smith: Receptions O/U 5.5Sports
Under$181 @ 95.0¢
Terry McLaurin: Receptions O/U 3.5Sports
Under$175 @ 95.0¢
Terry McLaurin: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5Sports
Under$133 @ 95.0¢
Will Sam Darnold have 4,199.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Sports
No$92 @ 70.5¢
Terry McLaurin: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5Sports
Under$88 @ 95.0¢
DeVonta Smith: Receptions O/U 6.5Sports
Under$29 @ 95.0¢
Terry McLaurin: Receptions O/U 5.5Sports
Under$25 @ 95.0¢
Terry McLaurin: Receptions O/U 6.5Sports
Under$24 @ 95.0¢
Will Ashton Jeanty have 3.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Sports
No$21 @ 27.0¢