0x7bb3…b498

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x7bb347f4e0d94642627068f6f1807ae63c40b498
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+7.4pp

ROI

+8%

Win rate

78% @ 70.5¢

Brier

0.120

Resolved

289

Avg size

$124

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	84% (102/121)	+10%	121
Politics	95% (21/22)	+20%	22
Tech	50% (3/6)	-66%	6
Geopolitics	100% (4/4)	+27%	4
Business	33% (1/3)	-19%	3
Sports	0% (0/1)	-100%	1
Crypto	100% (1/1)	+21%	1

Other121 bets
Hit rate
84% (102/121)
ROI
+10%
Politics22 bets
Hit rate
95% (21/22)
ROI
+20%
Tech6 bets
Hit rate
50% (3/6)
ROI
-66%
Geopolitics4 bets
Hit rate
100% (4/4)
ROI
+27%
Business3 bets
Hit rate
33% (1/3)
ROI
-19%
Sports1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%
Crypto1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+21%

Track record

84% hit · 132/158

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Solana dip to $110 in November?	No	$329	89.8¢	Won
Epstein client list released in 2025?	No	$234	87.7¢	Won
Will Trump talk to Zohran Mamdani in November?	No	$257	85.4¢	Lost
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?	No	$100	80.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?	No	$556	81.9¢	Won
Will Trump say "Ayatollah" or "Khamenei" this week? (March 8)	No	$5	80.0¢	Won
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	$258	86.0¢	Won
Will Trump say "Gold Medal" or "Gold Medallist" this week? (February 22)	No	$10	83.0¢	Won
Will Trump say "Hamas" or "Hezbollah" this week? (April 5)	No	$40	86.5¢	Won
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	$150	89.0¢	Won
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May?	No	$53	24.7¢	Lost
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?	No	$108	73.0¢	Won
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,450 (HIGH) in June?	No	$31	15.9¢	Lost
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?	No	$144	74.0¢	Won
Iran coup attempt by June 30?	No	$1.4k	81.6¢	Won
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by December 31?	No	$217	77.6¢	Won
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 Week of June 1 2026?	No	$131	87.0¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in June?	No	$177	19.5¢	Lost
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	$395	68.9¢	Won
Will Solana dip to $160 October 13-19?	No	$264	88.5¢	Won
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?	No	$300	76.7¢	Won
Will Trump say “Crypto" or "Bitcoin” this week? (November 10 - 16)	No	$100	89.1¢	Won
Will Solana dip to $40 in February?	No	$495	89.7¢	Won
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by June 30?	No	$100	88.0¢	Won
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?	No	$128	76.0¢	Won
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 21?	No	$200	89.6¢	Won
GPT ads by March 31?	No	$357	77.3¢	Lost
Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?	No	$280	75.3¢	Won
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" this week? (February 22)	No	$14	88.0¢	Won
Another critical Cloudflare incident by February 28, 2026?	No	$191	82.1¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	No	$317	84.0¢	Won
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?	No	$100	77.0¢	Won
Elon no longer world's richest before 2026?	No	$159	89.0¢	Won
Will Solana reach $310 before 2026?	No	$305	61.0¢	Won
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?	No	$119	79.2¢	Won
Will Trump say "Ebay" in October?	No	$16	88.0¢	Won
Will Trump meet with Putin by October 31?	No	$500	84.1¢	Won
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 2?	No	$100	79.0¢	Won
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China in October?	No	$219	90.0¢	Lost
Will Yoon be sentenced to prison in 2025?	No	$534	89.8¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	No	$301	89.0¢	Won
French election called by October 17?	No	$146	80.0¢	Won
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $700 in June?	No	$201	88.6¢	Won
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $420 in June?	No	$87	87.0¢	Won
Will Eileen Gu (CHN) win the gold medal for Ski Halfpipe - Women's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?	Yes	$5	53.0¢	Won
Solana all time high before 2026?	No	$264	74.8¢	Won
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?	No	$6	64.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 August 17-23?	No	$53	27.3¢	Won
Will Trump say "Palestine" or "Palestinian" this week? (December 29 - January 4)	No	$40	80.3¢	Won
US bank failure by October 31?	No	$120	89.0¢	Won

Will Solana dip to $110 in November?Won
No$329 @ 89.8¢
Epstein client list released in 2025?Won
No$234 @ 87.7¢
Will Trump talk to Zohran Mamdani in November?Lost
No$257 @ 85.4¢
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?Won
No$100 @ 80.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?Won
No$556 @ 81.9¢
Will Trump say "Ayatollah" or "Khamenei" this week? (March 8)Won
No$5 @ 80.0¢
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?Won
No$258 @ 86.0¢
Will Trump say "Gold Medal" or "Gold Medallist" this week? (February 22)Won
No$10 @ 83.0¢
Will Trump say "Hamas" or "Hezbollah" this week? (April 5)Won
No$40 @ 86.5¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Won
No$150 @ 89.0¢
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May?Lost
No$53 @ 24.7¢
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?Won
No$108 @ 73.0¢
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,450 (HIGH) in June?Lost
No$31 @ 15.9¢
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?Won
No$144 @ 74.0¢
Iran coup attempt by June 30?Won
No$1.4k @ 81.6¢
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by December 31?Won
No$217 @ 77.6¢
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 Week of June 1 2026?Won
No$131 @ 87.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in June?Lost
No$177 @ 19.5¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?Won
No$395 @ 68.9¢
Will Solana dip to $160 October 13-19?Won
No$264 @ 88.5¢
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?Won
No$300 @ 76.7¢
Will Trump say “Crypto" or "Bitcoin” this week? (November 10 - 16)Won
No$100 @ 89.1¢
Will Solana dip to $40 in February?Won
No$495 @ 89.7¢
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by June 30?Won
No$100 @ 88.0¢
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?Won
No$128 @ 76.0¢
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 21?Won
No$200 @ 89.6¢
GPT ads by March 31?Lost
No$357 @ 77.3¢
Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?Won
No$280 @ 75.3¢
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" this week? (February 22)Won
No$14 @ 88.0¢
Another critical Cloudflare incident by February 28, 2026?Won
No$191 @ 82.1¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?Won
No$317 @ 84.0¢
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?Won
No$100 @ 77.0¢
Elon no longer world's richest before 2026?Won
No$159 @ 89.0¢
Will Solana reach $310 before 2026?Won
No$305 @ 61.0¢
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?Won
No$119 @ 79.2¢
Will Trump say "Ebay" in October?Won
No$16 @ 88.0¢
Will Trump meet with Putin by October 31?Won
No$500 @ 84.1¢
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 2?Won
No$100 @ 79.0¢
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China in October?Lost
No$219 @ 90.0¢
Will Yoon be sentenced to prison in 2025?Won
No$534 @ 89.8¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?Won
No$301 @ 89.0¢
French election called by October 17?Won
No$146 @ 80.0¢
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $700 in June?Won
No$201 @ 88.6¢
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $420 in June?Won
No$87 @ 87.0¢
Will Eileen Gu (CHN) win the gold medal for Ski Halfpipe - Women's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?Won
Yes$5 @ 53.0¢
Solana all time high before 2026?Won
No$264 @ 74.8¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?Won
No$6 @ 64.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 August 17-23?Won
No$53 @ 27.3¢
Will Trump say "Palestine" or "Palestinian" this week? (December 29 - January 4)Won
No$40 @ 80.3¢
US bank failure by October 31?Won
No$120 @ 89.0¢

Recent trades

live from Polymarket · click a column to sort

Loading recent trades…

Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Politics	No	$400	93.0¢
Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026?	Tech	No	$300	88.4¢
Kash Patel out by December 31?	Politics	No	$200	47.5¢
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Geopolitics	No	$200	89.1¢
GTA 6 launch postponed again?	Tech	No	$200	96.9¢
Will OpenAI announce a watch in 2026?	Tech	No	$200	92.0¢
Will OpenAI announce a necklace-style wearable in 2026?	Tech	No	$200	91.0¢
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?	Tech	No	$129	61.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$108	57.0¢
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?	Tech	No	$100	37.0¢
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Politics	Yes	$94	58.9¢
Will Grok Bot be available on the free plan by December 31, 2026?	Tech	No	$57	83.2¢
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$33	31.0¢

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics
No$400 @ 93.0¢
Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026?Tech
No$300 @ 88.4¢
Kash Patel out by December 31?Politics
No$200 @ 47.5¢
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?Geopolitics
No$200 @ 89.1¢
GTA 6 launch postponed again?Tech
No$200 @ 96.9¢
Will OpenAI announce a watch in 2026?Tech
No$200 @ 92.0¢
Will OpenAI announce a necklace-style wearable in 2026?Tech
No$200 @ 91.0¢
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?Tech
No$129 @ 61.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$108 @ 57.0¢
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Tech
No$100 @ 37.0¢
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics
Yes$94 @ 58.9¢
Will Grok Bot be available on the free plan by December 31, 2026?Tech
No$57 @ 83.2¢
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$33 @ 31.0¢